The role of beliefs, expectations and values in decision-making favoring climate change adaptation

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Blennow, K.
Data de Publicação: 2020
Outros Autores: Persson, J., Gonçalves, Luísa Maria S., Borys, A., Dutcǎ, I., Hynynen, J., Janeczko, E., Lyubenova, M., Merganič, J., Merganičová, K., Peltoniemi, M., Petr, M., Reboredo, F., Vacchiano, G., Reyer, C. P.O.
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
Texto Completo: http://hdl.handle.net/10362/109491
Resumo: Blennow, K., Persson, J., Gonçalves, L. M. S., Borys, A., Dutcǎ, I., Hynynen, J., Janeczko, E., Lyubenova, M., Merganič, J., Merganičová, K., Peltoniemi, M., Petr, M., Reboredo, F., Vacchiano, G., & Reyer, C. P. O. (2020). The role of beliefs, expectations and values in decision-making favoring climate change adaptation : Implications for communications with European forest professionals. Environmental Research Letters, 15(11), 1-10. [114061]. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc2fa
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spelling The role of beliefs, expectations and values in decision-making favoring climate change adaptationImplications for communications with European forest professionalsdecision-makingAdaptationClimate changeValue polarizationExpectationBlocked belief effectTipping point behaviorRenewable Energy, Sustainability and the EnvironmentEnvironmental Science(all)Public Health, Environmental and Occupational HealthSDG 13 - Climate ActionSDG 3 - Good Health and Well-beingSDG 7 - Affordable and Clean EnergyBlennow, K., Persson, J., Gonçalves, L. M. S., Borys, A., Dutcǎ, I., Hynynen, J., Janeczko, E., Lyubenova, M., Merganič, J., Merganičová, K., Peltoniemi, M., Petr, M., Reboredo, F., Vacchiano, G., & Reyer, C. P. O. (2020). The role of beliefs, expectations and values in decision-making favoring climate change adaptation : Implications for communications with European forest professionals. Environmental Research Letters, 15(11), 1-10. [114061]. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc2faBeliefs, expectations and values are often assumed to drive decisions about climate change adaptation. We tested hypotheses based on this assumption using survey responses from 508 European forest professionals in ten countries. We used the survey results to identify communication needs and the decision strategies at play, and to develop guidelines on adequate communications about climate change adaptation. We observed polarization in the positive and negative values associated with climate change impacts accepted by survey respondents. We identified a mechanism creating the polarization that we call the 'blocked belief' effect. We found that polarized values did not correlate with decisions about climate change adaptation. Strong belief in the local impacts of climate change on the forest was, however, a prerequisite of decision-making favoring adaptation. Decision-making in favor of adaptation to climate change also correlated with net values of expected specific impacts on the forest and generally increased with the absolute value of these in the absence of 'tipping point' behavior. Tipping point behavior occurs when adaptation is not pursued in spite of the strongly negative or positive net value of expected climate change impacts. We observed negative and positive tipping point behavior, mainly in SW Europe and N-NE Europe, respectively. In addition we found that advice on effective adaptation may inhibit adaptation when the receiver is aware of effective adaptation measures unless it is balanced with information explaining how climate change leads to negative impacts. Forest professionals with weak expectations of impacts require communications on climate change and its impacts on forests before any advice on adaptation measures can be effective. We develop evidence-based guidelines on communications using a new methodology which includes Bayesian machine learning modeling of the equivalent of an expected utility function for the adaptation decision problem.NOVA Information Management School (NOVA IMS)Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia (FCT)RUNBlennow, K.Persson, J.Gonçalves, Luísa Maria S.Borys, A.Dutcǎ, I.Hynynen, J.Janeczko, E.Lyubenova, M.Merganič, J.Merganičová, K.Peltoniemi, M.Petr, M.Reboredo, F.Vacchiano, G.Reyer, C. P.O.2020-12-30T05:04:45Z2020-11-232020-11-23T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/article10application/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10362/109491eng1748-9318PURE: 27090887https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc2fainfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2024-03-11T04:53:50Zoai:run.unl.pt:10362/109491Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-20T03:41:28.300490Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv The role of beliefs, expectations and values in decision-making favoring climate change adaptation
Implications for communications with European forest professionals
title The role of beliefs, expectations and values in decision-making favoring climate change adaptation
spellingShingle The role of beliefs, expectations and values in decision-making favoring climate change adaptation
Blennow, K.
decision-making
Adaptation
Climate change
Value polarization
Expectation
Blocked belief effect
Tipping point behavior
Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment
Environmental Science(all)
Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health
SDG 13 - Climate Action
SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy
title_short The role of beliefs, expectations and values in decision-making favoring climate change adaptation
title_full The role of beliefs, expectations and values in decision-making favoring climate change adaptation
title_fullStr The role of beliefs, expectations and values in decision-making favoring climate change adaptation
title_full_unstemmed The role of beliefs, expectations and values in decision-making favoring climate change adaptation
title_sort The role of beliefs, expectations and values in decision-making favoring climate change adaptation
author Blennow, K.
author_facet Blennow, K.
Persson, J.
Gonçalves, Luísa Maria S.
Borys, A.
Dutcǎ, I.
Hynynen, J.
Janeczko, E.
Lyubenova, M.
Merganič, J.
Merganičová, K.
Peltoniemi, M.
Petr, M.
Reboredo, F.
Vacchiano, G.
Reyer, C. P.O.
author_role author
author2 Persson, J.
Gonçalves, Luísa Maria S.
Borys, A.
Dutcǎ, I.
Hynynen, J.
Janeczko, E.
Lyubenova, M.
Merganič, J.
Merganičová, K.
Peltoniemi, M.
Petr, M.
Reboredo, F.
Vacchiano, G.
Reyer, C. P.O.
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv NOVA Information Management School (NOVA IMS)
Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia (FCT)
RUN
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Blennow, K.
Persson, J.
Gonçalves, Luísa Maria S.
Borys, A.
Dutcǎ, I.
Hynynen, J.
Janeczko, E.
Lyubenova, M.
Merganič, J.
Merganičová, K.
Peltoniemi, M.
Petr, M.
Reboredo, F.
Vacchiano, G.
Reyer, C. P.O.
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv decision-making
Adaptation
Climate change
Value polarization
Expectation
Blocked belief effect
Tipping point behavior
Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment
Environmental Science(all)
Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health
SDG 13 - Climate Action
SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy
topic decision-making
Adaptation
Climate change
Value polarization
Expectation
Blocked belief effect
Tipping point behavior
Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment
Environmental Science(all)
Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health
SDG 13 - Climate Action
SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy
description Blennow, K., Persson, J., Gonçalves, L. M. S., Borys, A., Dutcǎ, I., Hynynen, J., Janeczko, E., Lyubenova, M., Merganič, J., Merganičová, K., Peltoniemi, M., Petr, M., Reboredo, F., Vacchiano, G., & Reyer, C. P. O. (2020). The role of beliefs, expectations and values in decision-making favoring climate change adaptation : Implications for communications with European forest professionals. Environmental Research Letters, 15(11), 1-10. [114061]. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc2fa
publishDate 2020
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2020-12-30T05:04:45Z
2020-11-23
2020-11-23T00:00:00Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10362/109491
url http://hdl.handle.net/10362/109491
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv 1748-9318
PURE: 27090887
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abc2fa
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv 10
application/pdf
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron:RCAAP
instname_str Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron_str RCAAP
institution RCAAP
reponame_str Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
collection Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
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