Fluctuating temperature modifies heat-mortality association around the globe
| Autor(a) principal: | |
|---|---|
| Data de Publicação: | 2022 |
| Outros Autores: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
| Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
| Idioma: | eng |
| Título da fonte: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
| Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10400.18/8441 |
| Resumo: | Free PMC article https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8942841/ |
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Fluctuating temperature modifies heat-mortality association around the globeHeatModification EffectMortalityTemperature VariabilityAvaliação do RiscoFree PMC article https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8942841/Studies have investigated the effects of heat and temperature variability (TV) on mortality. However, few assessed whether TV modifies the heat-mortality association. Data on daily temperature and mortality in the warm season were collected from 717 locations across 36 countries. TV was calculated as the standard deviation of the average of the same and previous days' minimum and maximum temperatures. We used location-specific quasi-Poisson regression models with an interaction term between the cross-basis term for mean temperature and quartiles of TV to obtain heat-mortality associations under each quartile of TV, and then pooled estimates at the country, regional, and global levels. Results show the increased risk in heat-related mortality with increments in TV, accounting for 0.70% (95% confidence interval [CI]: -0.33 to 1.69), 1.34% (95% CI: -0.14 to 2.73), 1.99% (95% CI: 0.29-3.57), and 2.73% (95% CI: 0.76-4.50) of total deaths for Q1-Q4 (first quartile-fourth quartile) of TV. The modification effects of TV varied geographically. Central Europe had the highest attributable fractions (AFs), corresponding to 7.68% (95% CI: 5.25-9.89) of total deaths for Q4 of TV, while the lowest AFs were observed in North America, with the values for Q4 of 1.74% (95% CI: -0.09 to 3.39). TV had a significant modification effect on the heat-mortality association, causing a higher heat-related mortality burden with increments of TV. Implementing targeted strategies against heat exposure and fluctuant temperatures simultaneously would benefit public health.Public summary: Increased temperature variability (TV) poses a greater mortality risk due to heat; TV has a more profound modification effect on extreme heat-mortality association; Strategies against heat and TV simultaneously would benefit public healt.This study was supported by the Australian Research Council (DP210102076) and the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (APP2000581). Y.W and B.W. were supported by the China Scholarship Council (nos. 202006010044 and 202006010043); S.L. was supported by an Emerging Leader Fellowship of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (no. APP2009866); Y.G. was supported by Career Development Fellowship (no. APP1163693) and Leader Fellowship (no. APP2008813) of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council; J.K. and A.U. were supported by the Czech Science Foundation (project no. 20–28560S); N.S. was supported by the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences-funded HERCULES Center (no. P30ES019776); Y.H. was supported by the Environment Research and Technology Development Fund (JPMEERF15S11412) of the Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency; M.d.S.Z.S.C. and P.H.N.S. were supported by the São Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP); H.O. and E.I. were supported by the Estonian Ministry of Education and Research (IUT34–17); J.M. was supported by a fellowship of Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnlogia (SFRH/BPD/115112/2016); A.G. and F.S. were supported by the Medical Research Council UK (grant ID MR/R013349/1), the Natural Environment Research Council UK (grant ID NE/R009384/1), and the EU’s Horizon 2020 project, Exhaustion (grant ID 820655); A.S. and F.d.D. were supported by the EU’s Horizon 2020 project, Exhaustion (grant ID 820655); V.H. was supported by the Spanish Ministry of Economy, Industry and Competitiveness (grant ID PCIN-2017–046); and A.T. by MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033 (grant CEX2018-000794-S).Elsevier/ Cell PressRepositório Científico do Instituto Nacional de SaúdeWu, YaoWen, BoLi, ShanshanGasparrini, AntonioTong, ShiluOvercenco, AlaUrban, AlešSchneider, AlexandraEntezari, AlirezaVicedo-Cabrera, Ana MariaZanobetti, AntonellaAnalitis, AntonisZeka, ArianaTobias, AurelioAlahmad, BarrakArmstrong, BenForsberg, BertilÍñiguez, CarmenAmeling, CarolineDe la Cruz Valencia, CésarÅström, ChristoferHouthuijs, DannyVan Dung, DoRoyé, DominicIndermitte, EneLavigne, EricMayvaneh, FatemehAcquaotta, Fiorellade’Donato, FrancescaSera, FrancescoCarrasco-Escobar, GabrielKan, HaidongOrru, HansKim, HoHolobaca, Iulian-HoriaKyselý, JanMadureira, JoanaSchwartz, JoelKatsouyanni, KleaHurtado-Diaz, MagaliRagettli, Martina S.Hashizume, MasahiroPascal, Mathildede Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coélho, MichelineScovronick, NoahMichelozzi, PaolaGoodman, PatrickNascimento Saldiva, Paulo HilarioAbrutzky, RosanaOsorio, SamuelDang, Tran NgocColistro, ValentinaHuber, VeronikaLee, WhanheeSeposo, XerxesHonda, YasushiBell, Michelle L.Guo, Yuming2023-01-16T16:03:11Z2022-03-112022-03-11T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.18/8441engInnovation (Camb) . 2022 Mar 29;3(2):100225. doi: 10.1016/j.xinn.2022.100225. eCollection 2022 Mar 11.10.1016/j.xinn.2022.100225info:eu-repo/semantics/embargoedAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-07-20T15:42:25Zoai:repositorio.insa.pt:10400.18/8441Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T18:42:48.930937Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse |
| dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Fluctuating temperature modifies heat-mortality association around the globe |
| title |
Fluctuating temperature modifies heat-mortality association around the globe |
| spellingShingle |
Fluctuating temperature modifies heat-mortality association around the globe Wu, Yao Heat Modification Effect Mortality Temperature Variability Avaliação do Risco |
| title_short |
Fluctuating temperature modifies heat-mortality association around the globe |
| title_full |
Fluctuating temperature modifies heat-mortality association around the globe |
| title_fullStr |
Fluctuating temperature modifies heat-mortality association around the globe |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Fluctuating temperature modifies heat-mortality association around the globe |
| title_sort |
Fluctuating temperature modifies heat-mortality association around the globe |
| author |
Wu, Yao |
| author_facet |
Wu, Yao Wen, Bo Li, Shanshan Gasparrini, Antonio Tong, Shilu Overcenco, Ala Urban, Aleš Schneider, Alexandra Entezari, Alireza Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria Zanobetti, Antonella Analitis, Antonis Zeka, Ariana Tobias, Aurelio Alahmad, Barrak Armstrong, Ben Forsberg, Bertil Íñiguez, Carmen Ameling, Caroline De la Cruz Valencia, César Åström, Christofer Houthuijs, Danny Van Dung, Do Royé, Dominic Indermitte, Ene Lavigne, Eric Mayvaneh, Fatemeh Acquaotta, Fiorella de’Donato, Francesca Sera, Francesco Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel Kan, Haidong Orru, Hans Kim, Ho Holobaca, Iulian-Horia Kyselý, Jan Madureira, Joana Schwartz, Joel Katsouyanni, Klea Hurtado-Diaz, Magali Ragettli, Martina S. Hashizume, Masahiro Pascal, Mathilde de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coélho, Micheline Scovronick, Noah Michelozzi, Paola Goodman, Patrick Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Abrutzky, Rosana Osorio, Samuel Dang, Tran Ngoc Colistro, Valentina Huber, Veronika Lee, Whanhee Seposo, Xerxes Honda, Yasushi Bell, Michelle L. Guo, Yuming |
| author_role |
author |
| author2 |
Wen, Bo Li, Shanshan Gasparrini, Antonio Tong, Shilu Overcenco, Ala Urban, Aleš Schneider, Alexandra Entezari, Alireza Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria Zanobetti, Antonella Analitis, Antonis Zeka, Ariana Tobias, Aurelio Alahmad, Barrak Armstrong, Ben Forsberg, Bertil Íñiguez, Carmen Ameling, Caroline De la Cruz Valencia, César Åström, Christofer Houthuijs, Danny Van Dung, Do Royé, Dominic Indermitte, Ene Lavigne, Eric Mayvaneh, Fatemeh Acquaotta, Fiorella de’Donato, Francesca Sera, Francesco Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel Kan, Haidong Orru, Hans Kim, Ho Holobaca, Iulian-Horia Kyselý, Jan Madureira, Joana Schwartz, Joel Katsouyanni, Klea Hurtado-Diaz, Magali Ragettli, Martina S. Hashizume, Masahiro Pascal, Mathilde de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coélho, Micheline Scovronick, Noah Michelozzi, Paola Goodman, Patrick Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Abrutzky, Rosana Osorio, Samuel Dang, Tran Ngoc Colistro, Valentina Huber, Veronika Lee, Whanhee Seposo, Xerxes Honda, Yasushi Bell, Michelle L. Guo, Yuming |
| author2_role |
author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author author |
| dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Científico do Instituto Nacional de Saúde |
| dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Wu, Yao Wen, Bo Li, Shanshan Gasparrini, Antonio Tong, Shilu Overcenco, Ala Urban, Aleš Schneider, Alexandra Entezari, Alireza Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria Zanobetti, Antonella Analitis, Antonis Zeka, Ariana Tobias, Aurelio Alahmad, Barrak Armstrong, Ben Forsberg, Bertil Íñiguez, Carmen Ameling, Caroline De la Cruz Valencia, César Åström, Christofer Houthuijs, Danny Van Dung, Do Royé, Dominic Indermitte, Ene Lavigne, Eric Mayvaneh, Fatemeh Acquaotta, Fiorella de’Donato, Francesca Sera, Francesco Carrasco-Escobar, Gabriel Kan, Haidong Orru, Hans Kim, Ho Holobaca, Iulian-Horia Kyselý, Jan Madureira, Joana Schwartz, Joel Katsouyanni, Klea Hurtado-Diaz, Magali Ragettli, Martina S. Hashizume, Masahiro Pascal, Mathilde de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coélho, Micheline Scovronick, Noah Michelozzi, Paola Goodman, Patrick Nascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Abrutzky, Rosana Osorio, Samuel Dang, Tran Ngoc Colistro, Valentina Huber, Veronika Lee, Whanhee Seposo, Xerxes Honda, Yasushi Bell, Michelle L. Guo, Yuming |
| dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Heat Modification Effect Mortality Temperature Variability Avaliação do Risco |
| topic |
Heat Modification Effect Mortality Temperature Variability Avaliação do Risco |
| description |
Free PMC article https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8942841/ |
| publishDate |
2022 |
| dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2022-03-11 2022-03-11T00:00:00Z 2023-01-16T16:03:11Z |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
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article |
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publishedVersion |
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http://hdl.handle.net/10400.18/8441 |
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http://hdl.handle.net/10400.18/8441 |
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eng |
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eng |
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Innovation (Camb) . 2022 Mar 29;3(2):100225. doi: 10.1016/j.xinn.2022.100225. eCollection 2022 Mar 11. 10.1016/j.xinn.2022.100225 |
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embargoedAccess |
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application/pdf |
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Elsevier/ Cell Press |
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Elsevier/ Cell Press |
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Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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