Development of a feasibility model for a High Speed Rail (HSR) line project

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Garcia,Reinaldo C.
Data de Publicação: 2016
Outros Autores: Goulart,Aline, Veiga,Thais da C., Cunha,Luiza V. da, Vilarindo,Marcos
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Journal of Transport Literature
Texto Completo: http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2238-10312016000200020
Resumo: AbstractThe building costs of a High Speed Rail line project besides its acquisition, operation and maintenance ones, are very high making it an expensive option of transportation. The implementation of a HSR project must then be evaluated, determining its costs and revenues, in order to justify its viability. This research proposes a model to evaluate the feasibility of a HSR line. The model considers the cases where the demand and the costs have uncertainties, assuming also that the initial evaluated demand can be overestimated. A detailed explanation of the proposed model is given and empirical results for the Brazilian HSR project are discussed. The results show that such a project is a very risky one, and it must be carefully discussed before it becomes a reality.
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spelling Development of a feasibility model for a High Speed Rail (HSR) line projecthigh speed railfeasibilityriskprojectAbstractThe building costs of a High Speed Rail line project besides its acquisition, operation and maintenance ones, are very high making it an expensive option of transportation. The implementation of a HSR project must then be evaluated, determining its costs and revenues, in order to justify its viability. This research proposes a model to evaluate the feasibility of a HSR line. The model considers the cases where the demand and the costs have uncertainties, assuming also that the initial evaluated demand can be overestimated. A detailed explanation of the proposed model is given and empirical results for the Brazilian HSR project are discussed. The results show that such a project is a very risky one, and it must be carefully discussed before it becomes a reality.Sociedade Brasileira de Planejamento dos Transportes2016-06-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontext/htmlhttp://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2238-10312016000200020Journal of Transport Literature v.10 n.2 2016reponame:Journal of Transport Literatureinstname:Sociedade Brasileira de Planejamento dos Transportes (SBPT)instacron:SBPTR10.1590/2238-1031.jtl.v10n2a4info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessGarcia,Reinaldo C.Goulart,AlineVeiga,Thais da C.Cunha,Luiza V. daVilarindo,Marcoseng2015-09-29T00:00:00Zoai:scielo:S2238-10312016000200020Revistahttp://www.journal-of-transport-literature.org/https://old.scielo.br/oai/scielo-oai.php||alessandro.oliveira@pq.cnpq.br|| editor.jtl@gmail.com2238-10312238-1031opendoar:2015-09-29T00:00Journal of Transport Literature - Sociedade Brasileira de Planejamento dos Transportes (SBPT)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Development of a feasibility model for a High Speed Rail (HSR) line project
title Development of a feasibility model for a High Speed Rail (HSR) line project
spellingShingle Development of a feasibility model for a High Speed Rail (HSR) line project
Garcia,Reinaldo C.
high speed rail
feasibility
risk
project
title_short Development of a feasibility model for a High Speed Rail (HSR) line project
title_full Development of a feasibility model for a High Speed Rail (HSR) line project
title_fullStr Development of a feasibility model for a High Speed Rail (HSR) line project
title_full_unstemmed Development of a feasibility model for a High Speed Rail (HSR) line project
title_sort Development of a feasibility model for a High Speed Rail (HSR) line project
author Garcia,Reinaldo C.
author_facet Garcia,Reinaldo C.
Goulart,Aline
Veiga,Thais da C.
Cunha,Luiza V. da
Vilarindo,Marcos
author_role author
author2 Goulart,Aline
Veiga,Thais da C.
Cunha,Luiza V. da
Vilarindo,Marcos
author2_role author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Garcia,Reinaldo C.
Goulart,Aline
Veiga,Thais da C.
Cunha,Luiza V. da
Vilarindo,Marcos
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv high speed rail
feasibility
risk
project
topic high speed rail
feasibility
risk
project
description AbstractThe building costs of a High Speed Rail line project besides its acquisition, operation and maintenance ones, are very high making it an expensive option of transportation. The implementation of a HSR project must then be evaluated, determining its costs and revenues, in order to justify its viability. This research proposes a model to evaluate the feasibility of a HSR line. The model considers the cases where the demand and the costs have uncertainties, assuming also that the initial evaluated demand can be overestimated. A detailed explanation of the proposed model is given and empirical results for the Brazilian HSR project are discussed. The results show that such a project is a very risky one, and it must be carefully discussed before it becomes a reality.
publishDate 2016
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2016-06-01
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2238-10312016000200020
url http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2238-10312016000200020
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv 10.1590/2238-1031.jtl.v10n2a4
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
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dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Sociedade Brasileira de Planejamento dos Transportes
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Sociedade Brasileira de Planejamento dos Transportes
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Journal of Transport Literature v.10 n.2 2016
reponame:Journal of Transport Literature
instname:Sociedade Brasileira de Planejamento dos Transportes (SBPT)
instacron:SBPTR
instname_str Sociedade Brasileira de Planejamento dos Transportes (SBPT)
instacron_str SBPTR
institution SBPTR
reponame_str Journal of Transport Literature
collection Journal of Transport Literature
repository.name.fl_str_mv Journal of Transport Literature - Sociedade Brasileira de Planejamento dos Transportes (SBPT)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv ||alessandro.oliveira@pq.cnpq.br|| editor.jtl@gmail.com
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