LAGRANGE MULTIPLIERS IN THE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS ELICITATION PROBLEM: AN APPLICATION TO THE 2013 FIFA CONFEDERATIONS CUP

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Bezerra,Diogo de Carvalho
Data de Publicação: 2015
Outros Autores: Rêgo,Leandro Chaves
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Pesquisa operacional (Online)
Texto Completo: http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0101-74382015000300489
Resumo: ABSTRACT Contributions from the sensitivity analysis of the parameters of the linear programming model for the elicitation of experts' beliefs are presented. The process allows for the calibration of the family of probability distributions obtained in the elicitation process. An experiment to obtain the probability distribution of a future event (Brazil vs. Spain soccer game in the 2013 FIFA Confederations Cup final game) was conducted. The proposed sensitivity analysis step may help to reduce the vagueness of the information given by the expert.
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spelling LAGRANGE MULTIPLIERS IN THE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS ELICITATION PROBLEM: AN APPLICATION TO THE 2013 FIFA CONFEDERATIONS CUPElicitationlinear programmingsoccer and sensitivity analysisABSTRACT Contributions from the sensitivity analysis of the parameters of the linear programming model for the elicitation of experts' beliefs are presented. The process allows for the calibration of the family of probability distributions obtained in the elicitation process. An experiment to obtain the probability distribution of a future event (Brazil vs. Spain soccer game in the 2013 FIFA Confederations Cup final game) was conducted. The proposed sensitivity analysis step may help to reduce the vagueness of the information given by the expert.Sociedade Brasileira de Pesquisa Operacional2015-12-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontext/htmlhttp://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0101-74382015000300489Pesquisa Operacional v.35 n.3 2015reponame:Pesquisa operacional (Online)instname:Sociedade Brasileira de Pesquisa Operacional (SOBRAPO)instacron:SOBRAPO10.1590/0101-7438.2015.035.03.0489info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessBezerra,Diogo de CarvalhoRêgo,Leandro Chaveseng2016-01-26T00:00:00Zoai:scielo:S0101-74382015000300489Revistahttp://www.scielo.br/popehttps://old.scielo.br/oai/scielo-oai.php||sobrapo@sobrapo.org.br1678-51420101-7438opendoar:2016-01-26T00:00Pesquisa operacional (Online) - Sociedade Brasileira de Pesquisa Operacional (SOBRAPO)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv LAGRANGE MULTIPLIERS IN THE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS ELICITATION PROBLEM: AN APPLICATION TO THE 2013 FIFA CONFEDERATIONS CUP
title LAGRANGE MULTIPLIERS IN THE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS ELICITATION PROBLEM: AN APPLICATION TO THE 2013 FIFA CONFEDERATIONS CUP
spellingShingle LAGRANGE MULTIPLIERS IN THE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS ELICITATION PROBLEM: AN APPLICATION TO THE 2013 FIFA CONFEDERATIONS CUP
Bezerra,Diogo de Carvalho
Elicitation
linear programming
soccer and sensitivity analysis
title_short LAGRANGE MULTIPLIERS IN THE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS ELICITATION PROBLEM: AN APPLICATION TO THE 2013 FIFA CONFEDERATIONS CUP
title_full LAGRANGE MULTIPLIERS IN THE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS ELICITATION PROBLEM: AN APPLICATION TO THE 2013 FIFA CONFEDERATIONS CUP
title_fullStr LAGRANGE MULTIPLIERS IN THE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS ELICITATION PROBLEM: AN APPLICATION TO THE 2013 FIFA CONFEDERATIONS CUP
title_full_unstemmed LAGRANGE MULTIPLIERS IN THE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS ELICITATION PROBLEM: AN APPLICATION TO THE 2013 FIFA CONFEDERATIONS CUP
title_sort LAGRANGE MULTIPLIERS IN THE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS ELICITATION PROBLEM: AN APPLICATION TO THE 2013 FIFA CONFEDERATIONS CUP
author Bezerra,Diogo de Carvalho
author_facet Bezerra,Diogo de Carvalho
Rêgo,Leandro Chaves
author_role author
author2 Rêgo,Leandro Chaves
author2_role author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Bezerra,Diogo de Carvalho
Rêgo,Leandro Chaves
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Elicitation
linear programming
soccer and sensitivity analysis
topic Elicitation
linear programming
soccer and sensitivity analysis
description ABSTRACT Contributions from the sensitivity analysis of the parameters of the linear programming model for the elicitation of experts' beliefs are presented. The process allows for the calibration of the family of probability distributions obtained in the elicitation process. An experiment to obtain the probability distribution of a future event (Brazil vs. Spain soccer game in the 2013 FIFA Confederations Cup final game) was conducted. The proposed sensitivity analysis step may help to reduce the vagueness of the information given by the expert.
publishDate 2015
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2015-12-01
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0101-74382015000300489
url http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0101-74382015000300489
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv 10.1590/0101-7438.2015.035.03.0489
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv text/html
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Sociedade Brasileira de Pesquisa Operacional
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Sociedade Brasileira de Pesquisa Operacional
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Pesquisa Operacional v.35 n.3 2015
reponame:Pesquisa operacional (Online)
instname:Sociedade Brasileira de Pesquisa Operacional (SOBRAPO)
instacron:SOBRAPO
instname_str Sociedade Brasileira de Pesquisa Operacional (SOBRAPO)
instacron_str SOBRAPO
institution SOBRAPO
reponame_str Pesquisa operacional (Online)
collection Pesquisa operacional (Online)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Pesquisa operacional (Online) - Sociedade Brasileira de Pesquisa Operacional (SOBRAPO)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv ||sobrapo@sobrapo.org.br
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