LAGRANGE MULTIPLIERS IN THE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS ELICITATION PROBLEM: AN APPLICATION TO THE 2013 FIFA CONFEDERATIONS CUP
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2015 |
Outros Autores: | |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Pesquisa operacional (Online) |
Texto Completo: | http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0101-74382015000300489 |
Resumo: | ABSTRACT Contributions from the sensitivity analysis of the parameters of the linear programming model for the elicitation of experts' beliefs are presented. The process allows for the calibration of the family of probability distributions obtained in the elicitation process. An experiment to obtain the probability distribution of a future event (Brazil vs. Spain soccer game in the 2013 FIFA Confederations Cup final game) was conducted. The proposed sensitivity analysis step may help to reduce the vagueness of the information given by the expert. |
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LAGRANGE MULTIPLIERS IN THE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS ELICITATION PROBLEM: AN APPLICATION TO THE 2013 FIFA CONFEDERATIONS CUPElicitationlinear programmingsoccer and sensitivity analysisABSTRACT Contributions from the sensitivity analysis of the parameters of the linear programming model for the elicitation of experts' beliefs are presented. The process allows for the calibration of the family of probability distributions obtained in the elicitation process. An experiment to obtain the probability distribution of a future event (Brazil vs. Spain soccer game in the 2013 FIFA Confederations Cup final game) was conducted. The proposed sensitivity analysis step may help to reduce the vagueness of the information given by the expert.Sociedade Brasileira de Pesquisa Operacional2015-12-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiontext/htmlhttp://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0101-74382015000300489Pesquisa Operacional v.35 n.3 2015reponame:Pesquisa operacional (Online)instname:Sociedade Brasileira de Pesquisa Operacional (SOBRAPO)instacron:SOBRAPO10.1590/0101-7438.2015.035.03.0489info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessBezerra,Diogo de CarvalhoRêgo,Leandro Chaveseng2016-01-26T00:00:00Zoai:scielo:S0101-74382015000300489Revistahttp://www.scielo.br/popehttps://old.scielo.br/oai/scielo-oai.php||sobrapo@sobrapo.org.br1678-51420101-7438opendoar:2016-01-26T00:00Pesquisa operacional (Online) - Sociedade Brasileira de Pesquisa Operacional (SOBRAPO)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
LAGRANGE MULTIPLIERS IN THE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS ELICITATION PROBLEM: AN APPLICATION TO THE 2013 FIFA CONFEDERATIONS CUP |
title |
LAGRANGE MULTIPLIERS IN THE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS ELICITATION PROBLEM: AN APPLICATION TO THE 2013 FIFA CONFEDERATIONS CUP |
spellingShingle |
LAGRANGE MULTIPLIERS IN THE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS ELICITATION PROBLEM: AN APPLICATION TO THE 2013 FIFA CONFEDERATIONS CUP Bezerra,Diogo de Carvalho Elicitation linear programming soccer and sensitivity analysis |
title_short |
LAGRANGE MULTIPLIERS IN THE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS ELICITATION PROBLEM: AN APPLICATION TO THE 2013 FIFA CONFEDERATIONS CUP |
title_full |
LAGRANGE MULTIPLIERS IN THE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS ELICITATION PROBLEM: AN APPLICATION TO THE 2013 FIFA CONFEDERATIONS CUP |
title_fullStr |
LAGRANGE MULTIPLIERS IN THE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS ELICITATION PROBLEM: AN APPLICATION TO THE 2013 FIFA CONFEDERATIONS CUP |
title_full_unstemmed |
LAGRANGE MULTIPLIERS IN THE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS ELICITATION PROBLEM: AN APPLICATION TO THE 2013 FIFA CONFEDERATIONS CUP |
title_sort |
LAGRANGE MULTIPLIERS IN THE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS ELICITATION PROBLEM: AN APPLICATION TO THE 2013 FIFA CONFEDERATIONS CUP |
author |
Bezerra,Diogo de Carvalho |
author_facet |
Bezerra,Diogo de Carvalho Rêgo,Leandro Chaves |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Rêgo,Leandro Chaves |
author2_role |
author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Bezerra,Diogo de Carvalho Rêgo,Leandro Chaves |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Elicitation linear programming soccer and sensitivity analysis |
topic |
Elicitation linear programming soccer and sensitivity analysis |
description |
ABSTRACT Contributions from the sensitivity analysis of the parameters of the linear programming model for the elicitation of experts' beliefs are presented. The process allows for the calibration of the family of probability distributions obtained in the elicitation process. An experiment to obtain the probability distribution of a future event (Brazil vs. Spain soccer game in the 2013 FIFA Confederations Cup final game) was conducted. The proposed sensitivity analysis step may help to reduce the vagueness of the information given by the expert. |
publishDate |
2015 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2015-12-01 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0101-74382015000300489 |
url |
http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0101-74382015000300489 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
10.1590/0101-7438.2015.035.03.0489 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
text/html |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Sociedade Brasileira de Pesquisa Operacional |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Sociedade Brasileira de Pesquisa Operacional |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Pesquisa Operacional v.35 n.3 2015 reponame:Pesquisa operacional (Online) instname:Sociedade Brasileira de Pesquisa Operacional (SOBRAPO) instacron:SOBRAPO |
instname_str |
Sociedade Brasileira de Pesquisa Operacional (SOBRAPO) |
instacron_str |
SOBRAPO |
institution |
SOBRAPO |
reponame_str |
Pesquisa operacional (Online) |
collection |
Pesquisa operacional (Online) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Pesquisa operacional (Online) - Sociedade Brasileira de Pesquisa Operacional (SOBRAPO) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
||sobrapo@sobrapo.org.br |
_version_ |
1750318017812627456 |