Economic viability of a canadian biodigester for power generation in dairy farming

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Demeu, Fabiana Alves
Data de Publicação: 2021
Outros Autores: Lopes, Marcos Aurélio, Reis, Eduardo Mitke Brandão, Lima, André Luis Ribeiro, Carvalho, Francisval Melo de, Palhares, Julio Cesar Pascale, Otenio, Marcelo Henrique
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Semina. Ciências Agrárias (Online)
Texto Completo: https://ojs.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrarias/article/view/40592
Resumo: This study aimed to analyze the economic viability of implementing and using a Canadian biodigester for power generation in a milk production system. Specifically, we intended to estimate the generated power production, the total production cost (TC), the total operating cost (TOC), and the effective operating cost (EOC) of 1 kW of power generated, and estimate the break-even point of the power produced. The research was carried out on a farm located in southern Minas Gerais (Brazil) from January to December 2017. Three scenarios were analyzed through the tree-point estimation (most likely, optimistic, and pessimistic). Scenario 1 considered the use of power for the acclimatization of free-stall barns during 13 hours day-1 plus the use of 50% of the produced biofertilizer. Scenario 2 considered the use of power during 13 hours day-1 for the acclimatization of free-stall barns and milking parlor, which means an increase in power consumption estimated at 10% compared to scenario 1, plus the use of 75% of the produced biofertilizer. Moreover, scenario 3 considered the use of power for the acclimatization of free-stall barns during 6.5 hours day-1 plus 25% of the produced biofertilizer. All scenarios considered the amount charged per kWh by the Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais (CEMIG). Monte Carlo simulations were carried out with minimum acceptable rates of return ranging from zero to 50%. Power generation was economically viable in all scenarios, with positive net present value (NPV), internal rates of return above the minimum acceptable rate of return, simple and discounted payback below the 10-year horizon, and satisfactory benefit-cost ratios. The EOC values of 1 kWh of power were estimated at R$ 0.1990, R$ 0.1791, and R$ 0.3308 for scenarios 1, 2, and 3, respectively, whereas the mean total cost (TC) was R$ 0.5618 (±0.21) considering all scenarios, above the purchase values at CEMIG, which would be R$ 0.50. The TC value was R$ 99,804.42 for scenarios 1 and 2, and R$ 92,424.09 for scenario 3, with a minimum acceptable rate of return of 8.50, while the TOC values were R$ 69,486.62 in scenarios 1 and 2, and R$ 62,229.66 in scenario 3. The amount of power generated in all scenarios was higher than the break-even point. All Monte Carlo simulation models showed positive NPV values, indicating that there is a high probability of being above expectations.
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spelling Economic viability of a canadian biodigester for power generation in dairy farmingViabilidade econômica da implantação de um biodigestor tipo canadense para a geração de energia elétrica destinada à atividade leiteiraScenario analysisBiofertilizerBiogasProfitability indicatorsWaste treatment.Análise de cenáriosBiofertilizanteBiogásIndicadores de rentabilidadeTratamento de Dejetos.This study aimed to analyze the economic viability of implementing and using a Canadian biodigester for power generation in a milk production system. Specifically, we intended to estimate the generated power production, the total production cost (TC), the total operating cost (TOC), and the effective operating cost (EOC) of 1 kW of power generated, and estimate the break-even point of the power produced. The research was carried out on a farm located in southern Minas Gerais (Brazil) from January to December 2017. Three scenarios were analyzed through the tree-point estimation (most likely, optimistic, and pessimistic). Scenario 1 considered the use of power for the acclimatization of free-stall barns during 13 hours day-1 plus the use of 50% of the produced biofertilizer. Scenario 2 considered the use of power during 13 hours day-1 for the acclimatization of free-stall barns and milking parlor, which means an increase in power consumption estimated at 10% compared to scenario 1, plus the use of 75% of the produced biofertilizer. Moreover, scenario 3 considered the use of power for the acclimatization of free-stall barns during 6.5 hours day-1 plus 25% of the produced biofertilizer. All scenarios considered the amount charged per kWh by the Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais (CEMIG). Monte Carlo simulations were carried out with minimum acceptable rates of return ranging from zero to 50%. Power generation was economically viable in all scenarios, with positive net present value (NPV), internal rates of return above the minimum acceptable rate of return, simple and discounted payback below the 10-year horizon, and satisfactory benefit-cost ratios. The EOC values of 1 kWh of power were estimated at R$ 0.1990, R$ 0.1791, and R$ 0.3308 for scenarios 1, 2, and 3, respectively, whereas the mean total cost (TC) was R$ 0.5618 (±0.21) considering all scenarios, above the purchase values at CEMIG, which would be R$ 0.50. The TC value was R$ 99,804.42 for scenarios 1 and 2, and R$ 92,424.09 for scenario 3, with a minimum acceptable rate of return of 8.50, while the TOC values were R$ 69,486.62 in scenarios 1 and 2, and R$ 62,229.66 in scenario 3. The amount of power generated in all scenarios was higher than the break-even point. All Monte Carlo simulation models showed positive NPV values, indicating that there is a high probability of being above expectations.Objetivou-se analisar a viabilidade econômica da implantação e utilização de um biodigestor tipo canadense para a geração de energia elétrica em um sistema de produção de leite. Especificamente, pretendeu-se estimar a produção de energia elétrica gerada, estimar o custo total de produção (CT), custo operacional total (COT) e custo operacional efetivo (COE) de um kW de energia gerada, e estimar o ponto de equilíbrio de energia produzida. A pesquisa foi realizada em uma propriedade localizada no sul de Minas Gerais, no período entre janeiro a dezembro de 2017. Realizou-se a análise de cenários MOP (mais provável, otimista e pessimista): cenários 1; 2 e 3. No cenário 1, foram considerados a utilização de energia elétrica para a climatização apenas dos galpões de free stall em 13 h dia-1, mais aproveitamento de 50% do biofertilizante produzido. No cenário 2, a utilização da energia elétrica foi de 13 h dia-1, utilizada para climatização dos galpões de free stall e sala de ordenha, um aumento de energia estimado em 10%, em relação ao cenário 1, mais aproveitamento de 75% do biofertilizante produzido; e, no cenário 3, adotou-se a utilização de energia elétrica para a climatização dos galpões de free stall em 6,5 h dia-1, mais aproveitamento de 25% do biofertilizante produzido. Em todos os cenários foi considerado o valor cobrado por kWh pela Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais (CEMIG). Realizou-se simulações de Monte Carlo com taxas mínimas de atratividade variando de zero a 50%. A geração de energia elétrica apresentou viabilidade econômica em todos os cenários, apresentando valor presente líquido (VLP) positivos, taxas internas de retorno acima da taxa mínima de atratividade, payback simples e descontados abaixo do horizonte de 10 anos e relações benefício-custo satisfatórias. O COE de 1 kWh de energia elétrica foi estimado em R$ 0,1990, R$ 0,1791 e R$ 0,3308 para os cenários 1, 2 e 3, respectivamente, enquanto que o CT médio, considerando todos os cenários, foi de R$ 0,5618 (±0,21), acima dos valores de aquisição na CEMIG, que seria de R$ 0,50. Os CT foram de R$ 99.804,42 para os cenários 1 e 2, e de R$ 92.424,09 para o 3, com taxa mínima de atratividade de 8,50, enquanto que COT foi de R$ 69.486,62 nos cenários 1 e 2, e de R$ 62.229,66 no 3. Em todos os cenários, a quantidade de energia elétrica gerada foi superior ao ponto de equilíbrio. Todos os modelos de simulação de Monte Carlo apresentaram VPL positivos, indicando que há grande probabilidade de ficarem acima do esperado. .UEL2021-01-19info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://ojs.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrarias/article/view/4059210.5433/1679-0359.2021v42n1p375Semina: Ciências Agrárias; Vol. 42 No. 1 (2021); 375-394Semina: Ciências Agrárias; v. 42 n. 1 (2021); 375-3941679-03591676-546Xreponame:Semina. Ciências Agrárias (Online)instname:Universidade Estadual de Londrina (UEL)instacron:UELenghttps://ojs.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrarias/article/view/40592/28517Copyright (c) 2020 Semina: Ciências Agráriashttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessDemeu, Fabiana AlvesLopes, Marcos AurélioReis, Eduardo Mitke BrandãoLima, André Luis RibeiroCarvalho, Francisval Melo dePalhares, Julio Cesar PascaleOtenio, Marcelo Henrique2022-10-04T15:41:32Zoai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/40592Revistahttp://www.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrariasPUBhttps://ojs.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrarias/oaisemina.agrarias@uel.br1679-03591676-546Xopendoar:2022-10-04T15:41:32Semina. Ciências Agrárias (Online) - Universidade Estadual de Londrina (UEL)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Economic viability of a canadian biodigester for power generation in dairy farming
Viabilidade econômica da implantação de um biodigestor tipo canadense para a geração de energia elétrica destinada à atividade leiteira
title Economic viability of a canadian biodigester for power generation in dairy farming
spellingShingle Economic viability of a canadian biodigester for power generation in dairy farming
Demeu, Fabiana Alves
Scenario analysis
Biofertilizer
Biogas
Profitability indicators
Waste treatment.
Análise de cenários
Biofertilizante
Biogás
Indicadores de rentabilidade
Tratamento de Dejetos.
title_short Economic viability of a canadian biodigester for power generation in dairy farming
title_full Economic viability of a canadian biodigester for power generation in dairy farming
title_fullStr Economic viability of a canadian biodigester for power generation in dairy farming
title_full_unstemmed Economic viability of a canadian biodigester for power generation in dairy farming
title_sort Economic viability of a canadian biodigester for power generation in dairy farming
author Demeu, Fabiana Alves
author_facet Demeu, Fabiana Alves
Lopes, Marcos Aurélio
Reis, Eduardo Mitke Brandão
Lima, André Luis Ribeiro
Carvalho, Francisval Melo de
Palhares, Julio Cesar Pascale
Otenio, Marcelo Henrique
author_role author
author2 Lopes, Marcos Aurélio
Reis, Eduardo Mitke Brandão
Lima, André Luis Ribeiro
Carvalho, Francisval Melo de
Palhares, Julio Cesar Pascale
Otenio, Marcelo Henrique
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Demeu, Fabiana Alves
Lopes, Marcos Aurélio
Reis, Eduardo Mitke Brandão
Lima, André Luis Ribeiro
Carvalho, Francisval Melo de
Palhares, Julio Cesar Pascale
Otenio, Marcelo Henrique
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Scenario analysis
Biofertilizer
Biogas
Profitability indicators
Waste treatment.
Análise de cenários
Biofertilizante
Biogás
Indicadores de rentabilidade
Tratamento de Dejetos.
topic Scenario analysis
Biofertilizer
Biogas
Profitability indicators
Waste treatment.
Análise de cenários
Biofertilizante
Biogás
Indicadores de rentabilidade
Tratamento de Dejetos.
description This study aimed to analyze the economic viability of implementing and using a Canadian biodigester for power generation in a milk production system. Specifically, we intended to estimate the generated power production, the total production cost (TC), the total operating cost (TOC), and the effective operating cost (EOC) of 1 kW of power generated, and estimate the break-even point of the power produced. The research was carried out on a farm located in southern Minas Gerais (Brazil) from January to December 2017. Three scenarios were analyzed through the tree-point estimation (most likely, optimistic, and pessimistic). Scenario 1 considered the use of power for the acclimatization of free-stall barns during 13 hours day-1 plus the use of 50% of the produced biofertilizer. Scenario 2 considered the use of power during 13 hours day-1 for the acclimatization of free-stall barns and milking parlor, which means an increase in power consumption estimated at 10% compared to scenario 1, plus the use of 75% of the produced biofertilizer. Moreover, scenario 3 considered the use of power for the acclimatization of free-stall barns during 6.5 hours day-1 plus 25% of the produced biofertilizer. All scenarios considered the amount charged per kWh by the Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais (CEMIG). Monte Carlo simulations were carried out with minimum acceptable rates of return ranging from zero to 50%. Power generation was economically viable in all scenarios, with positive net present value (NPV), internal rates of return above the minimum acceptable rate of return, simple and discounted payback below the 10-year horizon, and satisfactory benefit-cost ratios. The EOC values of 1 kWh of power were estimated at R$ 0.1990, R$ 0.1791, and R$ 0.3308 for scenarios 1, 2, and 3, respectively, whereas the mean total cost (TC) was R$ 0.5618 (±0.21) considering all scenarios, above the purchase values at CEMIG, which would be R$ 0.50. The TC value was R$ 99,804.42 for scenarios 1 and 2, and R$ 92,424.09 for scenario 3, with a minimum acceptable rate of return of 8.50, while the TOC values were R$ 69,486.62 in scenarios 1 and 2, and R$ 62,229.66 in scenario 3. The amount of power generated in all scenarios was higher than the break-even point. All Monte Carlo simulation models showed positive NPV values, indicating that there is a high probability of being above expectations.
publishDate 2021
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2021-01-19
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
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dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://ojs.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrarias/article/view/40592
10.5433/1679-0359.2021v42n1p375
url https://ojs.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrarias/article/view/40592
identifier_str_mv 10.5433/1679-0359.2021v42n1p375
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://ojs.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrarias/article/view/40592/28517
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv Copyright (c) 2020 Semina: Ciências Agrárias
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Copyright (c) 2020 Semina: Ciências Agrárias
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
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dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv UEL
publisher.none.fl_str_mv UEL
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Semina: Ciências Agrárias; Vol. 42 No. 1 (2021); 375-394
Semina: Ciências Agrárias; v. 42 n. 1 (2021); 375-394
1679-0359
1676-546X
reponame:Semina. Ciências Agrárias (Online)
instname:Universidade Estadual de Londrina (UEL)
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instname_str Universidade Estadual de Londrina (UEL)
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institution UEL
reponame_str Semina. Ciências Agrárias (Online)
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