Economic viability of a canadian biodigester for power generation in dairy farming
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2021 |
Outros Autores: | , , , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Semina. Ciências Agrárias (Online) |
Texto Completo: | https://ojs.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrarias/article/view/40592 |
Resumo: | This study aimed to analyze the economic viability of implementing and using a Canadian biodigester for power generation in a milk production system. Specifically, we intended to estimate the generated power production, the total production cost (TC), the total operating cost (TOC), and the effective operating cost (EOC) of 1 kW of power generated, and estimate the break-even point of the power produced. The research was carried out on a farm located in southern Minas Gerais (Brazil) from January to December 2017. Three scenarios were analyzed through the tree-point estimation (most likely, optimistic, and pessimistic). Scenario 1 considered the use of power for the acclimatization of free-stall barns during 13 hours day-1 plus the use of 50% of the produced biofertilizer. Scenario 2 considered the use of power during 13 hours day-1 for the acclimatization of free-stall barns and milking parlor, which means an increase in power consumption estimated at 10% compared to scenario 1, plus the use of 75% of the produced biofertilizer. Moreover, scenario 3 considered the use of power for the acclimatization of free-stall barns during 6.5 hours day-1 plus 25% of the produced biofertilizer. All scenarios considered the amount charged per kWh by the Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais (CEMIG). Monte Carlo simulations were carried out with minimum acceptable rates of return ranging from zero to 50%. Power generation was economically viable in all scenarios, with positive net present value (NPV), internal rates of return above the minimum acceptable rate of return, simple and discounted payback below the 10-year horizon, and satisfactory benefit-cost ratios. The EOC values of 1 kWh of power were estimated at R$ 0.1990, R$ 0.1791, and R$ 0.3308 for scenarios 1, 2, and 3, respectively, whereas the mean total cost (TC) was R$ 0.5618 (±0.21) considering all scenarios, above the purchase values at CEMIG, which would be R$ 0.50. The TC value was R$ 99,804.42 for scenarios 1 and 2, and R$ 92,424.09 for scenario 3, with a minimum acceptable rate of return of 8.50, while the TOC values were R$ 69,486.62 in scenarios 1 and 2, and R$ 62,229.66 in scenario 3. The amount of power generated in all scenarios was higher than the break-even point. All Monte Carlo simulation models showed positive NPV values, indicating that there is a high probability of being above expectations. |
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Economic viability of a canadian biodigester for power generation in dairy farmingViabilidade econômica da implantação de um biodigestor tipo canadense para a geração de energia elétrica destinada à atividade leiteiraScenario analysisBiofertilizerBiogasProfitability indicatorsWaste treatment.Análise de cenáriosBiofertilizanteBiogásIndicadores de rentabilidadeTratamento de Dejetos.This study aimed to analyze the economic viability of implementing and using a Canadian biodigester for power generation in a milk production system. Specifically, we intended to estimate the generated power production, the total production cost (TC), the total operating cost (TOC), and the effective operating cost (EOC) of 1 kW of power generated, and estimate the break-even point of the power produced. The research was carried out on a farm located in southern Minas Gerais (Brazil) from January to December 2017. Three scenarios were analyzed through the tree-point estimation (most likely, optimistic, and pessimistic). Scenario 1 considered the use of power for the acclimatization of free-stall barns during 13 hours day-1 plus the use of 50% of the produced biofertilizer. Scenario 2 considered the use of power during 13 hours day-1 for the acclimatization of free-stall barns and milking parlor, which means an increase in power consumption estimated at 10% compared to scenario 1, plus the use of 75% of the produced biofertilizer. Moreover, scenario 3 considered the use of power for the acclimatization of free-stall barns during 6.5 hours day-1 plus 25% of the produced biofertilizer. All scenarios considered the amount charged per kWh by the Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais (CEMIG). Monte Carlo simulations were carried out with minimum acceptable rates of return ranging from zero to 50%. Power generation was economically viable in all scenarios, with positive net present value (NPV), internal rates of return above the minimum acceptable rate of return, simple and discounted payback below the 10-year horizon, and satisfactory benefit-cost ratios. The EOC values of 1 kWh of power were estimated at R$ 0.1990, R$ 0.1791, and R$ 0.3308 for scenarios 1, 2, and 3, respectively, whereas the mean total cost (TC) was R$ 0.5618 (±0.21) considering all scenarios, above the purchase values at CEMIG, which would be R$ 0.50. The TC value was R$ 99,804.42 for scenarios 1 and 2, and R$ 92,424.09 for scenario 3, with a minimum acceptable rate of return of 8.50, while the TOC values were R$ 69,486.62 in scenarios 1 and 2, and R$ 62,229.66 in scenario 3. The amount of power generated in all scenarios was higher than the break-even point. All Monte Carlo simulation models showed positive NPV values, indicating that there is a high probability of being above expectations.Objetivou-se analisar a viabilidade econômica da implantação e utilização de um biodigestor tipo canadense para a geração de energia elétrica em um sistema de produção de leite. Especificamente, pretendeu-se estimar a produção de energia elétrica gerada, estimar o custo total de produção (CT), custo operacional total (COT) e custo operacional efetivo (COE) de um kW de energia gerada, e estimar o ponto de equilíbrio de energia produzida. A pesquisa foi realizada em uma propriedade localizada no sul de Minas Gerais, no período entre janeiro a dezembro de 2017. Realizou-se a análise de cenários MOP (mais provável, otimista e pessimista): cenários 1; 2 e 3. No cenário 1, foram considerados a utilização de energia elétrica para a climatização apenas dos galpões de free stall em 13 h dia-1, mais aproveitamento de 50% do biofertilizante produzido. No cenário 2, a utilização da energia elétrica foi de 13 h dia-1, utilizada para climatização dos galpões de free stall e sala de ordenha, um aumento de energia estimado em 10%, em relação ao cenário 1, mais aproveitamento de 75% do biofertilizante produzido; e, no cenário 3, adotou-se a utilização de energia elétrica para a climatização dos galpões de free stall em 6,5 h dia-1, mais aproveitamento de 25% do biofertilizante produzido. Em todos os cenários foi considerado o valor cobrado por kWh pela Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais (CEMIG). Realizou-se simulações de Monte Carlo com taxas mínimas de atratividade variando de zero a 50%. A geração de energia elétrica apresentou viabilidade econômica em todos os cenários, apresentando valor presente líquido (VLP) positivos, taxas internas de retorno acima da taxa mínima de atratividade, payback simples e descontados abaixo do horizonte de 10 anos e relações benefício-custo satisfatórias. O COE de 1 kWh de energia elétrica foi estimado em R$ 0,1990, R$ 0,1791 e R$ 0,3308 para os cenários 1, 2 e 3, respectivamente, enquanto que o CT médio, considerando todos os cenários, foi de R$ 0,5618 (±0,21), acima dos valores de aquisição na CEMIG, que seria de R$ 0,50. Os CT foram de R$ 99.804,42 para os cenários 1 e 2, e de R$ 92.424,09 para o 3, com taxa mínima de atratividade de 8,50, enquanto que COT foi de R$ 69.486,62 nos cenários 1 e 2, e de R$ 62.229,66 no 3. Em todos os cenários, a quantidade de energia elétrica gerada foi superior ao ponto de equilíbrio. Todos os modelos de simulação de Monte Carlo apresentaram VPL positivos, indicando que há grande probabilidade de ficarem acima do esperado. .UEL2021-01-19info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://ojs.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrarias/article/view/4059210.5433/1679-0359.2021v42n1p375Semina: Ciências Agrárias; Vol. 42 No. 1 (2021); 375-394Semina: Ciências Agrárias; v. 42 n. 1 (2021); 375-3941679-03591676-546Xreponame:Semina. Ciências Agrárias (Online)instname:Universidade Estadual de Londrina (UEL)instacron:UELenghttps://ojs.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrarias/article/view/40592/28517Copyright (c) 2020 Semina: Ciências Agráriashttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessDemeu, Fabiana AlvesLopes, Marcos AurélioReis, Eduardo Mitke BrandãoLima, André Luis RibeiroCarvalho, Francisval Melo dePalhares, Julio Cesar PascaleOtenio, Marcelo Henrique2022-10-04T15:41:32Zoai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/40592Revistahttp://www.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrariasPUBhttps://ojs.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrarias/oaisemina.agrarias@uel.br1679-03591676-546Xopendoar:2022-10-04T15:41:32Semina. Ciências Agrárias (Online) - Universidade Estadual de Londrina (UEL)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Economic viability of a canadian biodigester for power generation in dairy farming Viabilidade econômica da implantação de um biodigestor tipo canadense para a geração de energia elétrica destinada à atividade leiteira |
title |
Economic viability of a canadian biodigester for power generation in dairy farming |
spellingShingle |
Economic viability of a canadian biodigester for power generation in dairy farming Demeu, Fabiana Alves Scenario analysis Biofertilizer Biogas Profitability indicators Waste treatment. Análise de cenários Biofertilizante Biogás Indicadores de rentabilidade Tratamento de Dejetos. |
title_short |
Economic viability of a canadian biodigester for power generation in dairy farming |
title_full |
Economic viability of a canadian biodigester for power generation in dairy farming |
title_fullStr |
Economic viability of a canadian biodigester for power generation in dairy farming |
title_full_unstemmed |
Economic viability of a canadian biodigester for power generation in dairy farming |
title_sort |
Economic viability of a canadian biodigester for power generation in dairy farming |
author |
Demeu, Fabiana Alves |
author_facet |
Demeu, Fabiana Alves Lopes, Marcos Aurélio Reis, Eduardo Mitke Brandão Lima, André Luis Ribeiro Carvalho, Francisval Melo de Palhares, Julio Cesar Pascale Otenio, Marcelo Henrique |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Lopes, Marcos Aurélio Reis, Eduardo Mitke Brandão Lima, André Luis Ribeiro Carvalho, Francisval Melo de Palhares, Julio Cesar Pascale Otenio, Marcelo Henrique |
author2_role |
author author author author author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Demeu, Fabiana Alves Lopes, Marcos Aurélio Reis, Eduardo Mitke Brandão Lima, André Luis Ribeiro Carvalho, Francisval Melo de Palhares, Julio Cesar Pascale Otenio, Marcelo Henrique |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Scenario analysis Biofertilizer Biogas Profitability indicators Waste treatment. Análise de cenários Biofertilizante Biogás Indicadores de rentabilidade Tratamento de Dejetos. |
topic |
Scenario analysis Biofertilizer Biogas Profitability indicators Waste treatment. Análise de cenários Biofertilizante Biogás Indicadores de rentabilidade Tratamento de Dejetos. |
description |
This study aimed to analyze the economic viability of implementing and using a Canadian biodigester for power generation in a milk production system. Specifically, we intended to estimate the generated power production, the total production cost (TC), the total operating cost (TOC), and the effective operating cost (EOC) of 1 kW of power generated, and estimate the break-even point of the power produced. The research was carried out on a farm located in southern Minas Gerais (Brazil) from January to December 2017. Three scenarios were analyzed through the tree-point estimation (most likely, optimistic, and pessimistic). Scenario 1 considered the use of power for the acclimatization of free-stall barns during 13 hours day-1 plus the use of 50% of the produced biofertilizer. Scenario 2 considered the use of power during 13 hours day-1 for the acclimatization of free-stall barns and milking parlor, which means an increase in power consumption estimated at 10% compared to scenario 1, plus the use of 75% of the produced biofertilizer. Moreover, scenario 3 considered the use of power for the acclimatization of free-stall barns during 6.5 hours day-1 plus 25% of the produced biofertilizer. All scenarios considered the amount charged per kWh by the Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais (CEMIG). Monte Carlo simulations were carried out with minimum acceptable rates of return ranging from zero to 50%. Power generation was economically viable in all scenarios, with positive net present value (NPV), internal rates of return above the minimum acceptable rate of return, simple and discounted payback below the 10-year horizon, and satisfactory benefit-cost ratios. The EOC values of 1 kWh of power were estimated at R$ 0.1990, R$ 0.1791, and R$ 0.3308 for scenarios 1, 2, and 3, respectively, whereas the mean total cost (TC) was R$ 0.5618 (±0.21) considering all scenarios, above the purchase values at CEMIG, which would be R$ 0.50. The TC value was R$ 99,804.42 for scenarios 1 and 2, and R$ 92,424.09 for scenario 3, with a minimum acceptable rate of return of 8.50, while the TOC values were R$ 69,486.62 in scenarios 1 and 2, and R$ 62,229.66 in scenario 3. The amount of power generated in all scenarios was higher than the break-even point. All Monte Carlo simulation models showed positive NPV values, indicating that there is a high probability of being above expectations. |
publishDate |
2021 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2021-01-19 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://ojs.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrarias/article/view/40592 10.5433/1679-0359.2021v42n1p375 |
url |
https://ojs.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrarias/article/view/40592 |
identifier_str_mv |
10.5433/1679-0359.2021v42n1p375 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
https://ojs.uel.br/revistas/uel/index.php/semagrarias/article/view/40592/28517 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2020 Semina: Ciências Agrárias http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2020 Semina: Ciências Agrárias http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0 |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
UEL |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
UEL |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Semina: Ciências Agrárias; Vol. 42 No. 1 (2021); 375-394 Semina: Ciências Agrárias; v. 42 n. 1 (2021); 375-394 1679-0359 1676-546X reponame:Semina. Ciências Agrárias (Online) instname:Universidade Estadual de Londrina (UEL) instacron:UEL |
instname_str |
Universidade Estadual de Londrina (UEL) |
instacron_str |
UEL |
institution |
UEL |
reponame_str |
Semina. Ciências Agrárias (Online) |
collection |
Semina. Ciências Agrárias (Online) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Semina. Ciências Agrárias (Online) - Universidade Estadual de Londrina (UEL) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
semina.agrarias@uel.br |
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1799306083389407232 |