Riscos e benefícios do rastreamento mamográfico no Brasil.

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Santos, Arn Migowski Rocha dos
Data de Publicação: 2018
Tipo de documento: Tese
Idioma: por
Título da fonte: Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UERJ
Texto Completo: http://www.bdtd.uerj.br/handle/1/4811
Resumo: Evidence on the reduction of overall mortality with mammographic screening is inconclusive and to date no published study has covered all known harms associated with screening to assess the balance between risks and benefits of such intervention. In addition, the benefits and risks of screening vary across Brazilian states, but these differences have never been studied. The aim of the study was to estimate the risks and benefits of mammography screening in Brazil, in terms of deaths avoided and caused by screening. 196 life tables were constructed for benefit estimates and 13,440 for estimates of screening harms in Brazil and for the 27 Federative Units, for 5 different mammographic screening protocols, based on nationwide data from 2012 to 2015. The cumulative risk of cancer death was calculated in each cohort as well the absolute reduction in mortality with screening. Harms associated with screening were also estimated, including number of false positives, excess biopsies, overdiagnosis, overtreatment, and deaths due to: radio-induced breast cancer; suicides and cardiovascular diseases associated with overdiagnosis; surgical mortality; Stewart-Treves syndrome and cardiovascular disease, lung cancer, esophageal cancer, pulmonary thromboembolism and radio-induced breast sarcoma by overtreatment with adjuvant radiotherapy. The sensitivity analysis included three different scenarios for each screening protocol, in addition to additional simulations. In the most probable scenario, the reduction of the absolute risk of death from breast cancer with the biennial screening of 50 to 69 years in Brazil was 0.23% and, considering the screening harms, the net benefit was 21.2 deaths prevented by 10,000 invited to screening. The absolute benefit of the screening and the net benefit of the screening in the Federation Unit with the worst result, are three and a half times smaller than the one with the best result. The annual screening from 40 to 49 years resulted in 1.2 deaths per 10,000 invited to the screening, and even in the most favorable scenario, the difference between potentially avoided and caused deaths was 1.48 per 10,000 invited considering the most probable harms. In this age group, the greatest cause of death was breast cancers induced by mammograms (70% of the total), followed by cardiovascular diseases associated with adjuvant radiotherapy (16%), which were the main cause in the 50-69 years group (70% of the total), followed by radio-induced lung cancer (13%). The benefits of mammographic screening are lower in Brazil - and especially in the North and Northeast regions of the country - than in European countries. To reduce the harms of mammographic screening in Brazil, and to ensure that the balance between risks and benefits is likely to be favorable, the main measures that should be adopted are incentives for adherence to the official guidelines of the age group and target population; the institution of informed and shared decision prior to the request for screening; implementation of national quality programs for mammography and radiotherapy, and cessation of smoking in patients undergoing adjuvant radiotherapy.
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spelling Vianna, Cid Manso de Mellohttp://lattes.cnpq.br/6812480293653692Nadanovsky, Paulohttp://lattes.cnpq.br/1124111134306190Mendonça, Gulnar Azevedo e Silvahttp://lattes.cnpq.br/5225298757437978Bines, Joséhttp://lattes.cnpq.br/5739407657226676Teixeira, Maria Teresa Bustamantehttp://lattes.cnpq.br/4231160378291465Luiz, Ronir Raggiohttp://lattes.cnpq.br/8494412366544288http://lattes.cnpq.br/6181149173563038Santos, Arn Migowski Rocha dos2020-08-02T16:55:54Z2018-07-252018-05-28SANTOS, Arn Migowski Rocha dos. Riscos e benefícios do rastreamento mamográfico no Brasil.. 2018. 280 f. Tese (Doutorado em Ciências Humanas e Saúde; Epidemiologia; Política, Planejamento e Administração em Saúde; Administra) - Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, 2018.http://www.bdtd.uerj.br/handle/1/4811Evidence on the reduction of overall mortality with mammographic screening is inconclusive and to date no published study has covered all known harms associated with screening to assess the balance between risks and benefits of such intervention. In addition, the benefits and risks of screening vary across Brazilian states, but these differences have never been studied. The aim of the study was to estimate the risks and benefits of mammography screening in Brazil, in terms of deaths avoided and caused by screening. 196 life tables were constructed for benefit estimates and 13,440 for estimates of screening harms in Brazil and for the 27 Federative Units, for 5 different mammographic screening protocols, based on nationwide data from 2012 to 2015. The cumulative risk of cancer death was calculated in each cohort as well the absolute reduction in mortality with screening. Harms associated with screening were also estimated, including number of false positives, excess biopsies, overdiagnosis, overtreatment, and deaths due to: radio-induced breast cancer; suicides and cardiovascular diseases associated with overdiagnosis; surgical mortality; Stewart-Treves syndrome and cardiovascular disease, lung cancer, esophageal cancer, pulmonary thromboembolism and radio-induced breast sarcoma by overtreatment with adjuvant radiotherapy. The sensitivity analysis included three different scenarios for each screening protocol, in addition to additional simulations. In the most probable scenario, the reduction of the absolute risk of death from breast cancer with the biennial screening of 50 to 69 years in Brazil was 0.23% and, considering the screening harms, the net benefit was 21.2 deaths prevented by 10,000 invited to screening. The absolute benefit of the screening and the net benefit of the screening in the Federation Unit with the worst result, are three and a half times smaller than the one with the best result. The annual screening from 40 to 49 years resulted in 1.2 deaths per 10,000 invited to the screening, and even in the most favorable scenario, the difference between potentially avoided and caused deaths was 1.48 per 10,000 invited considering the most probable harms. In this age group, the greatest cause of death was breast cancers induced by mammograms (70% of the total), followed by cardiovascular diseases associated with adjuvant radiotherapy (16%), which were the main cause in the 50-69 years group (70% of the total), followed by radio-induced lung cancer (13%). The benefits of mammographic screening are lower in Brazil - and especially in the North and Northeast regions of the country - than in European countries. To reduce the harms of mammographic screening in Brazil, and to ensure that the balance between risks and benefits is likely to be favorable, the main measures that should be adopted are incentives for adherence to the official guidelines of the age group and target population; the institution of informed and shared decision prior to the request for screening; implementation of national quality programs for mammography and radiotherapy, and cessation of smoking in patients undergoing adjuvant radiotherapy.As evidências sobre a redução da mortalidade geral com o rastreamento mamográfico são inconclusivas e até hoje nenhum estudo publicado abrangeu todos os danos reconhecidamente associados ao rastreamento para a avaliação do balanço entre riscos e benefícios dessa intervenção. Adicionalmente, os benéficos e riscos do rastreamento variam entre os estados brasileiros, mas essas diferenças nunca foram estudadas. O objetivo do estudo foi estimar os riscos e benefícios do rastreamento mamográfico no Brasil, em termos de óbitos evitados e causados pelo mesmo. Foram construídas 196 tábuas de vida para estimativas de benefícios e 13.440 para estimativas de danos do rastreamento no Brasil e para as 27 Unidades da Federação, para 5 diferentes protocolos de rastreamento mamográfico, com base em dados nacionais de 2012 a 2015. O risco cumulativo de morte por câncer de mama em cada coorte e a redução absoluta na mortalidade com o rastreamento foram calculados. Foram também estimados os danos associados ao rastreamento, incluindo número de falso-positivos, excesso de biópsias, números de casos de sobrediagnóstico e so0bretratamento e mortes por: câncer de mama radioinduzido; por suicídio e cardiovascular associadas ao sobrediagnóstico; mortalidade cirúrgica; síndrome de Stewart-Treves e doença cardiovascular, câncer de pulmão, câncer de esôfago, tromboembolismo pulmonar e sarcoma de mama radioinduzidos pelo sobretratamento com radioterapia adjuvante. A análise de sensibilidade incluiu três cenários diferentes para cada protocolo de rastreamento, além de outras simulações adicionais. No cenário mais provável, a redução do risco absoluto de morte por câncer de mama com o rastreamento bienal de 50 a 69 anos no Brasil foi de 0,23% e, considerando os danos do rastreamento, o benefício líquido foi de 21,2 mortes evitadas por 10 mil convidadas para o rastreamento. O benefício absoluto do rastreamento e o benefício líquido do rastreamento na UF com pior resultado, chegam a ser três vezes e meia menores do que naquela com melhor resultado. O rastreamento anual de 40 a 49 anos provocou 1,2 óbitos por 10 mil convidadas para o rastreamento e, mesmo no cenário mais favorável para a eficácia, a diferença entre óbitos potencialmente evitados e causados foi de 1,48 por 10 mil convidadas, considerando os danos mais prováveis. Nessa faixa etária, a maior causa de óbitos foi a indução de câncer de mama radioinduzido pelas mamografias (70% do total), seguidas pelas doenças cardiovasculares associadas à radioterapia adjuvante (16%), as quais foram a principal causa na faixa de 50 a 69 anos (70% do total), seguidas pelo câncer de pulmão radioinduzido (13%). Os benefícios do rastreamento mamográfico são menores no Brasil e especialmente nas regiões Norte e Nordeste - do que em países europeus. Para reduzir os danos do rastreamento mamográfico no Brasil, e assegurar que o balanço entre riscos e benefícios seja provavelmente favorável, as principais medidas que devem ser adotadas são incentivos para adesão às diretrizes oficiais de faixa etária e população-alvo; a instituição de decisão informada e compartilhada antes da solicitação de rastreamento; implementação de programas nacionais de qualidade em mamografia e de qualidade em radioterapia, além da cessação do tabagismo em pacientes que se submetem à radioterapia adjuvante.Submitted by Boris Flegr (boris@uerj.br) on 2020-08-02T16:55:54Z No. of bitstreams: 2 Tese Migowski completa bloqueada.pdf: 1094065 bytes, checksum: cfc85702aac9e48cb494b508cf589f3f (MD5) Tese Migowski parcial liberada.pdf: 545112 bytes, checksum: dda398b01acecbea1419007828c13a71 (MD5)Made available in DSpace on 2020-08-02T16:55:54Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 Tese Migowski completa bloqueada.pdf: 1094065 bytes, checksum: cfc85702aac9e48cb494b508cf589f3f (MD5) Tese Migowski parcial liberada.pdf: 545112 bytes, checksum: dda398b01acecbea1419007828c13a71 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2018-05-28application/pdfporUniversidade do Estado do Rio de JaneiroPrograma de Pós-Graduação em Saúde ColetivaUERJBRCentro Biomédico::Instituto de Medicina SocialBreast NeoplasmsCancer Early DetectionMass ScreeningMammographyMortalityLife TablesOverdiagnosisAdjuvant RadiotherapyMastectomyRadiation-Induced NeoplasmsCardiovascular DiseasesNeoplasias da MamaDetecção Precoce de CâncerProgramas de RastreamentoMamografiaMortalidadeTábuas de vidaSobrediagnósticoRadioterapia AdjuvanteMastectomiaNeoplasias Induzidas por RadiaçãoDoenças CardiovascularesCNPQ::CIENCIAS DA SAUDE::SAUDE COLETIVARiscos e benefícios do rastreamento mamográfico no Brasil.Risks and benefits of breast cancer screening in Brazil.info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesisinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UERJinstname:Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro (UERJ)instacron:UERJORIGINALTese_Arn Migowski Rocha dos Santos_2018_Completo.pdfTese_Arn Migowski Rocha dos Santos_2018_Completo.pdfapplication/pdf1094065http://www.bdtd.uerj.br/bitstream/1/4811/3/Tese_Arn+Migowski+Rocha+dos+Santos_2018_Completo.pdfcfc85702aac9e48cb494b508cf589f3fMD531/48112024-02-26 20:20:48.38oai:www.bdtd.uerj.br:1/4811Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertaçõeshttp://www.bdtd.uerj.br/PUBhttps://www.bdtd.uerj.br:8443/oai/requestbdtd.suporte@uerj.bropendoar:29032024-02-26T23:20:48Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UERJ - Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro (UERJ)false
dc.title.por.fl_str_mv Riscos e benefícios do rastreamento mamográfico no Brasil.
dc.title.alternative.eng.fl_str_mv Risks and benefits of breast cancer screening in Brazil.
title Riscos e benefícios do rastreamento mamográfico no Brasil.
spellingShingle Riscos e benefícios do rastreamento mamográfico no Brasil.
Santos, Arn Migowski Rocha dos
Breast Neoplasms
Cancer Early Detection
Mass Screening
Mammography
Mortality
Life Tables
Overdiagnosis
Adjuvant Radiotherapy
Mastectomy
Radiation-Induced Neoplasms
Cardiovascular Diseases
Neoplasias da Mama
Detecção Precoce de Câncer
Programas de Rastreamento
Mamografia
Mortalidade
Tábuas de vida
Sobrediagnóstico
Radioterapia Adjuvante
Mastectomia
Neoplasias Induzidas por Radiação
Doenças Cardiovasculares
CNPQ::CIENCIAS DA SAUDE::SAUDE COLETIVA
title_short Riscos e benefícios do rastreamento mamográfico no Brasil.
title_full Riscos e benefícios do rastreamento mamográfico no Brasil.
title_fullStr Riscos e benefícios do rastreamento mamográfico no Brasil.
title_full_unstemmed Riscos e benefícios do rastreamento mamográfico no Brasil.
title_sort Riscos e benefícios do rastreamento mamográfico no Brasil.
author Santos, Arn Migowski Rocha dos
author_facet Santos, Arn Migowski Rocha dos
author_role author
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv Vianna, Cid Manso de Mello
dc.contributor.advisor1Lattes.fl_str_mv http://lattes.cnpq.br/6812480293653692
dc.contributor.advisor-co1.fl_str_mv Nadanovsky, Paulo
dc.contributor.advisor-co1Lattes.fl_str_mv http://lattes.cnpq.br/1124111134306190
dc.contributor.referee1.fl_str_mv Mendonça, Gulnar Azevedo e Silva
dc.contributor.referee1Lattes.fl_str_mv http://lattes.cnpq.br/5225298757437978
dc.contributor.referee2.fl_str_mv Bines, José
dc.contributor.referee2Lattes.fl_str_mv http://lattes.cnpq.br/5739407657226676
dc.contributor.referee3.fl_str_mv Teixeira, Maria Teresa Bustamante
dc.contributor.referee3Lattes.fl_str_mv http://lattes.cnpq.br/4231160378291465
dc.contributor.referee4.fl_str_mv Luiz, Ronir Raggio
dc.contributor.referee4Lattes.fl_str_mv http://lattes.cnpq.br/8494412366544288
dc.contributor.authorLattes.fl_str_mv http://lattes.cnpq.br/6181149173563038
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Santos, Arn Migowski Rocha dos
contributor_str_mv Vianna, Cid Manso de Mello
Nadanovsky, Paulo
Mendonça, Gulnar Azevedo e Silva
Bines, José
Teixeira, Maria Teresa Bustamante
Luiz, Ronir Raggio
dc.subject.eng.fl_str_mv Breast Neoplasms
Cancer Early Detection
Mass Screening
Mammography
Mortality
Life Tables
Overdiagnosis
Adjuvant Radiotherapy
Mastectomy
Radiation-Induced Neoplasms
Cardiovascular Diseases
topic Breast Neoplasms
Cancer Early Detection
Mass Screening
Mammography
Mortality
Life Tables
Overdiagnosis
Adjuvant Radiotherapy
Mastectomy
Radiation-Induced Neoplasms
Cardiovascular Diseases
Neoplasias da Mama
Detecção Precoce de Câncer
Programas de Rastreamento
Mamografia
Mortalidade
Tábuas de vida
Sobrediagnóstico
Radioterapia Adjuvante
Mastectomia
Neoplasias Induzidas por Radiação
Doenças Cardiovasculares
CNPQ::CIENCIAS DA SAUDE::SAUDE COLETIVA
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Neoplasias da Mama
Detecção Precoce de Câncer
Programas de Rastreamento
Mamografia
Mortalidade
Tábuas de vida
Sobrediagnóstico
Radioterapia Adjuvante
Mastectomia
Neoplasias Induzidas por Radiação
Doenças Cardiovasculares
dc.subject.cnpq.fl_str_mv CNPQ::CIENCIAS DA SAUDE::SAUDE COLETIVA
description Evidence on the reduction of overall mortality with mammographic screening is inconclusive and to date no published study has covered all known harms associated with screening to assess the balance between risks and benefits of such intervention. In addition, the benefits and risks of screening vary across Brazilian states, but these differences have never been studied. The aim of the study was to estimate the risks and benefits of mammography screening in Brazil, in terms of deaths avoided and caused by screening. 196 life tables were constructed for benefit estimates and 13,440 for estimates of screening harms in Brazil and for the 27 Federative Units, for 5 different mammographic screening protocols, based on nationwide data from 2012 to 2015. The cumulative risk of cancer death was calculated in each cohort as well the absolute reduction in mortality with screening. Harms associated with screening were also estimated, including number of false positives, excess biopsies, overdiagnosis, overtreatment, and deaths due to: radio-induced breast cancer; suicides and cardiovascular diseases associated with overdiagnosis; surgical mortality; Stewart-Treves syndrome and cardiovascular disease, lung cancer, esophageal cancer, pulmonary thromboembolism and radio-induced breast sarcoma by overtreatment with adjuvant radiotherapy. The sensitivity analysis included three different scenarios for each screening protocol, in addition to additional simulations. In the most probable scenario, the reduction of the absolute risk of death from breast cancer with the biennial screening of 50 to 69 years in Brazil was 0.23% and, considering the screening harms, the net benefit was 21.2 deaths prevented by 10,000 invited to screening. The absolute benefit of the screening and the net benefit of the screening in the Federation Unit with the worst result, are three and a half times smaller than the one with the best result. The annual screening from 40 to 49 years resulted in 1.2 deaths per 10,000 invited to the screening, and even in the most favorable scenario, the difference between potentially avoided and caused deaths was 1.48 per 10,000 invited considering the most probable harms. In this age group, the greatest cause of death was breast cancers induced by mammograms (70% of the total), followed by cardiovascular diseases associated with adjuvant radiotherapy (16%), which were the main cause in the 50-69 years group (70% of the total), followed by radio-induced lung cancer (13%). The benefits of mammographic screening are lower in Brazil - and especially in the North and Northeast regions of the country - than in European countries. To reduce the harms of mammographic screening in Brazil, and to ensure that the balance between risks and benefits is likely to be favorable, the main measures that should be adopted are incentives for adherence to the official guidelines of the age group and target population; the institution of informed and shared decision prior to the request for screening; implementation of national quality programs for mammography and radiotherapy, and cessation of smoking in patients undergoing adjuvant radiotherapy.
publishDate 2018
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2018-07-25
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2018-05-28
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2020-08-02T16:55:54Z
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dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv SANTOS, Arn Migowski Rocha dos. Riscos e benefícios do rastreamento mamográfico no Brasil.. 2018. 280 f. Tese (Doutorado em Ciências Humanas e Saúde; Epidemiologia; Política, Planejamento e Administração em Saúde; Administra) - Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, 2018.
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://www.bdtd.uerj.br/handle/1/4811
identifier_str_mv SANTOS, Arn Migowski Rocha dos. Riscos e benefícios do rastreamento mamográfico no Brasil.. 2018. 280 f. Tese (Doutorado em Ciências Humanas e Saúde; Epidemiologia; Política, Planejamento e Administração em Saúde; Administra) - Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, 2018.
url http://www.bdtd.uerj.br/handle/1/4811
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