A Review of Scenario-Making in Brazilian Institutes

• Autor(a) principal: Nascimento, Desirée Emelly Gomes
• Data de Publicação: 2019
• Outros Autores: Gomes, Érika Santos, Oliveira, Lúcia Martins Pereira de, Souza, Marcel Mendes de, Oliveira, Raimundo Correa de
• Tipo de documento: Artigo
• Idioma: por
• Título da fonte: Cadernos de Prospecção (Online)
• Texto Completo: https://periodicos.ufba.br/index.php/nit/article/view/32798
• topic: Estudo de Cenários; Instituições Brasileiras; Planejamento Estratégico.; Study Scienarios; Brazilian Institutes; Strategic Planning.

Scenario-making becomes an indispensable tool for the organization's strategic planning, enabling the development of plausible and consistent descriptions of possible future situations. This study aimed to investigate whether Brazilian public or private institutions use scenario design in their strategic planning. A systematic review of the literature was performed, identifying 415 relevant articles, and the Web of Science database that stood out, of which 11 papers were analyzed in full. Regarding the scenario typology, we obtained five articles classified as “Normative”, four as “Exploratory” and two as “Predictive”. The energy sector stands out as the area of ​​activity that most used the elaboration of scenarios. The SWOT Matrix, Linear Progression, Surveys, and Workshops have been identified as scenario-building tools. In general, it was observed that the elaboration of scenarios in Brazil still needs to be further explored by the institutions.