Default rate SERASA: a study of series
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2009 |
Tipo de documento: | Dissertação |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UFC |
Texto Completo: | http://www.teses.ufc.br/tde_busca/arquivo.php?codArquivo=4154 |
Resumo: | With the improvement in income class C in Brazil since 2000 and a growing consumption of goods and services, there was a large increase in the number of people who had access to credit and thus the need for family financial planning. In this framework the evolution of default of individuals is central to the decisions of the credit business and economic developments in the country This work contributes through the use of econometric techniques such as unit root test, cointegration tests of Trace and Maximum Eigenvalue to explore the relationship between the volume of retail sales, the INPC (National Index of Consumer Price), number of workers with formal jobs and the Selic rate and default rate SERASA. The model results indicate that all explanatory variables have a positive correlation with the explanatory variable. |
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Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UFC |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisDefault rate SERASA: a study of seriesÃndice de inadimplÃncia SERASA: um estudo de sÃries temporais2009-08-06Paulo de Melo Jorge Neto35625660344http://lattes.cnpq.br/7568927888412924Luiz Ivan de Melo Castelar04506766334http://lattes.cnpq.br/8710490356999657JoÃo MÃrio de FranÃa0000000008500070000800Marcelo Ferreira PeixotoUniversidade Federal do CearÃPrograma de PÃs-GraduaÃÃo em Economia - CAENUFCBRCIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADASWith the improvement in income class C in Brazil since 2000 and a growing consumption of goods and services, there was a large increase in the number of people who had access to credit and thus the need for family financial planning. In this framework the evolution of default of individuals is central to the decisions of the credit business and economic developments in the country This work contributes through the use of econometric techniques such as unit root test, cointegration tests of Trace and Maximum Eigenvalue to explore the relationship between the volume of retail sales, the INPC (National Index of Consumer Price), number of workers with formal jobs and the Selic rate and default rate SERASA. The model results indicate that all explanatory variables have a positive correlation with the explanatory variable.Com a melhora na renda da classe C no Brasil a partir do ano 2000 e uma crescente por consumo de produtos e serviÃos, ocorreu um grande aumento no nÃmero de pessoas que tiveram acesso ao crÃdito, e assim a necessidade de um planejamento familiar financeiro. Nesse quadro a evoluÃÃo da inadimplÃncia das pessoas fÃsicas à um item essencial para as decisÃes de crÃdito das empresas e para a evoluÃÃo da economia do PaÃs. Esse trabalho contribui por meio do emprego de tÃcnicas economÃtricas como o teste de raiz unitÃria, testes de cointegraÃÃo do TraÃo e do MÃximo Autovalor para explorar a relaÃÃo entre o volume de vendas no varejo, o INPC (Ãndice Nacional de PreÃo ao Consumidor), nÃmero de trabalhadores com carteira assinada e a SELIC e o Ãndice de inadimplÃncia SERASA. Os resultados do modelo indicam que todas as variÃveis explicativas possuem uma correlaÃÃo positiva com a variÃvel explicada.nÃo hÃhttp://www.teses.ufc.br/tde_busca/arquivo.php?codArquivo=4154application/pdfinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessporreponame:Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UFCinstname:Universidade Federal do Cearáinstacron:UFC2019-01-21T11:17:12Zmail@mail.com - |
dc.title..fl_str_mv |
Default rate SERASA: a study of series |
dc.title.alternative.pt.fl_str_mv |
Ãndice de inadimplÃncia SERASA: um estudo de sÃries temporais |
title |
Default rate SERASA: a study of series |
spellingShingle |
Default rate SERASA: a study of series Marcelo Ferreira Peixoto CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS |
title_short |
Default rate SERASA: a study of series |
title_full |
Default rate SERASA: a study of series |
title_fullStr |
Default rate SERASA: a study of series |
title_full_unstemmed |
Default rate SERASA: a study of series |
title_sort |
Default rate SERASA: a study of series |
author |
Marcelo Ferreira Peixoto |
author_facet |
Marcelo Ferreira Peixoto |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv |
Paulo de Melo Jorge Neto |
dc.contributor.advisor1ID.fl_str_mv |
35625660344 |
dc.contributor.advisor1Lattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/7568927888412924 |
dc.contributor.referee1.fl_str_mv |
Luiz Ivan de Melo Castelar |
dc.contributor.referee1ID.fl_str_mv |
04506766334 |
dc.contributor.referee1Lattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/8710490356999657 |
dc.contributor.referee2.fl_str_mv |
JoÃo MÃrio de FranÃa |
dc.contributor.referee2ID.fl_str_mv |
00000000085 |
dc.contributor.authorID.fl_str_mv |
00070000800 |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Marcelo Ferreira Peixoto |
contributor_str_mv |
Paulo de Melo Jorge Neto Luiz Ivan de Melo Castelar JoÃo MÃrio de FranÃa |
dc.subject.cnpq.fl_str_mv |
CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS |
topic |
CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS |
dc.description.sponsorship.fl_txt_mv |
nÃo hà |
dc.description.abstract.por.fl_txt_mv |
With the improvement in income class C in Brazil since 2000 and a growing consumption of goods and services, there was a large increase in the number of people who had access to credit and thus the need for family financial planning. In this framework the evolution of default of individuals is central to the decisions of the credit business and economic developments in the country This work contributes through the use of econometric techniques such as unit root test, cointegration tests of Trace and Maximum Eigenvalue to explore the relationship between the volume of retail sales, the INPC (National Index of Consumer Price), number of workers with formal jobs and the Selic rate and default rate SERASA. The model results indicate that all explanatory variables have a positive correlation with the explanatory variable. Com a melhora na renda da classe C no Brasil a partir do ano 2000 e uma crescente por consumo de produtos e serviÃos, ocorreu um grande aumento no nÃmero de pessoas que tiveram acesso ao crÃdito, e assim a necessidade de um planejamento familiar financeiro. Nesse quadro a evoluÃÃo da inadimplÃncia das pessoas fÃsicas à um item essencial para as decisÃes de crÃdito das empresas e para a evoluÃÃo da economia do PaÃs. Esse trabalho contribui por meio do emprego de tÃcnicas economÃtricas como o teste de raiz unitÃria, testes de cointegraÃÃo do TraÃo e do MÃximo Autovalor para explorar a relaÃÃo entre o volume de vendas no varejo, o INPC (Ãndice Nacional de PreÃo ao Consumidor), nÃmero de trabalhadores com carteira assinada e a SELIC e o Ãndice de inadimplÃncia SERASA. Os resultados do modelo indicam que todas as variÃveis explicativas possuem uma correlaÃÃo positiva com a variÃvel explicada. |
description |
With the improvement in income class C in Brazil since 2000 and a growing consumption of goods and services, there was a large increase in the number of people who had access to credit and thus the need for family financial planning. In this framework the evolution of default of individuals is central to the decisions of the credit business and economic developments in the country This work contributes through the use of econometric techniques such as unit root test, cointegration tests of Trace and Maximum Eigenvalue to explore the relationship between the volume of retail sales, the INPC (National Index of Consumer Price), number of workers with formal jobs and the Selic rate and default rate SERASA. The model results indicate that all explanatory variables have a positive correlation with the explanatory variable. |
publishDate |
2009 |
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv |
2009-08-06 |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
format |
masterThesis |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://www.teses.ufc.br/tde_busca/arquivo.php?codArquivo=4154 |
url |
http://www.teses.ufc.br/tde_busca/arquivo.php?codArquivo=4154 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade Federal do Cearà |
dc.publisher.program.fl_str_mv |
Programa de PÃs-GraduaÃÃo em Economia - CAEN |
dc.publisher.initials.fl_str_mv |
UFC |
dc.publisher.country.fl_str_mv |
BR |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade Federal do Cearà |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UFC instname:Universidade Federal do Ceará instacron:UFC |
reponame_str |
Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UFC |
collection |
Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UFC |
instname_str |
Universidade Federal do Ceará |
instacron_str |
UFC |
institution |
UFC |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
-
|
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
mail@mail.com |
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1643295136300400640 |