MODELING FUTURE URBAN EXPANSION SCENARIOS IN PARATY MUNICIPALITY USING CELLULAR AUTOMATA
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2024 |
Outros Autores: | , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Revista Geographia (Niterói. Online) |
Texto Completo: | https://periodicos.uff.br/geographia/article/view/59381 |
Resumo: | Based on cellular automata, this work aims at modeling future urban expansion scenarios in Paraty municipality/RJ, in reason of its importance at regional levels due to tourism development and its recent urban growth. A modeling was performed in the software DINAMICA EGO with insertion of variables that influence the model in order to reproduce or repel the urban spots through the sum of the weights of evidence. Supported by the result of the process, a scenario was created for the year 2030, which followed the same trend of built areas concentration in and around the city center and scattered urban centers along BR-101. In short, the modeling proved to be satisfactory and consistent with the transitions of occupation observed in past periods, also demonstrating the importance of using urban growth planning analysis tools, which can be aided by the application of geotechnologies, as well as, for the management and planning of land cover and use. |
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MODELING FUTURE URBAN EXPANSION SCENARIOS IN PARATY MUNICIPALITY USING CELLULAR AUTOMATAMODÉLISATION DES SCÉNARIOS DE FUTURE EXPANSION URBAINE À PARATY, RJ, À L'AIDE DES AUTOMATES CELLULAIRESMODELAGEM DE CENÁRIOS FUTUROS DA EXPANSÃO URBANA EM PARATY-RJ BASEADOS EM AUTÔMATOS CELULARESModelos urbanosAutômatos celularesGeotecnologiasSimulação de cenáriosTransição da cobertura da terraUrban modelsCellular automataGeotechnologiesScenario simulationTransition of land coverModèles urbainsAutomates cellulairesGéotechnologiesSimulation de scénariosTransition de l'utilisation des terresBased on cellular automata, this work aims at modeling future urban expansion scenarios in Paraty municipality/RJ, in reason of its importance at regional levels due to tourism development and its recent urban growth. A modeling was performed in the software DINAMICA EGO with insertion of variables that influence the model in order to reproduce or repel the urban spots through the sum of the weights of evidence. Supported by the result of the process, a scenario was created for the year 2030, which followed the same trend of built areas concentration in and around the city center and scattered urban centers along BR-101. In short, the modeling proved to be satisfactory and consistent with the transitions of occupation observed in past periods, also demonstrating the importance of using urban growth planning analysis tools, which can be aided by the application of geotechnologies, as well as, for the management and planning of land cover and use.Basée sur les automates cellulaires, cette étude vise à modéliser les futurs scénarios d'expansion urbaine dans la municipalité de Paraty, située dans l'État de Rio de Janeiro. Ceci s'explique par son importance à l'échelle régionale, due au développement touristique et à la croissance urbaine récente. La modélisation a été réalisée à l'aide du logiciel DINAMICA EGO, en intégrant des variables qui influencent le modèle pour favoriser ou décourager les zones urbaines, grâce à la somme des poids de preuve. En se fondant sur les résultats de ce processus, un scénario a été élaboré pour l'année 2030, suivant la même tendance de concentration de l'occupation dans le centre-ville et ses environs, ainsi que des centres urbains dispersés le long de la BR-101. En résumé, cette modélisation s'est révélée satisfaisante et cohérente avec les transitions d'occupation observées au cours des périodes antérieures, démontrant également l'importance de recourir à des outils d'analyse pour la planification de la croissance urbaine, lesquels peuvent bénéficier de l'application des géotechnologies, ainsi que pour la gestion et la planification de l'occupation et de l'utilisation des terres.Baseado em autômatos celulares, este trabalho visa a modelagem de cenários futuros da expansão urbana de Paraty, estado do Rio de Janeiro, devido à importância que este município tem conquistado em âmbito regional em virtude do desenvolvimento turístico e de seu recente crescimento urbano. A modelagem foi efetuada no software DINAMICA EGO com a inserção de variáveis que influenciassem no modelo de forma a atrair ou repelir manchas urbanas através do somatório dos pesos de evidência. Apoiado no resultado do processo realizado, gerou-se cenário para o ano de 2030, que seguiu a mesma tendência de concentração da ocupação no centro da cidade e arredores e de núcleos urbanos dispersos ao longo da BR-101. Em suma, a modelagem se mostrou satisfatória e coerente com as transições da ocupação observada em períodos passados, demonstrando também a importância do uso de ferramentas de análise do ordenamento do crescimento urbano, o que pode ser auxiliado pela aplicação das geotecnologias, assim como, para a gestão e planejamento da cobertura e uso da terra.UFF2024-01-23info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionArtigo avaliado pelos Paresapplication/pdfhttps://periodicos.uff.br/geographia/article/view/5938110.22409/GEOgraphia2024.v26i56.a59381GEOgraphia; Vol. 26 No. 56 (2024): jan./jun.GEOgraphia; Vol. 26 Núm. 56 (2024): jan./jun.GEOgraphia; v. 26 n. 56 (2024): jan./jun.2674-81261517-779310.22409/GEOgraphia2024.v26i56reponame:Revista Geographia (Niterói. Online)instname:Universidade Federal Fluminense (UFF)instacron:UFFporhttps://periodicos.uff.br/geographia/article/view/59381/36050https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Silva Martins, JéssicaFeitosa da Rocha de Souza, Elizabeth MariaRichter, Monika2024-01-23T13:43:57Zoai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/59381Revistahttps://periodicos.uff.br/geographia/indexPUBhttps://periodicos.uff.br/geographia/oaiperiodicos@proppi.uff.br ; revistageographia@gmail.com2674-81261517-7793opendoar:2024-01-23T13:43:57Revista Geographia (Niterói. Online) - Universidade Federal Fluminense (UFF)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
MODELING FUTURE URBAN EXPANSION SCENARIOS IN PARATY MUNICIPALITY USING CELLULAR AUTOMATA MODÉLISATION DES SCÉNARIOS DE FUTURE EXPANSION URBAINE À PARATY, RJ, À L'AIDE DES AUTOMATES CELLULAIRES MODELAGEM DE CENÁRIOS FUTUROS DA EXPANSÃO URBANA EM PARATY-RJ BASEADOS EM AUTÔMATOS CELULARES |
title |
MODELING FUTURE URBAN EXPANSION SCENARIOS IN PARATY MUNICIPALITY USING CELLULAR AUTOMATA |
spellingShingle |
MODELING FUTURE URBAN EXPANSION SCENARIOS IN PARATY MUNICIPALITY USING CELLULAR AUTOMATA Silva Martins, Jéssica Modelos urbanos Autômatos celulares Geotecnologias Simulação de cenários Transição da cobertura da terra Urban models Cellular automata Geotechnologies Scenario simulation Transition of land cover Modèles urbains Automates cellulaires Géotechnologies Simulation de scénarios Transition de l'utilisation des terres |
title_short |
MODELING FUTURE URBAN EXPANSION SCENARIOS IN PARATY MUNICIPALITY USING CELLULAR AUTOMATA |
title_full |
MODELING FUTURE URBAN EXPANSION SCENARIOS IN PARATY MUNICIPALITY USING CELLULAR AUTOMATA |
title_fullStr |
MODELING FUTURE URBAN EXPANSION SCENARIOS IN PARATY MUNICIPALITY USING CELLULAR AUTOMATA |
title_full_unstemmed |
MODELING FUTURE URBAN EXPANSION SCENARIOS IN PARATY MUNICIPALITY USING CELLULAR AUTOMATA |
title_sort |
MODELING FUTURE URBAN EXPANSION SCENARIOS IN PARATY MUNICIPALITY USING CELLULAR AUTOMATA |
author |
Silva Martins, Jéssica |
author_facet |
Silva Martins, Jéssica Feitosa da Rocha de Souza, Elizabeth Maria Richter, Monika |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Feitosa da Rocha de Souza, Elizabeth Maria Richter, Monika |
author2_role |
author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Silva Martins, Jéssica Feitosa da Rocha de Souza, Elizabeth Maria Richter, Monika |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Modelos urbanos Autômatos celulares Geotecnologias Simulação de cenários Transição da cobertura da terra Urban models Cellular automata Geotechnologies Scenario simulation Transition of land cover Modèles urbains Automates cellulaires Géotechnologies Simulation de scénarios Transition de l'utilisation des terres |
topic |
Modelos urbanos Autômatos celulares Geotecnologias Simulação de cenários Transição da cobertura da terra Urban models Cellular automata Geotechnologies Scenario simulation Transition of land cover Modèles urbains Automates cellulaires Géotechnologies Simulation de scénarios Transition de l'utilisation des terres |
description |
Based on cellular automata, this work aims at modeling future urban expansion scenarios in Paraty municipality/RJ, in reason of its importance at regional levels due to tourism development and its recent urban growth. A modeling was performed in the software DINAMICA EGO with insertion of variables that influence the model in order to reproduce or repel the urban spots through the sum of the weights of evidence. Supported by the result of the process, a scenario was created for the year 2030, which followed the same trend of built areas concentration in and around the city center and scattered urban centers along BR-101. In short, the modeling proved to be satisfactory and consistent with the transitions of occupation observed in past periods, also demonstrating the importance of using urban growth planning analysis tools, which can be aided by the application of geotechnologies, as well as, for the management and planning of land cover and use. |
publishDate |
2024 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2024-01-23 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Artigo avaliado pelos Pares |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://periodicos.uff.br/geographia/article/view/59381 10.22409/GEOgraphia2024.v26i56.a59381 |
url |
https://periodicos.uff.br/geographia/article/view/59381 |
identifier_str_mv |
10.22409/GEOgraphia2024.v26i56.a59381 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
https://periodicos.uff.br/geographia/article/view/59381/36050 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
UFF |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
UFF |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
GEOgraphia; Vol. 26 No. 56 (2024): jan./jun. GEOgraphia; Vol. 26 Núm. 56 (2024): jan./jun. GEOgraphia; v. 26 n. 56 (2024): jan./jun. 2674-8126 1517-7793 10.22409/GEOgraphia2024.v26i56 reponame:Revista Geographia (Niterói. Online) instname:Universidade Federal Fluminense (UFF) instacron:UFF |
instname_str |
Universidade Federal Fluminense (UFF) |
instacron_str |
UFF |
institution |
UFF |
reponame_str |
Revista Geographia (Niterói. Online) |
collection |
Revista Geographia (Niterói. Online) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Revista Geographia (Niterói. Online) - Universidade Federal Fluminense (UFF) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
periodicos@proppi.uff.br ; revistageographia@gmail.com |
_version_ |
1797051585447067648 |