A comparison of corporate distress prediction models in Brazil: hybrid neural networks, logit models and discriminant analysis
Autor(a) principal: | |
---|---|
Data de Publicação: | 2009 |
Outros Autores: | |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Nova Economia (Online) |
Texto Completo: | https://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/novaeconomia/article/view/445 |
Resumo: | This paper looks at the ability of a relatively new technique, hybrid ANN’s, to predict corporate distress in Brazil. These models are compared with traditional statistical techniques and conventional ANN models. The results suggest that hybrid neural networks outperform all other models in predicting firms in financial distress one year prior to the event. This suggests that for researchers, policymakers and others interested in early warning systems, hybrid networks may be a useful tool for predicting firm failure. |
id |
UFMG-4_5a76ee50e89df79bcce4e9b76232a988 |
---|---|
oai_identifier_str |
oai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/445 |
network_acronym_str |
UFMG-4 |
network_name_str |
Nova Economia (Online) |
repository_id_str |
|
spelling |
A comparison of corporate distress prediction models in Brazil: hybrid neural networks, logit models and discriminant analysisA comparison of corporate distress prediction models in Brazil: hybrid neural networks, logit models and discriminant analysishybrid neural networkscorporate failures.redes neurais híbridasfalência de empresas.This paper looks at the ability of a relatively new technique, hybrid ANN’s, to predict corporate distress in Brazil. These models are compared with traditional statistical techniques and conventional ANN models. The results suggest that hybrid neural networks outperform all other models in predicting firms in financial distress one year prior to the event. This suggests that for researchers, policymakers and others interested in early warning systems, hybrid networks may be a useful tool for predicting firm failure.O presente artigo analisa o desempenho das redes neurais híbridas para prever falência de empresas no Brasil. Esta nova técnica foi comparada com modelos estatísticos tradicionais. Os resultados sugerem que as redes neurais híbridas são superiores as técnicas estatísticas um ano antes do evento. Isto sugere que para pesquisadores, políticos e outros interessados em “early warning systems”, redes neurais híbridas podem ser uma poderosa alternativa para prever falência de empresas.Departamento de Ciências Econômicas da UFMG2009-06-02info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/novaeconomia/article/view/445Nova Economia; Vol. 15 No. 1 (2005)Nova Economia; v. 15 n. 1 (2005)1980-53810103-6351reponame:Nova Economia (Online)instname:Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)instacron:UFMGporhttps://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/novaeconomia/article/view/445/442Yim, JulianaMitchell, Heatherinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2020-08-11T04:26:02Zoai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/445Revistahttps://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/novaeconomiaPUBhttps://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/novaeconomia/oai||ne@face.ufmg.br1980-53810103-6351opendoar:2020-08-11T04:26:02Nova Economia (Online) - Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
A comparison of corporate distress prediction models in Brazil: hybrid neural networks, logit models and discriminant analysis A comparison of corporate distress prediction models in Brazil: hybrid neural networks, logit models and discriminant analysis |
title |
A comparison of corporate distress prediction models in Brazil: hybrid neural networks, logit models and discriminant analysis |
spellingShingle |
A comparison of corporate distress prediction models in Brazil: hybrid neural networks, logit models and discriminant analysis Yim, Juliana hybrid neural networks corporate failures. redes neurais híbridas falência de empresas. |
title_short |
A comparison of corporate distress prediction models in Brazil: hybrid neural networks, logit models and discriminant analysis |
title_full |
A comparison of corporate distress prediction models in Brazil: hybrid neural networks, logit models and discriminant analysis |
title_fullStr |
A comparison of corporate distress prediction models in Brazil: hybrid neural networks, logit models and discriminant analysis |
title_full_unstemmed |
A comparison of corporate distress prediction models in Brazil: hybrid neural networks, logit models and discriminant analysis |
title_sort |
A comparison of corporate distress prediction models in Brazil: hybrid neural networks, logit models and discriminant analysis |
author |
Yim, Juliana |
author_facet |
Yim, Juliana Mitchell, Heather |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Mitchell, Heather |
author2_role |
author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Yim, Juliana Mitchell, Heather |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
hybrid neural networks corporate failures. redes neurais híbridas falência de empresas. |
topic |
hybrid neural networks corporate failures. redes neurais híbridas falência de empresas. |
description |
This paper looks at the ability of a relatively new technique, hybrid ANN’s, to predict corporate distress in Brazil. These models are compared with traditional statistical techniques and conventional ANN models. The results suggest that hybrid neural networks outperform all other models in predicting firms in financial distress one year prior to the event. This suggests that for researchers, policymakers and others interested in early warning systems, hybrid networks may be a useful tool for predicting firm failure. |
publishDate |
2009 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2009-06-02 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/novaeconomia/article/view/445 |
url |
https://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/novaeconomia/article/view/445 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
https://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/novaeconomia/article/view/445/442 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Departamento de Ciências Econômicas da UFMG |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Departamento de Ciências Econômicas da UFMG |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Nova Economia; Vol. 15 No. 1 (2005) Nova Economia; v. 15 n. 1 (2005) 1980-5381 0103-6351 reponame:Nova Economia (Online) instname:Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG) instacron:UFMG |
instname_str |
Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG) |
instacron_str |
UFMG |
institution |
UFMG |
reponame_str |
Nova Economia (Online) |
collection |
Nova Economia (Online) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Nova Economia (Online) - Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
||ne@face.ufmg.br |
_version_ |
1799711057315364864 |