Dynamics and determinants of export diversification in Brazil from 2003 to 2013.

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Oliveira, Heder Carlos de
Data de Publicação: 2020
Outros Autores: Jegu, Elodie, Santos, Venussia Eliane
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da UFOP
Texto Completo: http://www.repositorio.ufop.br/jspui/handle/123456789/13321
https://doi.org/10.1590/1982-3533.2020v29n1art02
Resumo: Brazil was successful in diversifying its export package from the 1960s to the beginning of the twenty-first century. However, this performance has been more ambiguous over the last decade. This study explores the literature on the impact of export diversification on economic growth and the determinants of successful diversification. More specifically, it analyzes the dynamics of Brazilian export diversification between 2003 and 2013. The results suggest that, overall, exports momentarily concentrated in 2004, 2008 and 2012, but rejoiced from a diversification spike in 2005. Southern and Southeastern states are found to have more diversified exports, but Central-West and Northeastern states have experienced higher diversification rates since 2006. Via a dynamic panel data analysis, using System General Methods of Moments estimation method, including all Brazilian states, past diversification performances, education, patents per capita, credits and public investments are found to be significant determinants of Brazilian export diversification.
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spelling Oliveira, Heder Carlos deJegu, ElodieSantos, Venussia Eliane2021-06-29T19:51:11Z2021-06-29T19:51:11Z2020OLIVEIRA, H. C. de; JEGU, E.; SANTOS, V. E. Dynamics and determinants of export diversification in Brazil from 2003 to 2013. Economia e Sociedade, Campinas, v. 29, n. 1 (68), p. 29-51, jan./abr. 2020. Disponível em: <https://www.scielo.br/j/ecos/a/grNQfyWqmC9VNswS834syqz/?lang=en>. Acesso em: 24 maio 2021.1982-3533http://www.repositorio.ufop.br/jspui/handle/123456789/13321https://doi.org/10.1590/1982-3533.2020v29n1art02Brazil was successful in diversifying its export package from the 1960s to the beginning of the twenty-first century. However, this performance has been more ambiguous over the last decade. This study explores the literature on the impact of export diversification on economic growth and the determinants of successful diversification. More specifically, it analyzes the dynamics of Brazilian export diversification between 2003 and 2013. The results suggest that, overall, exports momentarily concentrated in 2004, 2008 and 2012, but rejoiced from a diversification spike in 2005. Southern and Southeastern states are found to have more diversified exports, but Central-West and Northeastern states have experienced higher diversification rates since 2006. Via a dynamic panel data analysis, using System General Methods of Moments estimation method, including all Brazilian states, past diversification performances, education, patents per capita, credits and public investments are found to be significant determinants of Brazilian export diversification.Durante o período de 1960 até o início do século XXI, o Brasil apresentou um processo de diversificação das exportações do país de forma satisfatória. No entanto, essa performance tem sido bastante ambígua no decorrer das últimas décadas. Esse artigo, além de explorar a literatura que trata da relação entre diversificação das exportações e crescimento econômico, analisa os determinantes da diversificação das exportações brasileiras no período de 2003 a 2013. Para atingir os objetivos do artigo, foi utilizada a metodologia de Painel Dinâmico para os estados brasileiros. Os resultados indicam que, em geral, as exportações brasileiras concentraram-se momentaneamente nos anos de 2004, 2008 e 2012, mas tiveram um ligeiro processo de diversificação no ano 2005. Os estados do Sul e Sudeste são aqueles que apresentam maior diversificação dos produtos exportados, mas os estados do Centro-Oeste e Nordeste experimentam, desde o ano de 2006, altas taxas de diversificação das suas pautas de exportação. Além disso, os resultados econométricos indicam que as variáveis de educação, patentes per capitas, acesso ao crédito e investimentos públicos, demonstraram relação positiva e significativa com o processo de diversificação da economia brasileira no período estudado.Este artigo está sob os termos da Licença Creative Commons-Atribuição 4.0 Internacional. Fonte: o PDF do artigo.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessEconomic growthDados em painel dinâmicoCrescimento econômicoDynamics and determinants of export diversification in Brazil from 2003 to 2013.Dinâmica e determinantes da diversificação das exportações brasileiras no período de 2003 a 2013.info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleengreponame:Repositório Institucional da UFOPinstname:Universidade Federal de Ouro Preto (UFOP)instacron:UFOPORIGINALARTIGO_DynamicsDeterminantsExport.pdfARTIGO_DynamicsDeterminantsExport.pdfapplication/pdf1068015http://www.repositorio.ufop.br/bitstream/123456789/13321/1/ARTIGO_DynamicsDeterminantsExport.pdfc033ee4a204d6904b24dcd0a61d99dd5MD51LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-81748http://www.repositorio.ufop.br/bitstream/123456789/13321/2/license.txt8a4605be74aa9ea9d79846c1fba20a33MD52123456789/133212021-06-29 15:51:12.021oai:localhost: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Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttp://www.repositorio.ufop.br/oai/requestrepositorio@ufop.edu.bropendoar:32332021-06-29T19:51:12Repositório Institucional da UFOP - Universidade Federal de Ouro Preto (UFOP)false
dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Dynamics and determinants of export diversification in Brazil from 2003 to 2013.
dc.title.alternative.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Dinâmica e determinantes da diversificação das exportações brasileiras no período de 2003 a 2013.
title Dynamics and determinants of export diversification in Brazil from 2003 to 2013.
spellingShingle Dynamics and determinants of export diversification in Brazil from 2003 to 2013.
Oliveira, Heder Carlos de
Economic growth
Dados em painel dinâmico
Crescimento econômico
title_short Dynamics and determinants of export diversification in Brazil from 2003 to 2013.
title_full Dynamics and determinants of export diversification in Brazil from 2003 to 2013.
title_fullStr Dynamics and determinants of export diversification in Brazil from 2003 to 2013.
title_full_unstemmed Dynamics and determinants of export diversification in Brazil from 2003 to 2013.
title_sort Dynamics and determinants of export diversification in Brazil from 2003 to 2013.
author Oliveira, Heder Carlos de
author_facet Oliveira, Heder Carlos de
Jegu, Elodie
Santos, Venussia Eliane
author_role author
author2 Jegu, Elodie
Santos, Venussia Eliane
author2_role author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Oliveira, Heder Carlos de
Jegu, Elodie
Santos, Venussia Eliane
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Economic growth
Dados em painel dinâmico
Crescimento econômico
topic Economic growth
Dados em painel dinâmico
Crescimento econômico
description Brazil was successful in diversifying its export package from the 1960s to the beginning of the twenty-first century. However, this performance has been more ambiguous over the last decade. This study explores the literature on the impact of export diversification on economic growth and the determinants of successful diversification. More specifically, it analyzes the dynamics of Brazilian export diversification between 2003 and 2013. The results suggest that, overall, exports momentarily concentrated in 2004, 2008 and 2012, but rejoiced from a diversification spike in 2005. Southern and Southeastern states are found to have more diversified exports, but Central-West and Northeastern states have experienced higher diversification rates since 2006. Via a dynamic panel data analysis, using System General Methods of Moments estimation method, including all Brazilian states, past diversification performances, education, patents per capita, credits and public investments are found to be significant determinants of Brazilian export diversification.
publishDate 2020
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2020
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2021-06-29T19:51:11Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2021-06-29T19:51:11Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv OLIVEIRA, H. C. de; JEGU, E.; SANTOS, V. E. Dynamics and determinants of export diversification in Brazil from 2003 to 2013. Economia e Sociedade, Campinas, v. 29, n. 1 (68), p. 29-51, jan./abr. 2020. Disponível em: <https://www.scielo.br/j/ecos/a/grNQfyWqmC9VNswS834syqz/?lang=en>. Acesso em: 24 maio 2021.
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://www.repositorio.ufop.br/jspui/handle/123456789/13321
dc.identifier.issn.none.fl_str_mv 1982-3533
dc.identifier.doi.pt_BR.fl_str_mv https://doi.org/10.1590/1982-3533.2020v29n1art02
identifier_str_mv OLIVEIRA, H. C. de; JEGU, E.; SANTOS, V. E. Dynamics and determinants of export diversification in Brazil from 2003 to 2013. Economia e Sociedade, Campinas, v. 29, n. 1 (68), p. 29-51, jan./abr. 2020. Disponível em: <https://www.scielo.br/j/ecos/a/grNQfyWqmC9VNswS834syqz/?lang=en>. Acesso em: 24 maio 2021.
1982-3533
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