BRAZILIAN PERSPECTIVES OF THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL CRISES AFTER THE REAL PLAN
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2016 |
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Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Análise Econômica (Online) |
Texto Completo: | https://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/article/view/47984 |
Resumo: | In the 1990s and afterwards the global economy was the scenario of serious financial crises, first in emerging markets and in 2008/2009 in the world's largest economy - the United States. In times of globalization the impacts of these crises are quickly felt in all countries, among them Brazil. The work attempts to identify empirically with statistical and econometric methods impacts on chosen variables of the financial and the real side of the Brazilian economy. All analyzed crises had significant, while differentiated, impacts, on the Brazilian economy. The Brazilian crisis of 1998/1999 and the global financial crisis of 2008/2009 had the most significant impacts on the Brazilian economy. In every crisis the financial side of the Brazilian economy felt the impact of the crisis faster and more expressive, but especially in the global financial crisis of 2008/2009 the impacts on the real side of the Brazilian economy were expressive, while short-lived. But compared to countries like Indonesia in 1998, Argentina in 2002 and Greece in 2012 the Brazilian economy fared better in all crises, possibly a consequence of its large internal market, financial system stability and diversification of exports. |
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BRAZILIAN PERSPECTIVES OF THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL CRISES AFTER THE REAL PLANPERSPECTIVAS BRASILEIRAS FACE ÀS CRISES FINANCEIRAS PÓS-PLANO REALFinancial crisesBrazilian economyEconometricStatistical methodsG01E32C10Crises financeirasEconomia brasileiraEconometriaEstatísticaG01E32C10In the 1990s and afterwards the global economy was the scenario of serious financial crises, first in emerging markets and in 2008/2009 in the world's largest economy - the United States. In times of globalization the impacts of these crises are quickly felt in all countries, among them Brazil. The work attempts to identify empirically with statistical and econometric methods impacts on chosen variables of the financial and the real side of the Brazilian economy. All analyzed crises had significant, while differentiated, impacts, on the Brazilian economy. The Brazilian crisis of 1998/1999 and the global financial crisis of 2008/2009 had the most significant impacts on the Brazilian economy. In every crisis the financial side of the Brazilian economy felt the impact of the crisis faster and more expressive, but especially in the global financial crisis of 2008/2009 the impacts on the real side of the Brazilian economy were expressive, while short-lived. But compared to countries like Indonesia in 1998, Argentina in 2002 and Greece in 2012 the Brazilian economy fared better in all crises, possibly a consequence of its large internal market, financial system stability and diversification of exports.Na década de 1990 e durante os anos 2000, a economia global foi o palco de sérias crises financeiras, primeiro nos mercados emergentes e em 2008/2009 na maior economia do mundo – os Estados Unidos. Nos tempos da globalização os impactos dessas crises são rapidamente sentidos em todos os países, entre eles, o Brasil. O trabalho tenta identificar empiricamente com métodos estatísticos e econométricos os impactos sobre variáveis escolhidas do lado financeiro e real da economia brasileira. Todas as crises analisadas tiveram impactos expressivos, embora diferenciados, sobre a economia brasileira. A crise brasileira de 1998/1999 e a crise financeira global de 2008/2009 tiveram os impactos mais expressivos sobre a economia brasileira. Em todas as crises o lado financeiro da economia brasileira sentiu os impactos das crises mais rapidamente e de forma mais expressiva, mas especialmente durante a crise financeira global de 2008/2009 os impactos sobre o lado real da economia brasileira foram expressivos, embora de curta duração. Mas em comparação com países como Indonésia em 1998, Argentina em 2002 e Grécia em 2012 a economia brasileira saiu melhor em todas as crises, consequência possivelmente do grande mercado interno, da estabilidade do sistema financeiro e da diversificação das exportações.UFRGS2016-09-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/article/view/4798410.22456/2176-5456.47984Análise Econômica; Vol. 34 No. 66 (2016): setembro de 2016Análise Econômica; v. 34 n. 66 (2016): setembro de 20162176-54560102-9924reponame:Análise Econômica (Online)instname:Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS)instacron:UFRGSporhttps://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/article/view/47984/38538Copyright (c) 2019 Análise Econômicainfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessMöller, Horst DieterVital, Tales2016-09-02T01:38:38Zoai:seer.ufrgs.br:article/47984Revistahttps://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomicaPUBhttps://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/oai||rae@ufrgs.br2176-54560102-9924opendoar:2016-09-02T01:38:38Análise Econômica (Online) - Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
BRAZILIAN PERSPECTIVES OF THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL CRISES AFTER THE REAL PLAN PERSPECTIVAS BRASILEIRAS FACE ÀS CRISES FINANCEIRAS PÓS-PLANO REAL |
title |
BRAZILIAN PERSPECTIVES OF THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL CRISES AFTER THE REAL PLAN |
spellingShingle |
BRAZILIAN PERSPECTIVES OF THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL CRISES AFTER THE REAL PLAN Möller, Horst Dieter Financial crises Brazilian economy Econometric Statistical methods G01 E32 C10 Crises financeiras Economia brasileira Econometria Estatística G01 E32 C10 |
title_short |
BRAZILIAN PERSPECTIVES OF THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL CRISES AFTER THE REAL PLAN |
title_full |
BRAZILIAN PERSPECTIVES OF THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL CRISES AFTER THE REAL PLAN |
title_fullStr |
BRAZILIAN PERSPECTIVES OF THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL CRISES AFTER THE REAL PLAN |
title_full_unstemmed |
BRAZILIAN PERSPECTIVES OF THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL CRISES AFTER THE REAL PLAN |
title_sort |
BRAZILIAN PERSPECTIVES OF THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL CRISES AFTER THE REAL PLAN |
author |
Möller, Horst Dieter |
author_facet |
Möller, Horst Dieter Vital, Tales |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Vital, Tales |
author2_role |
author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Möller, Horst Dieter Vital, Tales |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Financial crises Brazilian economy Econometric Statistical methods G01 E32 C10 Crises financeiras Economia brasileira Econometria Estatística G01 E32 C10 |
topic |
Financial crises Brazilian economy Econometric Statistical methods G01 E32 C10 Crises financeiras Economia brasileira Econometria Estatística G01 E32 C10 |
description |
In the 1990s and afterwards the global economy was the scenario of serious financial crises, first in emerging markets and in 2008/2009 in the world's largest economy - the United States. In times of globalization the impacts of these crises are quickly felt in all countries, among them Brazil. The work attempts to identify empirically with statistical and econometric methods impacts on chosen variables of the financial and the real side of the Brazilian economy. All analyzed crises had significant, while differentiated, impacts, on the Brazilian economy. The Brazilian crisis of 1998/1999 and the global financial crisis of 2008/2009 had the most significant impacts on the Brazilian economy. In every crisis the financial side of the Brazilian economy felt the impact of the crisis faster and more expressive, but especially in the global financial crisis of 2008/2009 the impacts on the real side of the Brazilian economy were expressive, while short-lived. But compared to countries like Indonesia in 1998, Argentina in 2002 and Greece in 2012 the Brazilian economy fared better in all crises, possibly a consequence of its large internal market, financial system stability and diversification of exports. |
publishDate |
2016 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2016-09-01 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/article/view/47984 10.22456/2176-5456.47984 |
url |
https://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/article/view/47984 |
identifier_str_mv |
10.22456/2176-5456.47984 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
https://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/article/view/47984/38538 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2019 Análise Econômica info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2019 Análise Econômica |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
UFRGS |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
UFRGS |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Análise Econômica; Vol. 34 No. 66 (2016): setembro de 2016 Análise Econômica; v. 34 n. 66 (2016): setembro de 2016 2176-5456 0102-9924 reponame:Análise Econômica (Online) instname:Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS) instacron:UFRGS |
instname_str |
Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS) |
instacron_str |
UFRGS |
institution |
UFRGS |
reponame_str |
Análise Econômica (Online) |
collection |
Análise Econômica (Online) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Análise Econômica (Online) - Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
||rae@ufrgs.br |
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1799766267512487936 |