ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THIRLWALL'S LAW: AN ANALYSIS FOR LATIN AMERICAN ECONOMIES
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2012 |
Outros Autores: | |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Análise Econômica (Online) |
Texto Completo: | https://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/article/view/16282 |
Resumo: | The objective is to demonstrate, using the Engle-Granger methodology, the five selected Latin American countries (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico) actually observed for the period 1980-2005, a variation in its income elasticity of imports so that it tends to soften the constraint imposed by the law of Thirlwall growth of these countries, ie, it is expected that a negative flow of capital, or a flight of capital, reduce the income elasticity of imports, implying a higher growth rate than is possible if it is kept constant during this flight. The results show that Thirlwall's Law seems to be a good representation for the trajectory of growth, which is determined primarily by exports and the income elasticity of imports. |
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ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THIRLWALL'S LAW: AN ANALYSIS FOR LATIN AMERICAN ECONOMIESCRESCIMENTO ECONÔMICO E LEI DE THIRLWALL: UMA ANÁLISE PARA ECONOMIAS LATINO-AMERICANASGrowthLatin AmericaOpen economy macroeconomicsO40O54F43CrescimentoAmérica LatinaMacroeconomia abertaF43The objective is to demonstrate, using the Engle-Granger methodology, the five selected Latin American countries (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico) actually observed for the period 1980-2005, a variation in its income elasticity of imports so that it tends to soften the constraint imposed by the law of Thirlwall growth of these countries, ie, it is expected that a negative flow of capital, or a flight of capital, reduce the income elasticity of imports, implying a higher growth rate than is possible if it is kept constant during this flight. The results show that Thirlwall's Law seems to be a good representation for the trajectory of growth, which is determined primarily by exports and the income elasticity of imports.O objetivo do presente estudo é demonstrar se, utilizando a metodologia Engle-Granger, os cinco países latino-americanos selecionados (Argentina, Brasil, Chile, Colômbia e México) realmente observaram para o período 1980-2005, uma variação na sua elasticidade renda das importações, de forma a que esta tenda a suavizar a restrição imposta pela lei de Thirlwall ao crescimento destes países, i.e., espera-se que um fluxo de capitais negativo, ou seja, uma fuga de capitais reduza a elasticidade renda das importações, implicando em uma maior taxa de crescimento que a possível se esta se mantiver constante durante esta fuga. Os resultados mostram que a lei de Thirlwall parece ser uma boa representação para a trajetória de crescimento destes, sendo esta determinada fundamentalmente, pelas exportações e pela elasticidade renda das importações.UFRGS2012-05-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/article/view/1628210.22456/2176-5456.16282Análise Econômica; Vol. 30 No. 57 (2012): março de 2012Análise Econômica; v. 30 n. 57 (2012): março de 20122176-54560102-9924reponame:Análise Econômica (Online)instname:Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS)instacron:UFRGSporhttps://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/article/view/16282/18173Copyright (c) 2019 Análise Econômicainfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessEsteves, Luis EduardoCorreia, Fernando Motta2013-09-13T20:34:33Zoai:seer.ufrgs.br:article/16282Revistahttps://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomicaPUBhttps://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/oai||rae@ufrgs.br2176-54560102-9924opendoar:2013-09-13T20:34:33Análise Econômica (Online) - Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THIRLWALL'S LAW: AN ANALYSIS FOR LATIN AMERICAN ECONOMIES CRESCIMENTO ECONÔMICO E LEI DE THIRLWALL: UMA ANÁLISE PARA ECONOMIAS LATINO-AMERICANAS |
title |
ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THIRLWALL'S LAW: AN ANALYSIS FOR LATIN AMERICAN ECONOMIES |
spellingShingle |
ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THIRLWALL'S LAW: AN ANALYSIS FOR LATIN AMERICAN ECONOMIES Esteves, Luis Eduardo Growth Latin America Open economy macroeconomics O40 O54 F43 Crescimento América Latina Macroeconomia aberta F43 |
title_short |
ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THIRLWALL'S LAW: AN ANALYSIS FOR LATIN AMERICAN ECONOMIES |
title_full |
ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THIRLWALL'S LAW: AN ANALYSIS FOR LATIN AMERICAN ECONOMIES |
title_fullStr |
ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THIRLWALL'S LAW: AN ANALYSIS FOR LATIN AMERICAN ECONOMIES |
title_full_unstemmed |
ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THIRLWALL'S LAW: AN ANALYSIS FOR LATIN AMERICAN ECONOMIES |
title_sort |
ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THIRLWALL'S LAW: AN ANALYSIS FOR LATIN AMERICAN ECONOMIES |
author |
Esteves, Luis Eduardo |
author_facet |
Esteves, Luis Eduardo Correia, Fernando Motta |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Correia, Fernando Motta |
author2_role |
author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Esteves, Luis Eduardo Correia, Fernando Motta |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Growth Latin America Open economy macroeconomics O40 O54 F43 Crescimento América Latina Macroeconomia aberta F43 |
topic |
Growth Latin America Open economy macroeconomics O40 O54 F43 Crescimento América Latina Macroeconomia aberta F43 |
description |
The objective is to demonstrate, using the Engle-Granger methodology, the five selected Latin American countries (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico) actually observed for the period 1980-2005, a variation in its income elasticity of imports so that it tends to soften the constraint imposed by the law of Thirlwall growth of these countries, ie, it is expected that a negative flow of capital, or a flight of capital, reduce the income elasticity of imports, implying a higher growth rate than is possible if it is kept constant during this flight. The results show that Thirlwall's Law seems to be a good representation for the trajectory of growth, which is determined primarily by exports and the income elasticity of imports. |
publishDate |
2012 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2012-05-01 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/article/view/16282 10.22456/2176-5456.16282 |
url |
https://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/article/view/16282 |
identifier_str_mv |
10.22456/2176-5456.16282 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
https://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/article/view/16282/18173 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2019 Análise Econômica info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2019 Análise Econômica |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
UFRGS |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
UFRGS |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Análise Econômica; Vol. 30 No. 57 (2012): março de 2012 Análise Econômica; v. 30 n. 57 (2012): março de 2012 2176-5456 0102-9924 reponame:Análise Econômica (Online) instname:Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS) instacron:UFRGS |
instname_str |
Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS) |
instacron_str |
UFRGS |
institution |
UFRGS |
reponame_str |
Análise Econômica (Online) |
collection |
Análise Econômica (Online) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Análise Econômica (Online) - Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
||rae@ufrgs.br |
_version_ |
1799766266978762752 |