ESTIMATION OF BRAZILIAN INTERNATIONAL CLUSTERS TRADE

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Cateia, Júlio Vicente
Data de Publicação: 2021
Outros Autores: Oliveira, Édivo de Almeira, Barbosa, William
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: por
Título da fonte: Análise Econômica (Online)
Texto Completo: https://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/article/view/92649
Resumo: This study aims to empirically investigate Brazil’s international trade with itscommercial and political partners and the maximum likelihood (ML), Poisson PseudoMaximum Likelihood (PPML) and the GMM system estimators by estimating a trademodel with continuous of goods. We investigated the performance of Brazilian exportsto the four intercontinental clusters: Brazil-Mercosur, Brazil-Brics, Brazil-Euro zone andBrazil-United States trade. The ML and PPML estimators report significant and consistent estimates with the gravitational literature, that country incomes and populationscontribute to increasing trade, while higher transport costs tend to inhibit trade flows.Exchange rate volatility does not prove to be an impediment to trade, at least in thestatic model. The border-effects does not play an important role in determining the pattern of trade between Brazil and its regional partners, suggesting that intercontinental clusters may be essential to the Brazilian export flows, a fact confirmed by the resultsreported by the GMM system estimator.
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spelling ESTIMATION OF BRAZILIAN INTERNATIONAL CLUSTERS TRADEESTIMAÇÃO DO COMÉRCIO INTERNACIONAL BRASILEIRO EM CLUSTERSComércio internacional. Modelo de Eaton e Kortum. Estimação por máxima verossimilhança . PPML. Sistema GMM.F14Q11Q17International trade. Model of Eaton and Kortum. Maximum likelihood. PPML estimators. GMM system.F14Q11Q17This study aims to empirically investigate Brazil’s international trade with itscommercial and political partners and the maximum likelihood (ML), Poisson PseudoMaximum Likelihood (PPML) and the GMM system estimators by estimating a trademodel with continuous of goods. We investigated the performance of Brazilian exportsto the four intercontinental clusters: Brazil-Mercosur, Brazil-Brics, Brazil-Euro zone andBrazil-United States trade. The ML and PPML estimators report significant and consistent estimates with the gravitational literature, that country incomes and populationscontribute to increasing trade, while higher transport costs tend to inhibit trade flows.Exchange rate volatility does not prove to be an impediment to trade, at least in thestatic model. The border-effects does not play an important role in determining the pattern of trade between Brazil and its regional partners, suggesting that intercontinental clusters may be essential to the Brazilian export flows, a fact confirmed by the resultsreported by the GMM system estimator.O objetivo deste estudo é investigar empiricamente o comércio internacionaldo Brasil com seus parceiros comerciais estimado por meio dos estimadores de máximaverossimilhança (MV), Poisson pseudo-maximum likelihood (PPML) e o sistema GMMem um modelo de comércio com bens contínuos. Analisa-se o desempenho das exportações brasileiras para os quatro clusters intercontinentais: o comércio Brasil-Mercosul,Brasil-Brics, Brasil-Zona do Euro e Brasil-Estados Unidos. Os estimadores MV e PPMLreportam estimativas significativas e consistentes com a literatura gravitacional de queas rendas e populações dos países elevam o comércio, enquanto o custo de transportemais alto tende a inibir os fluxos comerciais. A volatilidade cambial não se mostra umimpeditivo ao comércio, ao menos no modelo estático. A fronteira não tem um importante papel na determinação do padrão do comércio entre o Brasil e seus parceirosregionais, sugerindo que os clusters intercontinentais podem ser fundamentais para osfluxos de exportações brasileiras, fato confirmado pelos resultados reportados pelo estimador do sistema GMM.UFRGS2021-06-27info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/article/view/9264910.22456/2176-5456.92649Análise Econômica; Vol. 39 No. 79 (2021): Junho/2021Análise Econômica; v. 39 n. 79 (2021): Junho/20212176-54560102-9924reponame:Análise Econômica (Online)instname:Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS)instacron:UFRGSporhttps://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/article/view/92649/64821Copyright (c) 2021 Análise Econômicainfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessCateia, Júlio VicenteOliveira, Édivo de AlmeiraBarbosa, William2021-10-07T00:57:11Zoai:seer.ufrgs.br:article/92649Revistahttps://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomicaPUBhttps://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/oai||rae@ufrgs.br2176-54560102-9924opendoar:2021-10-07T00:57:11Análise Econômica (Online) - Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv ESTIMATION OF BRAZILIAN INTERNATIONAL CLUSTERS TRADE
ESTIMAÇÃO DO COMÉRCIO INTERNACIONAL BRASILEIRO EM CLUSTERS
title ESTIMATION OF BRAZILIAN INTERNATIONAL CLUSTERS TRADE
spellingShingle ESTIMATION OF BRAZILIAN INTERNATIONAL CLUSTERS TRADE
Cateia, Júlio Vicente
Comércio internacional. Modelo de Eaton e Kortum. Estimação por máxima verossimilhança . PPML. Sistema GMM.
F14
Q11
Q17
International trade. Model of Eaton and Kortum. Maximum likelihood. PPML estimators. GMM system.
F14
Q11
Q17
title_short ESTIMATION OF BRAZILIAN INTERNATIONAL CLUSTERS TRADE
title_full ESTIMATION OF BRAZILIAN INTERNATIONAL CLUSTERS TRADE
title_fullStr ESTIMATION OF BRAZILIAN INTERNATIONAL CLUSTERS TRADE
title_full_unstemmed ESTIMATION OF BRAZILIAN INTERNATIONAL CLUSTERS TRADE
title_sort ESTIMATION OF BRAZILIAN INTERNATIONAL CLUSTERS TRADE
author Cateia, Júlio Vicente
author_facet Cateia, Júlio Vicente
Oliveira, Édivo de Almeira
Barbosa, William
author_role author
author2 Oliveira, Édivo de Almeira
Barbosa, William
author2_role author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Cateia, Júlio Vicente
Oliveira, Édivo de Almeira
Barbosa, William
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Comércio internacional. Modelo de Eaton e Kortum. Estimação por máxima verossimilhança . PPML. Sistema GMM.
F14
Q11
Q17
International trade. Model of Eaton and Kortum. Maximum likelihood. PPML estimators. GMM system.
F14
Q11
Q17
topic Comércio internacional. Modelo de Eaton e Kortum. Estimação por máxima verossimilhança . PPML. Sistema GMM.
F14
Q11
Q17
International trade. Model of Eaton and Kortum. Maximum likelihood. PPML estimators. GMM system.
F14
Q11
Q17
description This study aims to empirically investigate Brazil’s international trade with itscommercial and political partners and the maximum likelihood (ML), Poisson PseudoMaximum Likelihood (PPML) and the GMM system estimators by estimating a trademodel with continuous of goods. We investigated the performance of Brazilian exportsto the four intercontinental clusters: Brazil-Mercosur, Brazil-Brics, Brazil-Euro zone andBrazil-United States trade. The ML and PPML estimators report significant and consistent estimates with the gravitational literature, that country incomes and populationscontribute to increasing trade, while higher transport costs tend to inhibit trade flows.Exchange rate volatility does not prove to be an impediment to trade, at least in thestatic model. The border-effects does not play an important role in determining the pattern of trade between Brazil and its regional partners, suggesting that intercontinental clusters may be essential to the Brazilian export flows, a fact confirmed by the resultsreported by the GMM system estimator.
publishDate 2021
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2021-06-27
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/article/view/92649
10.22456/2176-5456.92649
url https://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/article/view/92649
identifier_str_mv 10.22456/2176-5456.92649
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
language por
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://seer.ufrgs.br/index.php/AnaliseEconomica/article/view/92649/64821
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv Copyright (c) 2021 Análise Econômica
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Copyright (c) 2021 Análise Econômica
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv UFRGS
publisher.none.fl_str_mv UFRGS
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Análise Econômica; Vol. 39 No. 79 (2021): Junho/2021
Análise Econômica; v. 39 n. 79 (2021): Junho/2021
2176-5456
0102-9924
reponame:Análise Econômica (Online)
instname:Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS)
instacron:UFRGS
instname_str Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS)
instacron_str UFRGS
institution UFRGS
reponame_str Análise Econômica (Online)
collection Análise Econômica (Online)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Análise Econômica (Online) - Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv ||rae@ufrgs.br
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