Study of the COVID-19 pandemic trending behavior in Israeli cities
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2021 |
Outros Autores: | , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional da UNIFESP |
Texto Completo: | https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405896321016475 https://repositorio.unifesp.br/xmlui/handle/11600/62253 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ifacol.2021.10.244 |
Resumo: | This paper studies the trending behavior of the COVID-19 dynamics in Israeli cities. The model employed is used to describe, for each city, the accumulated number of cases, the number of cases per day, and the predicted final number of cases. The innovative analysis adopted here is based on the daily evolution of the predicted final number of infections, estimated with data available until a given date. The results discussed here are illustrative for six cities in Israel, including Jerusalem and Tel Aviv. They show that the model employed fits well with the observed data and is able to suitably describe the COVID-19 dynamics in a country strongly impacted by the disease that holds one of the most successful vaccination programs in the world. |
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Repositório Institucional da UNIFESP |
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Paiva, Henrique Mohallem [UNIFESP]Afonso, Rubens Junqueira MagalhãesSanches, Davi GonçalvesPelogia, Frederico José Ribeirohttp://lattes.cnpq.br/6901974057937430Ghent, Belgium2021-11-18T10:50:57Z2021-11-18T10:50:57Z2021-11-02https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405896321016475Paiva, H. M., Afonso, R. J. M., Sanches, D. G., and Pelogia, F. J. R. (2021). Study of the COVID-19 pandemic trending behavior in Israeli cities. IFAC-PapersOnLine, 54(15), 133-138.https://repositorio.unifesp.br/xmlui/handle/11600/62253https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ifacol.2021.10.244This paper studies the trending behavior of the COVID-19 dynamics in Israeli cities. The model employed is used to describe, for each city, the accumulated number of cases, the number of cases per day, and the predicted final number of cases. The innovative analysis adopted here is based on the daily evolution of the predicted final number of infections, estimated with data available until a given date. The results discussed here are illustrative for six cities in Israel, including Jerusalem and Tel Aviv. They show that the model employed fits well with the observed data and is able to suitably describe the COVID-19 dynamics in a country strongly impacted by the disease that holds one of the most successful vaccination programs in the world.Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)2020/14357-12019/18294-7133-138porInternational Federation of Automatic Control (IFAC)11th IFAC Symposium on Biological and Medical Systems BMS 2021COVID-19SARS-CoV-2epidemiologymathematical modelstrend analysisIsraelStudy of the COVID-19 pandemic trending behavior in Israeli citiesinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/article5415info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional da UNIFESPinstname:Universidade Federal de São Paulo (UNIFESP)instacron:UNIFESPInstituto de Ciência e Tecnologia (ICT)Engenharia BiomédicaOutraCiência e TecnologiaEngenharia BiomédicaLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; 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Repositório 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dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
Study of the COVID-19 pandemic trending behavior in Israeli cities |
title |
Study of the COVID-19 pandemic trending behavior in Israeli cities |
spellingShingle |
Study of the COVID-19 pandemic trending behavior in Israeli cities Paiva, Henrique Mohallem [UNIFESP] COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 epidemiology mathematical models trend analysis Israel |
title_short |
Study of the COVID-19 pandemic trending behavior in Israeli cities |
title_full |
Study of the COVID-19 pandemic trending behavior in Israeli cities |
title_fullStr |
Study of the COVID-19 pandemic trending behavior in Israeli cities |
title_full_unstemmed |
Study of the COVID-19 pandemic trending behavior in Israeli cities |
title_sort |
Study of the COVID-19 pandemic trending behavior in Israeli cities |
author |
Paiva, Henrique Mohallem [UNIFESP] |
author_facet |
Paiva, Henrique Mohallem [UNIFESP] Afonso, Rubens Junqueira Magalhães Sanches, Davi Gonçalves Pelogia, Frederico José Ribeiro |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Afonso, Rubens Junqueira Magalhães Sanches, Davi Gonçalves Pelogia, Frederico José Ribeiro |
author2_role |
author author author |
dc.contributor.authorLattes.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/6901974057937430 |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Paiva, Henrique Mohallem [UNIFESP] Afonso, Rubens Junqueira Magalhães Sanches, Davi Gonçalves Pelogia, Frederico José Ribeiro |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 epidemiology mathematical models trend analysis Israel |
topic |
COVID-19 SARS-CoV-2 epidemiology mathematical models trend analysis Israel |
description |
This paper studies the trending behavior of the COVID-19 dynamics in Israeli cities. The model employed is used to describe, for each city, the accumulated number of cases, the number of cases per day, and the predicted final number of cases. The innovative analysis adopted here is based on the daily evolution of the predicted final number of infections, estimated with data available until a given date. The results discussed here are illustrative for six cities in Israel, including Jerusalem and Tel Aviv. They show that the model employed fits well with the observed data and is able to suitably describe the COVID-19 dynamics in a country strongly impacted by the disease that holds one of the most successful vaccination programs in the world. |
publishDate |
2021 |
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv |
2021-11-18T10:50:57Z |
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv |
2021-11-18T10:50:57Z |
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv |
2021-11-02 |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405896321016475 |
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv |
Paiva, H. M., Afonso, R. J. M., Sanches, D. G., and Pelogia, F. J. R. (2021). Study of the COVID-19 pandemic trending behavior in Israeli cities. IFAC-PapersOnLine, 54(15), 133-138. |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://repositorio.unifesp.br/xmlui/handle/11600/62253 |
dc.identifier.doi.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ifacol.2021.10.244 |
url |
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405896321016475 https://repositorio.unifesp.br/xmlui/handle/11600/62253 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ifacol.2021.10.244 |
identifier_str_mv |
Paiva, H. M., Afonso, R. J. M., Sanches, D. G., and Pelogia, F. J. R. (2021). Study of the COVID-19 pandemic trending behavior in Israeli cities. IFAC-PapersOnLine, 54(15), 133-138. |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
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por |
dc.relation.ispartof.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
11th IFAC Symposium on Biological and Medical Systems BMS 2021 |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
133-138 |
dc.coverage.spatial.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
Ghent, Belgium |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
International Federation of Automatic Control (IFAC) |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
International Federation of Automatic Control (IFAC) |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
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Universidade Federal de São Paulo (UNIFESP) |
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UNIFESP |
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UNIFESP |
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Repositório Institucional da UNIFESP |
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Repositório Institucional da UNIFESP |
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