WHAT WILL THE MUNICIPAL ELECTION BE LIKE? Crisis, Covid-19 and the voter

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Oliveira , Adriano
Data de Publicação: 2020
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: por
Título da fonte: Revista Observatório
Texto Completo: https://sistemas.uft.edu.br/periodicos/index.php/observatorio/article/view/10538
Resumo: The possible characteristics of the forthcoming municipal election will be presented in this article. Using the explanation by mechanisms and construction of scenarios, we provide clarity to the coming dispute. Three variables are considered for construction of scenarios: 1) Polarization / Nationalization; 2) Political and economic crisis; 3) Covid-19. The possible effects on the voter of these three causal variables are presented. This article reveals the importance of using the conjuncture analysis, the construction of scenarios and the prospective analysis to explain the voter's behavior.
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spelling WHAT WILL THE MUNICIPAL ELECTION BE LIKE? Crisis, Covid-19 and the voter¿Cómo serán las elecciones municipales? Crisis, Covid-19 y el votanteWHAT WILL THE MUNICIPAL ELECTION BE LIKE? Crisis, Covid-19 and the voterMunicipal electionVoter behaviorProspective analysisMunicipal electionVoter behaviorProspective analysisThe possible characteristics of the forthcoming municipal election will be presented in this article. Using the explanation by mechanisms and construction of scenarios, we provide clarity to the coming dispute. Three variables are considered for construction of scenarios: 1) Polarization / Nationalization; 2) Political and economic crisis; 3) Covid-19. The possible effects on the voter of these three causal variables are presented. This article reveals the importance of using the conjuncture analysis, the construction of scenarios and the prospective analysis to explain the voter's behavior.Las posibles características de la próxima elección municipal se presentarán en este artículo. Utilizando la explicación por mecanismos y la construcción de escenarios, la futura disputa municipal adquiere claridad. Se consideran tres variables para la construcción de los escenarios: 1) polarización / nacionalización; 2) crisis políticas y económicas; 3) Covid-19. Se presentan los posibles efectos sobre el votante de estas tres variables causales. Este artículo revela la importancia de utilizar el análisis de coyuntura, la construcción de escenarios y el análisis prospectivo para explicar el comportamiento del votante.The possible characteristics of the forthcoming municipal election will be presented in this article. Using the explanation by mechanisms and construction of scenarios, we provide clarity to the coming dispute. Three variables are considered for construction of scenarios: 1) Polarization / Nationalization; 2) Political and economic crisis; 3) Covid-19. The possible effects on the voter of these three causal variables are presented. This article reveals the importance of using the conjuncture analysis, the construction of scenarios and the prospective analysis to explain the voter's behavior.Universidade Federal do Tocantins - UFT2020-05-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttps://sistemas.uft.edu.br/periodicos/index.php/observatorio/article/view/1053810.20873/uft.2447-4266.2020v6n3a10enObservatory Journal; Vol. 6 No. 3 (2020): v. 6 n. 3 (2020): Human and Social Sciences against Covid-19 / Ciências Humanas e Sociais no enfrentamento da COVID-19; a10enObservatorio Magazine; Vol. 6 Núm. 3 (2020): v. 6 n. 3 (2020): Human and Social Sciences against Covid-19 / Ciências Humanas e Sociais no enfrentamento da COVID-19; a10enObservatoire Journal; Vol. 6 No. 3 (2020): v. 6 n. 3 (2020): Human and Social Sciences against Covid-19 / Ciências Humanas e Sociais no enfrentamento da COVID-19; a10enRevista Observatório ; v. 6 n. 3 (2020): v. 6 n. 3 (2020): Human and Social Sciences against Covid-19 / Ciências Humanas e Sociais no enfrentamento da COVID-19; a10en2447-426610.20873/uft.2447-4266.2020v6n3reponame:Revista Observatórioinstname:Universidade Federal do Tocantins (UFT)instacron:UFTporhttps://sistemas.uft.edu.br/periodicos/index.php/observatorio/article/view/10538/17498https://sistemas.uft.edu.br/periodicos/index.php/observatorio/article/view/10538/17546Copyright (c) 2020 Revista Observatórioinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessOliveira , Adriano2022-03-04T13:02:25Zoai:ojs.revista.uft.edu.br:article/10538Revistahttps://sistemas.uft.edu.br/periodicos/index.php/observatorio/oai2447-42662447-4266opendoar:2022-03-04T13:02:25Revista Observatório - Universidade Federal do Tocantins (UFT)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv WHAT WILL THE MUNICIPAL ELECTION BE LIKE? Crisis, Covid-19 and the voter
¿Cómo serán las elecciones municipales? Crisis, Covid-19 y el votante
WHAT WILL THE MUNICIPAL ELECTION BE LIKE? Crisis, Covid-19 and the voter
title WHAT WILL THE MUNICIPAL ELECTION BE LIKE? Crisis, Covid-19 and the voter
spellingShingle WHAT WILL THE MUNICIPAL ELECTION BE LIKE? Crisis, Covid-19 and the voter
Oliveira , Adriano
Municipal election
Voter behavior
Prospective analysis
Municipal election
Voter behavior
Prospective analysis
title_short WHAT WILL THE MUNICIPAL ELECTION BE LIKE? Crisis, Covid-19 and the voter
title_full WHAT WILL THE MUNICIPAL ELECTION BE LIKE? Crisis, Covid-19 and the voter
title_fullStr WHAT WILL THE MUNICIPAL ELECTION BE LIKE? Crisis, Covid-19 and the voter
title_full_unstemmed WHAT WILL THE MUNICIPAL ELECTION BE LIKE? Crisis, Covid-19 and the voter
title_sort WHAT WILL THE MUNICIPAL ELECTION BE LIKE? Crisis, Covid-19 and the voter
author Oliveira , Adriano
author_facet Oliveira , Adriano
author_role author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Oliveira , Adriano
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Municipal election
Voter behavior
Prospective analysis
Municipal election
Voter behavior
Prospective analysis
topic Municipal election
Voter behavior
Prospective analysis
Municipal election
Voter behavior
Prospective analysis
description The possible characteristics of the forthcoming municipal election will be presented in this article. Using the explanation by mechanisms and construction of scenarios, we provide clarity to the coming dispute. Three variables are considered for construction of scenarios: 1) Polarization / Nationalization; 2) Political and economic crisis; 3) Covid-19. The possible effects on the voter of these three causal variables are presented. This article reveals the importance of using the conjuncture analysis, the construction of scenarios and the prospective analysis to explain the voter's behavior.
publishDate 2020
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2020-05-01
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://sistemas.uft.edu.br/periodicos/index.php/observatorio/article/view/10538
10.20873/uft.2447-4266.2020v6n3a10en
url https://sistemas.uft.edu.br/periodicos/index.php/observatorio/article/view/10538
identifier_str_mv 10.20873/uft.2447-4266.2020v6n3a10en
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
language por
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://sistemas.uft.edu.br/periodicos/index.php/observatorio/article/view/10538/17498
https://sistemas.uft.edu.br/periodicos/index.php/observatorio/article/view/10538/17546
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv Copyright (c) 2020 Revista Observatório
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Copyright (c) 2020 Revista Observatório
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Federal do Tocantins - UFT
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Federal do Tocantins - UFT
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Observatory Journal; Vol. 6 No. 3 (2020): v. 6 n. 3 (2020): Human and Social Sciences against Covid-19 / Ciências Humanas e Sociais no enfrentamento da COVID-19; a10en
Observatorio Magazine; Vol. 6 Núm. 3 (2020): v. 6 n. 3 (2020): Human and Social Sciences against Covid-19 / Ciências Humanas e Sociais no enfrentamento da COVID-19; a10en
Observatoire Journal; Vol. 6 No. 3 (2020): v. 6 n. 3 (2020): Human and Social Sciences against Covid-19 / Ciências Humanas e Sociais no enfrentamento da COVID-19; a10en
Revista Observatório ; v. 6 n. 3 (2020): v. 6 n. 3 (2020): Human and Social Sciences against Covid-19 / Ciências Humanas e Sociais no enfrentamento da COVID-19; a10en
2447-4266
10.20873/uft.2447-4266.2020v6n3
reponame:Revista Observatório
instname:Universidade Federal do Tocantins (UFT)
instacron:UFT
instname_str Universidade Federal do Tocantins (UFT)
instacron_str UFT
institution UFT
reponame_str Revista Observatório
collection Revista Observatório
repository.name.fl_str_mv Revista Observatório - Universidade Federal do Tocantins (UFT)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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