Desenvolvimento e fluxo migratório chinês: uma abordagem teórica e empírica

• Autor(a) principal: Alves, Frederick Fagundes
• Data de Publicação: 2014
• Tipo de documento: Dissertação
• Idioma: por
• Título da fonte: LOCUS Repositório Institucional da UFV
• Texto Completo: http://locus.ufv.br/handle/123456789/3288
• topic: China - Política e governo; China - Condições sociais; Política industrial; China - Politics and government; China - Social conditions; Industrial policy; CNPQ::CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::DEMOGRAFIA::POLITICA PUBLICA E POPULACAO

Rapid urbanization in China over the past three decades maintained its economic performance as millions of people exchanged their rural homes for cities in search of better opportunities. This led to an inordinate flow of migrants in search of better living conditions, changing the field, with little portion of arable land, for bad or even subhuman working conditions in cities. Thus, this research will seek to examine the evolution of Chinese migration, focusing on the cause of the worsening distribution of income, concentration of primary and secondary activities and planning for the development of inland cities of China, via industrial policy. The main objective of this work is to identify, by Lin and Chen (2011) model adapted for simulation, the most appropriate industrial policy to reduce existing socioeconomic disparities between coastal populations of China with the rest of the country. Two scenarios have been simulated to show different development strategies, one focused on capital-intensive industry and another oriented labor-intensive industry. It was concluded that a targeted strategy of development for the labor-intensive industry will decline more slowly, urban employment and hence the slower the reduction in the rate of urbanization. This strategy will still be able to provide smaller urban wages, reducing the wage gap, which will lead to lower rates of inequality between regions.