Politization of natural disasters: party alignment, emergency declarations, and allocation of federal resources to municipalities in Brazil

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Henrique, Anderson
Data de Publicação: 2021
Outros Autores: Batista, Mariana
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: por
Título da fonte: Opinião Pública (Online)
Texto Completo: https://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/op/article/view/8663883
Resumo: What is the relationship between party alignment and the allocation of federal recognition and emergency resources to Brazilian municipalities? We propose that even though disasters are given by nature, politics matter for federal recognition and the amount of transfers received. The argument is that the government will benefit the aligned mayors, recognizing the emergency declarations and allocating more resources to the municipalities of the same party. Considering the Brazilian coalition presidentialism, we tested three hypotheses for political alignment: alignment with the president, with the coalition, and with the minister of the portfolio. We present an original database with emergency declarations by the municipalities and the amounts transferred for that purpose in the period from 2010 to 2015. We used Poisson regression models and a two-part model to test our hypotheses. The results indicate that declarations and emergency transfers are allocated in a way that benefits political allies at the subnational level, especially mayors aligned with the minister of the portfolio.
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spelling Politization of natural disasters: party alignment, emergency declarations, and allocation of federal resources to municipalities in BrazilResumen Politización de desastres naturales: alineación de partes, declaraciones de emergencia y asignación de recursos federales a municipios en BrasilA politização dos desastres naturais: alinhamento partidário, declarações de emergência e a alocação de recursos federais para os municípios no BrasilNatural disasterCoalition presidentialismEmergency declarationsFederal emergency transfersDesastre naturalPresidencialismo de la coaliciónDeclaraciones de emergenciaTransferencias federales de emergenciaDesastre naturalPresidencialismo de coalizãoDeclarações de emergênciaTransferências federais de emergênciaWhat is the relationship between party alignment and the allocation of federal recognition and emergency resources to Brazilian municipalities? We propose that even though disasters are given by nature, politics matter for federal recognition and the amount of transfers received. The argument is that the government will benefit the aligned mayors, recognizing the emergency declarations and allocating more resources to the municipalities of the same party. Considering the Brazilian coalition presidentialism, we tested three hypotheses for political alignment: alignment with the president, with the coalition, and with the minister of the portfolio. We present an original database with emergency declarations by the municipalities and the amounts transferred for that purpose in the period from 2010 to 2015. We used Poisson regression models and a two-part model to test our hypotheses. The results indicate that declarations and emergency transfers are allocated in a way that benefits political allies at the subnational level, especially mayors aligned with the minister of the portfolio.¿Cuál es la relación entre la alineación del partido y la asignación de recursos por el gobierno y reconocimiento federal para los municipios brasileños? Proponemos que, aunque los desastres se den por naturaleza, la política es importante para el reconocimiento federal y la cantidad de transferencias recibidas. El argumento es que el gobierno beneficiará a los alcaldes alineados, reconociendo las declaraciones de emergencia y asignando más recursos a los municipios de la misma parte. Considerando el presidencialismo de la coalición brasileña, probamos tres hipótesis de alineamiento político: alineamiento con el presidente, con la coalición y con el ministro de la cartera. Presentamos una base de datos original con declaraciones de emergencia de los municipios y los montos transferidos para ese fin en el período de 2010 a 2015. Utilizamos modelos de regresión de Poisson y en dos partes para probar nuestras hipótesis. Los resultados indican que las declaraciones y las transferencias de emergencia se asignan de una manera que beneficia a los aliados políticos a nivel subnacional, especialmente a los alcaldes alineados con el ministro de la carter.Qual a relação entre o alinhamento partidário e a alocação de reconhecimento e recursos federais emergenciais para os municípios brasileiros? Propomos que, mesmo sendo os desastres dados pela natureza, a política importa para o reconhecimento federal e o valor em transferências recebido. O argumento é que o governo beneficiará os prefeitos alinhados, reconhecendo as declarações de emergência e alocando mais recursos para os municípios do mesmo partido. Considerando o presidencialismo de coalizão brasileiro, testamos três hipóteses para o alinhamento político: alinhamento com o presidente, com a coalizão e com o ministro da Integração Nacional. Apresentamos um banco de dados original com as declarações de emergência para os municípios e os valores transferidos para esse fim no período de 2010 a 2015. Utilizamos modelos de regressão de Poisson e um modelo em duas partes para testar nossas hipóteses. Os resultados indicam que as declarações são reconhecidas e as transferências de emergência são alocadas de forma a beneficiar os aliados políticos no nível subnacional, em especial os prefeitos alinhados ao ministro da Integração Nacional.Universidade Estadual de Campinas2021-01-08info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionTextoTextoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/otherapplication/pdfhttps://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/op/article/view/8663883Opinião Pública; Vol. 26 No. 3 (2020): set./dez.; 522-555Opinião Pública; Vol. 26 Núm. 3 (2020): set./dez.; 522-555Opinião Pública; v. 26 n. 3 (2020): set./dez.; 522-5551807-0191reponame:Opinião Pública (Online)instname:Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)instacron:UNICAMPporhttps://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/op/article/view/8663883/25819Brazil; 201-2015Brasil; 201-2015Brasil; 201-2015Copyright (c) 2020 Oplinião Públicahttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessHenrique, Anderson Batista, Mariana2021-01-08T11:19:02Zoai:ojs.periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br:article/8663883Revistahttps://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/opPUBhttps://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/op/oaicesop@unicamp.br||racael@unicamp.br || rop@unicamp.br1807-01910104-6276opendoar:2021-01-08T11:19:02Opinião Pública (Online) - Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Politization of natural disasters: party alignment, emergency declarations, and allocation of federal resources to municipalities in Brazil
Resumen Politización de desastres naturales: alineación de partes, declaraciones de emergencia y asignación de recursos federales a municipios en Brasil
A politização dos desastres naturais: alinhamento partidário, declarações de emergência e a alocação de recursos federais para os municípios no Brasil
title Politization of natural disasters: party alignment, emergency declarations, and allocation of federal resources to municipalities in Brazil
spellingShingle Politization of natural disasters: party alignment, emergency declarations, and allocation of federal resources to municipalities in Brazil
Henrique, Anderson
Natural disaster
Coalition presidentialism
Emergency declarations
Federal emergency transfers
Desastre natural
Presidencialismo de la coalición
Declaraciones de emergencia
Transferencias federales de emergencia
Desastre natural
Presidencialismo de coalizão
Declarações de emergência
Transferências federais de emergência
title_short Politization of natural disasters: party alignment, emergency declarations, and allocation of federal resources to municipalities in Brazil
title_full Politization of natural disasters: party alignment, emergency declarations, and allocation of federal resources to municipalities in Brazil
title_fullStr Politization of natural disasters: party alignment, emergency declarations, and allocation of federal resources to municipalities in Brazil
title_full_unstemmed Politization of natural disasters: party alignment, emergency declarations, and allocation of federal resources to municipalities in Brazil
title_sort Politization of natural disasters: party alignment, emergency declarations, and allocation of federal resources to municipalities in Brazil
author Henrique, Anderson
author_facet Henrique, Anderson
Batista, Mariana
author_role author
author2 Batista, Mariana
author2_role author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Henrique, Anderson
Batista, Mariana
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Natural disaster
Coalition presidentialism
Emergency declarations
Federal emergency transfers
Desastre natural
Presidencialismo de la coalición
Declaraciones de emergencia
Transferencias federales de emergencia
Desastre natural
Presidencialismo de coalizão
Declarações de emergência
Transferências federais de emergência
topic Natural disaster
Coalition presidentialism
Emergency declarations
Federal emergency transfers
Desastre natural
Presidencialismo de la coalición
Declaraciones de emergencia
Transferencias federales de emergencia
Desastre natural
Presidencialismo de coalizão
Declarações de emergência
Transferências federais de emergência
description What is the relationship between party alignment and the allocation of federal recognition and emergency resources to Brazilian municipalities? We propose that even though disasters are given by nature, politics matter for federal recognition and the amount of transfers received. The argument is that the government will benefit the aligned mayors, recognizing the emergency declarations and allocating more resources to the municipalities of the same party. Considering the Brazilian coalition presidentialism, we tested three hypotheses for political alignment: alignment with the president, with the coalition, and with the minister of the portfolio. We present an original database with emergency declarations by the municipalities and the amounts transferred for that purpose in the period from 2010 to 2015. We used Poisson regression models and a two-part model to test our hypotheses. The results indicate that declarations and emergency transfers are allocated in a way that benefits political allies at the subnational level, especially mayors aligned with the minister of the portfolio.
publishDate 2021
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2021-01-08
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Texto
Texto
info:eu-repo/semantics/other
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/op/article/view/8663883
url https://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/op/article/view/8663883
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
language por
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://periodicos.sbu.unicamp.br/ojs/index.php/op/article/view/8663883/25819
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv Copyright (c) 2020 Oplinião Pública
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Copyright (c) 2020 Oplinião Pública
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.coverage.none.fl_str_mv Brazil; 201-2015
Brasil; 201-2015
Brasil; 201-2015
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Estadual de Campinas
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Estadual de Campinas
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Opinião Pública; Vol. 26 No. 3 (2020): set./dez.; 522-555
Opinião Pública; Vol. 26 Núm. 3 (2020): set./dez.; 522-555
Opinião Pública; v. 26 n. 3 (2020): set./dez.; 522-555
1807-0191
reponame:Opinião Pública (Online)
instname:Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)
instacron:UNICAMP
instname_str Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)
instacron_str UNICAMP
institution UNICAMP
reponame_str Opinião Pública (Online)
collection Opinião Pública (Online)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Opinião Pública (Online) - Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv cesop@unicamp.br||racael@unicamp.br || rop@unicamp.br
_version_ 1800217018145701888

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