Macroeconomic dynamics and the evolution of formal manufacturing employment (2003–2016)

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Souen, Jacqueline Aslan
Data de Publicação: 2020
Outros Autores: Remy, Maria Alice Pestana de Aguiar
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Revista Brasileira de Economia Social e do Trabalho
Texto Completo: https://econtents.bc.unicamp.br/inpec/index.php/rbest/article/view/13879
Resumo: This study aims to analyse the evolution of the formal employment in the sub-sectors of the manufacturing industry between 2003 and 2016. The period has been divided into three according to the moment of economic cycle: the moment of greatest GDP growth between 2003 and 2008 (i), going through the economic slowdown period, between 2008 and 2013 (ii), until the phase of strong setback between 2013 and 2016 (iii). There was an intense growth of formal employment in the Brazilian economy between 2003 and 2013, greater than GDP growth. This performance showed very favorable rates until 2008 and then cooled down, but the indicators of formal employment, despite the slowdown in growth rate, this period showed employment rates well beyond the evolution of GDP. After 2013, this scenario has reversed strongly, both GDP and formal employment indicators showed negative results. The manufacturing industry, has demonstrated, since then, significant reduction of added-value goods and employment levels. The article questions the great difficulty of the Brazilian economy to sustain higher rates of GDP in times of worsening of the international scenario, especially in relation to industrial GDP and industrial employment.
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spelling Macroeconomic dynamics and the evolution of formal manufacturing employment (2003–2016)Dinámica macroeconómica y evolución del empleo formal en la manufactura (2003-2016)Dynamique macroéconomique et évolution de l'emploi formel dans le secteur manufacturier (2003-2016) Dinâmica macroeconômica e evolução do emprego formal na manufatura (2003-2016)Cycle économiqueEmploi industrielBrésilCiclo econômicoEmprego industrialBrasilCiclo económicoEmpleo industrialBrasilEconomic cycleManufacturing employmentBrazilThis study aims to analyse the evolution of the formal employment in the sub-sectors of the manufacturing industry between 2003 and 2016. The period has been divided into three according to the moment of economic cycle: the moment of greatest GDP growth between 2003 and 2008 (i), going through the economic slowdown period, between 2008 and 2013 (ii), until the phase of strong setback between 2013 and 2016 (iii). There was an intense growth of formal employment in the Brazilian economy between 2003 and 2013, greater than GDP growth. This performance showed very favorable rates until 2008 and then cooled down, but the indicators of formal employment, despite the slowdown in growth rate, this period showed employment rates well beyond the evolution of GDP. After 2013, this scenario has reversed strongly, both GDP and formal employment indicators showed negative results. The manufacturing industry, has demonstrated, since then, significant reduction of added-value goods and employment levels. The article questions the great difficulty of the Brazilian economy to sustain higher rates of GDP in times of worsening of the international scenario, especially in relation to industrial GDP and industrial employment.Este estudio tiene como objetivo analizar la evolución del empleo formal en los subsectores de la industria manufacturera entre 2003 y 2016. El período se dividió en tres, de acuerdo con el ciclo económico: el momento de mayor crecimiento del PIB entre 2003 y 2008 (i), pasando por el período de desaceleración económica, entre 2008 y 2013 (ii), hasta la fase de fuerte retroceso entre 2013 y 2016 (iii). Hubo un intenso crecimiento del empleo formal en la economía brasileña entre 2003 y 2013, mucho más alto que el crecimiento del PIB. Este desempeño mostró tasas muy favorables hasta 2008 y luego se enfrió, pero los indicadores formales de empleo, a pesar de la desaceleración en la tasa de crecimiento, en este período mostraron tasas de empleo mucho más allá de la evolución del PIB. Después de 2013, este escenario se revirtió fuertemente, tanto el PIB como los indicadores de empleo formal mostraron resultados negativos. La industria manufacturera ha mostrado desde entonces una reducción significativa en los bienes de valor agregado y los niveles de empleo. El artículo cuestiona la gran dificultad de la economía brasileña para mantener tasas más altas de PIB en tiempos de empeoramiento del escenario internacional, principalmente en relación con el PIB industrial y el empleo industrial.Cette étude vise à analyser l'évolution de l'emploi formel dans les sous-secteurs de l'industrie manufacturière entre 2003 et 2016. La période a été divisée en trois, selon le cycle économique: le moment de la plus forte croissance du PIB entre 2003 et 2008 (i), en passant par la période de ralentissement économique entre 2008 et 2013 (ii), jusqu'à la phase de recul sévère entre 2013 et 2016 (iii). Il y a eu une croissance intense de l'emploi formel dans l'économie brésilienne entre 2003 et 2013, bien supérieure à la croissance du PIB. Cette performance a montré des taux très favorables jusqu'en 2008 puis s'est calmée, mais les indicateurs formels d'emploi, malgré le ralentissement du taux de croissance, ont montré au cours de cette période des taux d'emploi bien au-delà de l'évolution du PIB. Après 2013, ce scénario s'est fortement inversé, tant les indicateurs du PIB que de l'emploi formel ont montré des résultats négatifs. L'industrie manufacturière a depuis montré une réduction significative des biens à valeur ajoutée et des niveaux d'emploi. L'article questionne la grande difficulté de l'économie brésilienne à maintenir des taux de PIB plus élevés en période de dégradation du scénario international, principalement en relation avec le PIB industriel et l'emploi industriel.O objetivo deste estudo é analisar a evolução do emprego formal nos subsetores da indústria de transformação entre 2003 e 2016. O período foi dividido em três de acordo com o ciclo econômico: o momento de maior crescimento do PIB entre 2003 e 2008 (i), passando pelo período de desaceleração econômica, entre 2008 e 2013 (ii), até a fase de forte revés entre 2013 e 2016 (iii). Houve um intenso crescimento do emprego formal na economia brasileira entre 2003 e 2013, muito superior ao crescimento do PIB. Esse desempenho mostrou taxas muito favoráveis até 2008 e depois arrefeceu, mas os indicadores de emprego formal, apesar da desaceleração da taxa de crescimento, neste período mostraram taxas de emprego muito além da evolução do PIB. Após 2013, esse cenário reverteu-se fortemente, tanto o PIB quanto os indicadores de emprego formal apresentaram resultados negativos. A indústria de transformação demonstrou, desde então, redução significativa de bens de valor agregado e níveis de emprego. O artigo questiona a grande dificuldade da economia brasileira em sustentar taxas mais altas do PIB em tempos de piora do cenário internacional, principalmente em relação ao PIB industrial e ao emprego industrial.Universidade Estadual de Campinas2020-09-14info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionTextoTextoTexteinfo:eu-repo/semantics/otherapplication/pdfhttps://econtents.bc.unicamp.br/inpec/index.php/rbest/article/view/1387910.20396/rbest.v2i.13879RBEST Revista Brasileira de Economia Social e do Trabalho; v. 2 (2020): Dossiê: Desigualdade no capitalismo contemporâneo; e020005Revista Brasileira de Economia Social e do Trabalho; Vol. 2 (2020): Dossier: Desigualdad en el capitalismo contemporáneo; e020005RBEST: Revista Brasileira de Economia Social e do Trabalho; Vol. 2 (2020): Dossier: Inequality in contemporary capitalism; e020005RBEST: Revista Brasileira de Economia Social e do Trabalho; Vol. 2 (2020): Dossier: Inégalités dans le capitalisme contemporain; e0200052674-9564reponame:Revista Brasileira de Economia Social e do Trabalhoinstname:Universidade Estadual de Campinas (Unicamp)instacron:UNICAMPenghttps://econtents.bc.unicamp.br/inpec/index.php/rbest/article/view/13879/9772Brazil; 2003-2016Brasil; 2003-2016Brésil; 2003-2016Brasil; 2003-2016Copyright (c) 2020 RBEST: Revista Brasileira de Economia Social e do Trabalhohttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessSouen, Jacqueline Aslan Remy, Maria Alice Pestana de Aguiar2023-04-18T14:56:40Zoai:inpec.econtents.bc.unicamp.br:article/13879Revistahttps://econtents.bc.unicamp.br/inpec/index.php/rbest/indexPUBhttps://econtents.bc.unicamp.br/inpec/index.php/rbest/oairbest@unicamp.br || ppec@unicamp.br2674-95642674-9564opendoar:2023-04-18T14:56:40Revista Brasileira de Economia Social e do Trabalho - Universidade Estadual de Campinas (Unicamp)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Macroeconomic dynamics and the evolution of formal manufacturing employment (2003–2016)
Dinámica macroeconómica y evolución del empleo formal en la manufactura (2003-2016)
Dynamique macroéconomique et évolution de l'emploi formel dans le secteur manufacturier (2003-2016)
Dinâmica macroeconômica e evolução do emprego formal na manufatura (2003-2016)
title Macroeconomic dynamics and the evolution of formal manufacturing employment (2003–2016)
spellingShingle Macroeconomic dynamics and the evolution of formal manufacturing employment (2003–2016)
Souen, Jacqueline Aslan
Cycle économique
Emploi industriel
Brésil
Ciclo econômico
Emprego industrial
Brasil
Ciclo económico
Empleo industrial
Brasil
Economic cycle
Manufacturing employment
Brazil
title_short Macroeconomic dynamics and the evolution of formal manufacturing employment (2003–2016)
title_full Macroeconomic dynamics and the evolution of formal manufacturing employment (2003–2016)
title_fullStr Macroeconomic dynamics and the evolution of formal manufacturing employment (2003–2016)
title_full_unstemmed Macroeconomic dynamics and the evolution of formal manufacturing employment (2003–2016)
title_sort Macroeconomic dynamics and the evolution of formal manufacturing employment (2003–2016)
author Souen, Jacqueline Aslan
author_facet Souen, Jacqueline Aslan
Remy, Maria Alice Pestana de Aguiar
author_role author
author2 Remy, Maria Alice Pestana de Aguiar
author2_role author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Souen, Jacqueline Aslan
Remy, Maria Alice Pestana de Aguiar
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Cycle économique
Emploi industriel
Brésil
Ciclo econômico
Emprego industrial
Brasil
Ciclo económico
Empleo industrial
Brasil
Economic cycle
Manufacturing employment
Brazil
topic Cycle économique
Emploi industriel
Brésil
Ciclo econômico
Emprego industrial
Brasil
Ciclo económico
Empleo industrial
Brasil
Economic cycle
Manufacturing employment
Brazil
description This study aims to analyse the evolution of the formal employment in the sub-sectors of the manufacturing industry between 2003 and 2016. The period has been divided into three according to the moment of economic cycle: the moment of greatest GDP growth between 2003 and 2008 (i), going through the economic slowdown period, between 2008 and 2013 (ii), until the phase of strong setback between 2013 and 2016 (iii). There was an intense growth of formal employment in the Brazilian economy between 2003 and 2013, greater than GDP growth. This performance showed very favorable rates until 2008 and then cooled down, but the indicators of formal employment, despite the slowdown in growth rate, this period showed employment rates well beyond the evolution of GDP. After 2013, this scenario has reversed strongly, both GDP and formal employment indicators showed negative results. The manufacturing industry, has demonstrated, since then, significant reduction of added-value goods and employment levels. The article questions the great difficulty of the Brazilian economy to sustain higher rates of GDP in times of worsening of the international scenario, especially in relation to industrial GDP and industrial employment.
publishDate 2020
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2020-09-14
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Texto
Texto
Texte
info:eu-repo/semantics/other
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://econtents.bc.unicamp.br/inpec/index.php/rbest/article/view/13879
10.20396/rbest.v2i.13879
url https://econtents.bc.unicamp.br/inpec/index.php/rbest/article/view/13879
identifier_str_mv 10.20396/rbest.v2i.13879
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://econtents.bc.unicamp.br/inpec/index.php/rbest/article/view/13879/9772
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv Copyright (c) 2020 RBEST: Revista Brasileira de Economia Social e do Trabalho
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Copyright (c) 2020 RBEST: Revista Brasileira de Economia Social e do Trabalho
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.coverage.none.fl_str_mv Brazil; 2003-2016
Brasil; 2003-2016
Brésil; 2003-2016
Brasil; 2003-2016
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Estadual de Campinas
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Estadual de Campinas
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv RBEST Revista Brasileira de Economia Social e do Trabalho; v. 2 (2020): Dossiê: Desigualdade no capitalismo contemporâneo; e020005
Revista Brasileira de Economia Social e do Trabalho; Vol. 2 (2020): Dossier: Desigualdad en el capitalismo contemporáneo; e020005
RBEST: Revista Brasileira de Economia Social e do Trabalho; Vol. 2 (2020): Dossier: Inequality in contemporary capitalism; e020005
RBEST: Revista Brasileira de Economia Social e do Trabalho; Vol. 2 (2020): Dossier: Inégalités dans le capitalisme contemporain; e020005
2674-9564
reponame:Revista Brasileira de Economia Social e do Trabalho
instname:Universidade Estadual de Campinas (Unicamp)
instacron:UNICAMP
instname_str Universidade Estadual de Campinas (Unicamp)
instacron_str UNICAMP
institution UNICAMP
reponame_str Revista Brasileira de Economia Social e do Trabalho
collection Revista Brasileira de Economia Social e do Trabalho
repository.name.fl_str_mv Revista Brasileira de Economia Social e do Trabalho - Universidade Estadual de Campinas (Unicamp)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv rbest@unicamp.br || ppec@unicamp.br
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