Forestry: Prospective Scenarios for Generating Eletricity

• Autor(a) principal: Blois, Henrique Dias
• Data de Publicação: 2017
• Outros Autores: Paris, Edevaldo, Carvalho, Maitê Peres, Nunes, Bruno Blois
• Tipo de documento: Artigo
• Idioma: por
• Título da fonte: Revista de Gestão Ambiental e Sustentabilidade - GeAS
• Texto Completo: https://periodicos.uninove.br/geas/article/view/10037
• topic: Electricity; Alternative Sources; Forestry; Waste; Scenarios; Electricidad; Fuentes Alternativas; Silvicultura; Residuos; Escenarios; Energia elétrica; Fontes Alternativas; Silvicultura; Resíduos; Cenários

Forestry generates in all production segments a lot of waste which is a potential power source and an opportunity for electricity generation by the use of this material. Therefore, this study represents the construction of future scenarios for the power generation sector from alternative and renewable sources in the region of Vale do Taquari and Alto da Serra do Botucaraí, in the Northern-Central region of the Stat of Rio Grande do Sul, aiming for the application of waste and by-products from forestry present in a intensive and tendentious way in economic activities within the region. By way of prospective scenarios, one will be able to observe which events are impactful on the viability of an environmental project for recovery of forestry waste to generate electricity in the region. Thereby, we used the method described by Grumbach (2000), a methodology that prospects scenarios from the participation of experts, who collaborated analyzing and proposing events that impact as strengths and weaknesses, opportunities and threats and their interrelationships. Also, it was evident the degree of influence and dependence between the events, which create a matrix of cross impacts. Moreover, possible future scenarios have been constructed and analyzed for demonstrating that the study area has potential events that could serve as alternatives to the sector. However, no ideal scenario has been identified for the next five years, a fact that is due to the large amount of adverse events in six out of the ten final events.