Análise econômico-financeira de aviários para a integração de frangos de corte sob condições de risco
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2015 |
Outros Autores: | , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional da UNESP |
Texto Completo: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S1413-70542015000300005 http://hdl.handle.net/11449/167869 |
Resumo: | Financial investment projects are characterized by uncertainties. When quantified, these will determine the probability of their occurrence and the condition of risk. This information might be analyzed via simulation of Monte Carlo Method, which will establish the level of associated risk. To understand the financial risks of broiler production in integration system, cash flow models for aviaries were formulated with different technological levels. Using deterministic techniques, the value of the main economic viability indicators were calculated, which were incorporated to the risk through a probabilistic model of pseudo-random numbers, generated with Monte Carlo Method. The uncertainties associated to financial projects show that broiler production in different integration systems is economically viable. However, the best financial return and smallest risk are obtained with an aviary which contains low technological level and the least financial investment. |
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Análise econômico-financeira de aviários para a integração de frangos de corte sob condições de riscoEconomical and financial analysis of aviaries for the integration of broilers under conditions of riskAgribusinessMonte carlo methodNet present valueProduction costSimulationFinancial investment projects are characterized by uncertainties. When quantified, these will determine the probability of their occurrence and the condition of risk. This information might be analyzed via simulation of Monte Carlo Method, which will establish the level of associated risk. To understand the financial risks of broiler production in integration system, cash flow models for aviaries were formulated with different technological levels. Using deterministic techniques, the value of the main economic viability indicators were calculated, which were incorporated to the risk through a probabilistic model of pseudo-random numbers, generated with Monte Carlo Method. The uncertainties associated to financial projects show that broiler production in different integration systems is economically viable. However, the best financial return and smallest risk are obtained with an aviary which contains low technological level and the least financial investment.Universidade Estadual Paulista ‘Júlio de Mesquita Filho’/UNESP, Rua Geraldo Alckmin – 519 – Vila Nossa Senhora de FátimaCentro Estadual de Educação Tecnológica Paula Souza/ CEETEPSUniversidade Estadual Paulista ‘Júlio de Mesquita Filho’/UNESP, Rua Geraldo Alckmin – 519 – Vila Nossa Senhora de FátimaUniversidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp)Centro Estadual de Educação Tecnológica Paula Souza/ CEETEPSSimões, Danilo [UNESP]Ribeiro, João PauloGouveia, Pedro Rodrigodos Santos, Josiane Corrêa2018-12-11T16:38:40Z2018-12-11T16:38:40Z2015-06-22info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/article240-247application/pdfhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S1413-70542015000300005Ciencia e Agrotecnologia, v. 39, n. 3, p. 240-247, 2015.1981-18291413-7054http://hdl.handle.net/11449/16786910.1590/S1413-70542015000300005S1413-705420150003002402-s2.0-84931839970S1413-70542015000300240.pdfScopusreponame:Repositório Institucional da UNESPinstname:Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)instacron:UNESPengCiencia e Agrotecnologia0,383info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2024-01-27T06:56:26Zoai:repositorio.unesp.br:11449/167869Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttp://repositorio.unesp.br/oai/requestopendoar:29462024-08-06T00:05:43.369561Repositório Institucional da UNESP - Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Análise econômico-financeira de aviários para a integração de frangos de corte sob condições de risco Economical and financial analysis of aviaries for the integration of broilers under conditions of risk |
title |
Análise econômico-financeira de aviários para a integração de frangos de corte sob condições de risco |
spellingShingle |
Análise econômico-financeira de aviários para a integração de frangos de corte sob condições de risco Simões, Danilo [UNESP] Agribusiness Monte carlo method Net present value Production cost Simulation |
title_short |
Análise econômico-financeira de aviários para a integração de frangos de corte sob condições de risco |
title_full |
Análise econômico-financeira de aviários para a integração de frangos de corte sob condições de risco |
title_fullStr |
Análise econômico-financeira de aviários para a integração de frangos de corte sob condições de risco |
title_full_unstemmed |
Análise econômico-financeira de aviários para a integração de frangos de corte sob condições de risco |
title_sort |
Análise econômico-financeira de aviários para a integração de frangos de corte sob condições de risco |
author |
Simões, Danilo [UNESP] |
author_facet |
Simões, Danilo [UNESP] Ribeiro, João Paulo Gouveia, Pedro Rodrigo dos Santos, Josiane Corrêa |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Ribeiro, João Paulo Gouveia, Pedro Rodrigo dos Santos, Josiane Corrêa |
author2_role |
author author author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp) Centro Estadual de Educação Tecnológica Paula Souza/ CEETEPS |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Simões, Danilo [UNESP] Ribeiro, João Paulo Gouveia, Pedro Rodrigo dos Santos, Josiane Corrêa |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Agribusiness Monte carlo method Net present value Production cost Simulation |
topic |
Agribusiness Monte carlo method Net present value Production cost Simulation |
description |
Financial investment projects are characterized by uncertainties. When quantified, these will determine the probability of their occurrence and the condition of risk. This information might be analyzed via simulation of Monte Carlo Method, which will establish the level of associated risk. To understand the financial risks of broiler production in integration system, cash flow models for aviaries were formulated with different technological levels. Using deterministic techniques, the value of the main economic viability indicators were calculated, which were incorporated to the risk through a probabilistic model of pseudo-random numbers, generated with Monte Carlo Method. The uncertainties associated to financial projects show that broiler production in different integration systems is economically viable. However, the best financial return and smallest risk are obtained with an aviary which contains low technological level and the least financial investment. |
publishDate |
2015 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2015-06-22 2018-12-11T16:38:40Z 2018-12-11T16:38:40Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S1413-70542015000300005 Ciencia e Agrotecnologia, v. 39, n. 3, p. 240-247, 2015. 1981-1829 1413-7054 http://hdl.handle.net/11449/167869 10.1590/S1413-70542015000300005 S1413-70542015000300240 2-s2.0-84931839970 S1413-70542015000300240.pdf |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S1413-70542015000300005 http://hdl.handle.net/11449/167869 |
identifier_str_mv |
Ciencia e Agrotecnologia, v. 39, n. 3, p. 240-247, 2015. 1981-1829 1413-7054 10.1590/S1413-70542015000300005 S1413-70542015000300240 2-s2.0-84931839970 S1413-70542015000300240.pdf |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
Ciencia e Agrotecnologia 0,383 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
240-247 application/pdf |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Scopus reponame:Repositório Institucional da UNESP instname:Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) instacron:UNESP |
instname_str |
Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) |
instacron_str |
UNESP |
institution |
UNESP |
reponame_str |
Repositório Institucional da UNESP |
collection |
Repositório Institucional da UNESP |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Institucional da UNESP - Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
|
_version_ |
1808128241942134784 |