Análise econômico-financeira de aviários para a integração de frangos de corte sob condições de risco

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Simões, Danilo [UNESP]
Data de Publicação: 2015
Outros Autores: Ribeiro, João Paulo, Gouveia, Pedro Rodrigo, dos Santos, Josiane Corrêa
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da UNESP
Texto Completo: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S1413-70542015000300005
http://hdl.handle.net/11449/167869
Resumo: Financial investment projects are characterized by uncertainties. When quantified, these will determine the probability of their occurrence and the condition of risk. This information might be analyzed via simulation of Monte Carlo Method, which will establish the level of associated risk. To understand the financial risks of broiler production in integration system, cash flow models for aviaries were formulated with different technological levels. Using deterministic techniques, the value of the main economic viability indicators were calculated, which were incorporated to the risk through a probabilistic model of pseudo-random numbers, generated with Monte Carlo Method. The uncertainties associated to financial projects show that broiler production in different integration systems is economically viable. However, the best financial return and smallest risk are obtained with an aviary which contains low technological level and the least financial investment.
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spelling Análise econômico-financeira de aviários para a integração de frangos de corte sob condições de riscoEconomical and financial analysis of aviaries for the integration of broilers under conditions of riskAgribusinessMonte carlo methodNet present valueProduction costSimulationFinancial investment projects are characterized by uncertainties. When quantified, these will determine the probability of their occurrence and the condition of risk. This information might be analyzed via simulation of Monte Carlo Method, which will establish the level of associated risk. To understand the financial risks of broiler production in integration system, cash flow models for aviaries were formulated with different technological levels. Using deterministic techniques, the value of the main economic viability indicators were calculated, which were incorporated to the risk through a probabilistic model of pseudo-random numbers, generated with Monte Carlo Method. The uncertainties associated to financial projects show that broiler production in different integration systems is economically viable. However, the best financial return and smallest risk are obtained with an aviary which contains low technological level and the least financial investment.Universidade Estadual Paulista ‘Júlio de Mesquita Filho’/UNESP, Rua Geraldo Alckmin – 519 – Vila Nossa Senhora de FátimaCentro Estadual de Educação Tecnológica Paula Souza/ CEETEPSUniversidade Estadual Paulista ‘Júlio de Mesquita Filho’/UNESP, Rua Geraldo Alckmin – 519 – Vila Nossa Senhora de FátimaUniversidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp)Centro Estadual de Educação Tecnológica Paula Souza/ CEETEPSSimões, Danilo [UNESP]Ribeiro, João PauloGouveia, Pedro Rodrigodos Santos, Josiane Corrêa2018-12-11T16:38:40Z2018-12-11T16:38:40Z2015-06-22info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/article240-247application/pdfhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S1413-70542015000300005Ciencia e Agrotecnologia, v. 39, n. 3, p. 240-247, 2015.1981-18291413-7054http://hdl.handle.net/11449/16786910.1590/S1413-70542015000300005S1413-705420150003002402-s2.0-84931839970S1413-70542015000300240.pdfScopusreponame:Repositório Institucional da UNESPinstname:Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)instacron:UNESPengCiencia e Agrotecnologia0,383info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2024-01-27T06:56:26Zoai:repositorio.unesp.br:11449/167869Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttp://repositorio.unesp.br/oai/requestopendoar:29462024-08-06T00:05:43.369561Repositório Institucional da UNESP - Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Análise econômico-financeira de aviários para a integração de frangos de corte sob condições de risco
Economical and financial analysis of aviaries for the integration of broilers under conditions of risk
title Análise econômico-financeira de aviários para a integração de frangos de corte sob condições de risco
spellingShingle Análise econômico-financeira de aviários para a integração de frangos de corte sob condições de risco
Simões, Danilo [UNESP]
Agribusiness
Monte carlo method
Net present value
Production cost
Simulation
title_short Análise econômico-financeira de aviários para a integração de frangos de corte sob condições de risco
title_full Análise econômico-financeira de aviários para a integração de frangos de corte sob condições de risco
title_fullStr Análise econômico-financeira de aviários para a integração de frangos de corte sob condições de risco
title_full_unstemmed Análise econômico-financeira de aviários para a integração de frangos de corte sob condições de risco
title_sort Análise econômico-financeira de aviários para a integração de frangos de corte sob condições de risco
author Simões, Danilo [UNESP]
author_facet Simões, Danilo [UNESP]
Ribeiro, João Paulo
Gouveia, Pedro Rodrigo
dos Santos, Josiane Corrêa
author_role author
author2 Ribeiro, João Paulo
Gouveia, Pedro Rodrigo
dos Santos, Josiane Corrêa
author2_role author
author
author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp)
Centro Estadual de Educação Tecnológica Paula Souza/ CEETEPS
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Simões, Danilo [UNESP]
Ribeiro, João Paulo
Gouveia, Pedro Rodrigo
dos Santos, Josiane Corrêa
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Agribusiness
Monte carlo method
Net present value
Production cost
Simulation
topic Agribusiness
Monte carlo method
Net present value
Production cost
Simulation
description Financial investment projects are characterized by uncertainties. When quantified, these will determine the probability of their occurrence and the condition of risk. This information might be analyzed via simulation of Monte Carlo Method, which will establish the level of associated risk. To understand the financial risks of broiler production in integration system, cash flow models for aviaries were formulated with different technological levels. Using deterministic techniques, the value of the main economic viability indicators were calculated, which were incorporated to the risk through a probabilistic model of pseudo-random numbers, generated with Monte Carlo Method. The uncertainties associated to financial projects show that broiler production in different integration systems is economically viable. However, the best financial return and smallest risk are obtained with an aviary which contains low technological level and the least financial investment.
publishDate 2015
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2015-06-22
2018-12-11T16:38:40Z
2018-12-11T16:38:40Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S1413-70542015000300005
Ciencia e Agrotecnologia, v. 39, n. 3, p. 240-247, 2015.
1981-1829
1413-7054
http://hdl.handle.net/11449/167869
10.1590/S1413-70542015000300005
S1413-70542015000300240
2-s2.0-84931839970
S1413-70542015000300240.pdf
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S1413-70542015000300005
http://hdl.handle.net/11449/167869
identifier_str_mv Ciencia e Agrotecnologia, v. 39, n. 3, p. 240-247, 2015.
1981-1829
1413-7054
10.1590/S1413-70542015000300005
S1413-70542015000300240
2-s2.0-84931839970
S1413-70542015000300240.pdf
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv Ciencia e Agrotecnologia
0,383
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv 240-247
application/pdf
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Scopus
reponame:Repositório Institucional da UNESP
instname:Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)
instacron:UNESP
instname_str Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)
instacron_str UNESP
institution UNESP
reponame_str Repositório Institucional da UNESP
collection Repositório Institucional da UNESP
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositório Institucional da UNESP - Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
_version_ 1808128241942134784

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