Impact of climate change on the phoma leaf spot of coffee in Brazil
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2012 |
Outros Autores: | , , , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional da UNESP |
Texto Completo: | http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=33922748006 http://hdl.handle.net/11449/73276 |
Resumo: | The potential impact of global climate change on the spatial-temporal distribution of phoma leaf spot of coffee in Brazil was evaluated. Maps were prepared with the favorability of the climate to the occurrence of the disease in the current period and future. The future scenarios used were centered for the decades of 2010-2030, 2040-2060, and 2070-2090 (scenarios A2 and B2). These scenarios were obtained from six global climate models (GCM's) provided by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Assuming the future scenarios outlined by the IPCC, a reduction will occur in the occurrence of climatic favorability of phoma leaf spot in Brazil in both future scenarios (A2 and B2). As with the temporal distribution, the period of greatest risk of phoma leaf spot will tend to diminish in future decades. These planned changes will be larger in the A2 scenario compared to the predicted scenario B2. Despite the decrease in the favorability of phoma leaf spot in the country, some regions still present a potential risk of this disease. Furthermore, the increased frequency of extreme weather was not taken in to account. These will certainly influence the magnitude of potential impacts of climate change on the phoma leaf spot in Brazil. |
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Impact of climate change on the phoma leaf spot of coffee in BrazilCoffea spp.Geographic Information SystemGlobal WarmingPlant DiseasesCoffeaPhomaThe potential impact of global climate change on the spatial-temporal distribution of phoma leaf spot of coffee in Brazil was evaluated. Maps were prepared with the favorability of the climate to the occurrence of the disease in the current period and future. The future scenarios used were centered for the decades of 2010-2030, 2040-2060, and 2070-2090 (scenarios A2 and B2). These scenarios were obtained from six global climate models (GCM's) provided by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Assuming the future scenarios outlined by the IPCC, a reduction will occur in the occurrence of climatic favorability of phoma leaf spot in Brazil in both future scenarios (A2 and B2). As with the temporal distribution, the period of greatest risk of phoma leaf spot will tend to diminish in future decades. These planned changes will be larger in the A2 scenario compared to the predicted scenario B2. Despite the decrease in the favorability of phoma leaf spot in the country, some regions still present a potential risk of this disease. Furthermore, the increased frequency of extreme weather was not taken in to account. These will certainly influence the magnitude of potential impacts of climate change on the phoma leaf spot in Brazil.Agricultural Technician and Scholar of Agronomy Universidade Federal Do Espírito Santo (UFES)Universidade Estadual Paulista Julio de Mesquita Filho (UNESP)Universidade Federal de Viçosa (UFV)Universitaet HannoverUFESDepartment of Plant Production Centro de Ciências Agrárias CCA/UFES, 29500-000 - Alegre, Espírito SantoAgronomy-Crop Production UFESUniversidade Estadual Paulista Julio de Mesquita Filho (UNESP)Universidade Federal do Espírito Santo (UFES)Universidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp)Universidade Federal de Viçosa (UFV)Universitaet HannoverMoraes, Wanderson BuckerDe Jesus Junior, Waldir Cintra [UNESP]De Azevedo Peixoto, LeonardoMoraes, William BuckerCoser, Sara Morra [UNESP]Cecílio, Roberto Avelino2014-05-27T11:26:26Z2014-05-27T11:26:26Z2012-04-01info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/article272-278application/pdfhttp://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=33922748006Interciencia, v. 37, n. 4, p. 272-278, 2012.0378-1844http://hdl.handle.net/11449/732762-s2.0-848603335892-s2.0-84860333589.pdfScopusreponame:Repositório Institucional da UNESPinstname:Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)instacron:UNESPengInterciencia0.2580,183info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2024-01-14T06:18:41Zoai:repositorio.unesp.br:11449/73276Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttp://repositorio.unesp.br/oai/requestopendoar:29462024-08-05T22:55:53.706114Repositório Institucional da UNESP - Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Impact of climate change on the phoma leaf spot of coffee in Brazil |
title |
Impact of climate change on the phoma leaf spot of coffee in Brazil |
spellingShingle |
Impact of climate change on the phoma leaf spot of coffee in Brazil Moraes, Wanderson Bucker Coffea spp. Geographic Information System Global Warming Plant Diseases Coffea Phoma |
title_short |
Impact of climate change on the phoma leaf spot of coffee in Brazil |
title_full |
Impact of climate change on the phoma leaf spot of coffee in Brazil |
title_fullStr |
Impact of climate change on the phoma leaf spot of coffee in Brazil |
title_full_unstemmed |
Impact of climate change on the phoma leaf spot of coffee in Brazil |
title_sort |
Impact of climate change on the phoma leaf spot of coffee in Brazil |
author |
Moraes, Wanderson Bucker |
author_facet |
Moraes, Wanderson Bucker De Jesus Junior, Waldir Cintra [UNESP] De Azevedo Peixoto, Leonardo Moraes, William Bucker Coser, Sara Morra [UNESP] Cecílio, Roberto Avelino |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
De Jesus Junior, Waldir Cintra [UNESP] De Azevedo Peixoto, Leonardo Moraes, William Bucker Coser, Sara Morra [UNESP] Cecílio, Roberto Avelino |
author2_role |
author author author author author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade Federal do Espírito Santo (UFES) Universidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp) Universidade Federal de Viçosa (UFV) Universitaet Hannover |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Moraes, Wanderson Bucker De Jesus Junior, Waldir Cintra [UNESP] De Azevedo Peixoto, Leonardo Moraes, William Bucker Coser, Sara Morra [UNESP] Cecílio, Roberto Avelino |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Coffea spp. Geographic Information System Global Warming Plant Diseases Coffea Phoma |
topic |
Coffea spp. Geographic Information System Global Warming Plant Diseases Coffea Phoma |
description |
The potential impact of global climate change on the spatial-temporal distribution of phoma leaf spot of coffee in Brazil was evaluated. Maps were prepared with the favorability of the climate to the occurrence of the disease in the current period and future. The future scenarios used were centered for the decades of 2010-2030, 2040-2060, and 2070-2090 (scenarios A2 and B2). These scenarios were obtained from six global climate models (GCM's) provided by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Assuming the future scenarios outlined by the IPCC, a reduction will occur in the occurrence of climatic favorability of phoma leaf spot in Brazil in both future scenarios (A2 and B2). As with the temporal distribution, the period of greatest risk of phoma leaf spot will tend to diminish in future decades. These planned changes will be larger in the A2 scenario compared to the predicted scenario B2. Despite the decrease in the favorability of phoma leaf spot in the country, some regions still present a potential risk of this disease. Furthermore, the increased frequency of extreme weather was not taken in to account. These will certainly influence the magnitude of potential impacts of climate change on the phoma leaf spot in Brazil. |
publishDate |
2012 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2012-04-01 2014-05-27T11:26:26Z 2014-05-27T11:26:26Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=33922748006 Interciencia, v. 37, n. 4, p. 272-278, 2012. 0378-1844 http://hdl.handle.net/11449/73276 2-s2.0-84860333589 2-s2.0-84860333589.pdf |
url |
http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=33922748006 http://hdl.handle.net/11449/73276 |
identifier_str_mv |
Interciencia, v. 37, n. 4, p. 272-278, 2012. 0378-1844 2-s2.0-84860333589 2-s2.0-84860333589.pdf |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
Interciencia 0.258 0,183 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
272-278 application/pdf |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Scopus reponame:Repositório Institucional da UNESP instname:Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) instacron:UNESP |
instname_str |
Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) |
instacron_str |
UNESP |
institution |
UNESP |
reponame_str |
Repositório Institucional da UNESP |
collection |
Repositório Institucional da UNESP |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Institucional da UNESP - Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
|
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1808129474102820864 |