Analysis of the relationship between accounting information and systematic risk in the Brazilian market

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Amorim, Ana Luísa Gambi Cavallari
Data de Publicação: 2012
Outros Autores: Lima, Iran Siqueira, Murcia, Fernando Dal-Ri
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: por
eng
Título da fonte: Revista Contabilidade & Finanças (Online)
Texto Completo: https://www.revistas.usp.br/rcf/article/view/53075
Resumo: According to the existing literature, accounting information represents an important predictor of a company's future cash flow and serves to assess the risk of stock investments. Because such information reflects the economic and financial reality of a company during a given period, this information relates to the systematic risk of an investment, which justifies the use of the information for decisions related to the composition of a stock portfolio. Within this context, the present study seeks to present empirical evidence on the relationship between accounting information and systematic risk in the Brazilian market. More specifically, the objective is to analyze the relationship between the accounting betas and the market betas of companies in Brazil. For this analysis, 97 companies from 15 economic sectors were selected from the Securities, Commodities, and Futures Exchange of São Paulo (Bolsa de Valores, Mercadorias e Futuros de São Paulo - BM&FBOVESPA) from the first quarter of 1995 to the third quarter of 2009. A total of 468 accounting variables were used. To operationalize the relationship between the variables, a regression model with panel data was used. One the one hand, the results show that some accounting betas may explain the market beta and do so in an anticipated manner and that these accounting betas are able to improve the prediction of the market beta when used alongside the historical market betas. On the other hand, the majority of accounting beta versions displayed a rather insignificant or even nonexistent relationship.
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spelling Analysis of the relationship between accounting information and systematic risk in the Brazilian market Análise da relação entre as informações contábeis e o risco sistemático no mercado brasileiro Informação contábilRisco sistemáticoBetaCAPMAccounting informationSystematic riskBetaCAPM According to the existing literature, accounting information represents an important predictor of a company's future cash flow and serves to assess the risk of stock investments. Because such information reflects the economic and financial reality of a company during a given period, this information relates to the systematic risk of an investment, which justifies the use of the information for decisions related to the composition of a stock portfolio. Within this context, the present study seeks to present empirical evidence on the relationship between accounting information and systematic risk in the Brazilian market. More specifically, the objective is to analyze the relationship between the accounting betas and the market betas of companies in Brazil. For this analysis, 97 companies from 15 economic sectors were selected from the Securities, Commodities, and Futures Exchange of São Paulo (Bolsa de Valores, Mercadorias e Futuros de São Paulo - BM&FBOVESPA) from the first quarter of 1995 to the third quarter of 2009. A total of 468 accounting variables were used. To operationalize the relationship between the variables, a regression model with panel data was used. One the one hand, the results show that some accounting betas may explain the market beta and do so in an anticipated manner and that these accounting betas are able to improve the prediction of the market beta when used alongside the historical market betas. On the other hand, the majority of accounting beta versions displayed a rather insignificant or even nonexistent relationship. De acordo com a literatura existente, as informações contábeis representam um importante estimador dos fluxos de caixa futuros da empresa, servindo, portanto, para fins de avaliação do risco de um investimento em ações. Isso porque tais informações refletem a realidade econômico-financeira da empresa em um dado período, possuindo, consequentemente, relação com o risco sistemático de um investimento, o que justifica sua utilização para fins de decisões relacionadas à composição de um portfólio de ações. Dentro desse contexto, o presente trabalho busca apresentar evidências empíricas da relação entre as informações contábeis e o risco sistemático no mercado brasileiro. Mais especificamente, objetiva-se analisar a relação entre os betas contábeis e os betas de mercado de companhias no Brasil. Para isso, foram selecionadas 97 empresas, da Bolsa de Valores, Mercadorias e Futuros de São Paulo (BM&FBOVESPA), de 15 setores econômicos, entre o 1º trimestre de 1995 e o 3º trimestre de 2009. Foram utilizadas 468 variáveis contábeis. Para operacionalizar a relação entre as variáveis foi utilizado um modelo de regressão com dados em painel. Os resultados evidenciaram que alguns betas contábeis podem explicar o beta de mercado e podem fazê-lo de forma antecipada, podendo, ainda, melhorar a previsão do beta de mercado quando associados a betas de mercado históricos. Por outro lado, a maior parte das versões de betas contábeis apresentou relação pouco significativa ou mesmo inexistente. Universidade de São Paulo. Faculdade de Economia, Administração, Contabilidade e Atuária2012-12-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttps://www.revistas.usp.br/rcf/article/view/5307510.1590/S1519-70772012000300005Revista Contabilidade & Finanças; v. 23 n. 60 (2012); 199-211 Revista Contabilidade & Finanças; Vol. 23 No. 60 (2012); 199-211 Revista Contabilidade & Finanças; Vol. 23 Núm. 60 (2012); 199-211 1808-057X1519-7077reponame:Revista Contabilidade & Finanças (Online)instname:Universidade de São Paulo (USP)instacron:USPporenghttps://www.revistas.usp.br/rcf/article/view/53075/57133https://www.revistas.usp.br/rcf/article/view/53075/57134Copyright (c) 2018 Revista Contabilidade & Finançasinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessAmorim, Ana Luísa Gambi CavallariLima, Iran SiqueiraMurcia, Fernando Dal-Ri2013-04-08T16:54:23Zoai:revistas.usp.br:article/53075Revistahttp://www.revistas.usp.br/rcf/indexPUBhttps://old.scielo.br/oai/scielo-oai.phprecont@usp.br||recont@usp.br1808-057X1519-7077opendoar:2013-04-08T16:54:23Revista Contabilidade & Finanças (Online) - Universidade de São Paulo (USP)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Analysis of the relationship between accounting information and systematic risk in the Brazilian market
Análise da relação entre as informações contábeis e o risco sistemático no mercado brasileiro
title Analysis of the relationship between accounting information and systematic risk in the Brazilian market
spellingShingle Analysis of the relationship between accounting information and systematic risk in the Brazilian market
Amorim, Ana Luísa Gambi Cavallari
Informação contábil
Risco sistemático
Beta
CAPM
Accounting information
Systematic risk
Beta
CAPM
title_short Analysis of the relationship between accounting information and systematic risk in the Brazilian market
title_full Analysis of the relationship between accounting information and systematic risk in the Brazilian market
title_fullStr Analysis of the relationship between accounting information and systematic risk in the Brazilian market
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of the relationship between accounting information and systematic risk in the Brazilian market
title_sort Analysis of the relationship between accounting information and systematic risk in the Brazilian market
author Amorim, Ana Luísa Gambi Cavallari
author_facet Amorim, Ana Luísa Gambi Cavallari
Lima, Iran Siqueira
Murcia, Fernando Dal-Ri
author_role author
author2 Lima, Iran Siqueira
Murcia, Fernando Dal-Ri
author2_role author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Amorim, Ana Luísa Gambi Cavallari
Lima, Iran Siqueira
Murcia, Fernando Dal-Ri
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Informação contábil
Risco sistemático
Beta
CAPM
Accounting information
Systematic risk
Beta
CAPM
topic Informação contábil
Risco sistemático
Beta
CAPM
Accounting information
Systematic risk
Beta
CAPM
description According to the existing literature, accounting information represents an important predictor of a company's future cash flow and serves to assess the risk of stock investments. Because such information reflects the economic and financial reality of a company during a given period, this information relates to the systematic risk of an investment, which justifies the use of the information for decisions related to the composition of a stock portfolio. Within this context, the present study seeks to present empirical evidence on the relationship between accounting information and systematic risk in the Brazilian market. More specifically, the objective is to analyze the relationship between the accounting betas and the market betas of companies in Brazil. For this analysis, 97 companies from 15 economic sectors were selected from the Securities, Commodities, and Futures Exchange of São Paulo (Bolsa de Valores, Mercadorias e Futuros de São Paulo - BM&FBOVESPA) from the first quarter of 1995 to the third quarter of 2009. A total of 468 accounting variables were used. To operationalize the relationship between the variables, a regression model with panel data was used. One the one hand, the results show that some accounting betas may explain the market beta and do so in an anticipated manner and that these accounting betas are able to improve the prediction of the market beta when used alongside the historical market betas. On the other hand, the majority of accounting beta versions displayed a rather insignificant or even nonexistent relationship.
publishDate 2012
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2012-12-01
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://www.revistas.usp.br/rcf/article/view/53075
10.1590/S1519-70772012000300005
url https://www.revistas.usp.br/rcf/article/view/53075
identifier_str_mv 10.1590/S1519-70772012000300005
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
eng
language por
eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://www.revistas.usp.br/rcf/article/view/53075/57133
https://www.revistas.usp.br/rcf/article/view/53075/57134
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv Copyright (c) 2018 Revista Contabilidade & Finanças
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Copyright (c) 2018 Revista Contabilidade & Finanças
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade de São Paulo. Faculdade de Economia, Administração, Contabilidade e Atuária
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade de São Paulo. Faculdade de Economia, Administração, Contabilidade e Atuária
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Revista Contabilidade & Finanças; v. 23 n. 60 (2012); 199-211
Revista Contabilidade & Finanças; Vol. 23 No. 60 (2012); 199-211
Revista Contabilidade & Finanças; Vol. 23 Núm. 60 (2012); 199-211
1808-057X
1519-7077
reponame:Revista Contabilidade & Finanças (Online)
instname:Universidade de São Paulo (USP)
instacron:USP
instname_str Universidade de São Paulo (USP)
instacron_str USP
institution USP
reponame_str Revista Contabilidade & Finanças (Online)
collection Revista Contabilidade & Finanças (Online)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Revista Contabilidade & Finanças (Online) - Universidade de São Paulo (USP)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv recont@usp.br||recont@usp.br
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