Statistical Mechanics of Economic Systems

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: João Pedro Jericó de Andrade
Data de Publicação: 2016
Tipo de documento: Tese
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da USP
Texto Completo: https://doi.org/10.11606/T.43.2017.tde-03012017-104524
Resumo: In this thesis, we explore the potential of employing Statistical Mechanics techniques to study economic systems, showing how such an approach could greatly contribute by allowing the study of very complex systems, exhibiting rich behavior such as phase transitions, criticality and glassy phases, which are not found in the usual economic models. We exemplify this potential via three specific problems: (i) a Statistical Mechanics framework for dealing with irrational consumers, in which the rationality is set by a parameter akin to a temperature which controls deviations from the maximum of his utility function. We show that an irrational consumer increases the economic activity while decreasing his own utility; (ii) an analysis using Information Theory of real world Input-Output matrices, showing that the aggregation methods used to build them most likely underestimated the dependency of the production chain on a few crucial sectors, having important consequences for the analysis of these data; (iii) a zero intelligence model in which agents with a power law distributed initial wealth randomly trade goods of different prices. We show that this initial inequality generates a higher inequality in free cash, reducing the overall liquidity in the economy and slowing down the number of trades. We discuss the insights obtained with these three problems, along with their relevance for the larger picture in Economics.
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spelling info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesis Statistical Mechanics of Economic Systems Mecânica estatística de sistemas econômicos 2016-11-25Renato VicenteNestor Felipe Caticha AlfonsoFernando Tadeu Caldeira BrandtMasayuki Oka HaseAndre Cavalcanti Rocha MartinsJoão Pedro Jericó de AndradeUniversidade de São PauloFísicaUSPBR Bayesian Inference Complex Systems Economia Economics Inferência Bayesiana Mecânica Estatística Sistemas Complexos Statistical Mechanics In this thesis, we explore the potential of employing Statistical Mechanics techniques to study economic systems, showing how such an approach could greatly contribute by allowing the study of very complex systems, exhibiting rich behavior such as phase transitions, criticality and glassy phases, which are not found in the usual economic models. We exemplify this potential via three specific problems: (i) a Statistical Mechanics framework for dealing with irrational consumers, in which the rationality is set by a parameter akin to a temperature which controls deviations from the maximum of his utility function. We show that an irrational consumer increases the economic activity while decreasing his own utility; (ii) an analysis using Information Theory of real world Input-Output matrices, showing that the aggregation methods used to build them most likely underestimated the dependency of the production chain on a few crucial sectors, having important consequences for the analysis of these data; (iii) a zero intelligence model in which agents with a power law distributed initial wealth randomly trade goods of different prices. We show that this initial inequality generates a higher inequality in free cash, reducing the overall liquidity in the economy and slowing down the number of trades. We discuss the insights obtained with these three problems, along with their relevance for the larger picture in Economics. Nesta tese, exploramos o potencial de ser usar técnicas de Mecânica Estatística para o estudo de sistemas econômicos, mostrando como tal abordagem pode contribuir significativamente ao permitir o estudo de sistemas complexos que exibem comportamentos ricos como transições de fase, criticalidade e fases vítreas, não encontradas normalmente em modelos econômicos tradicionais. Exemplificamos este potencial através de três problemas específicos: (i) um framework de Mecânica Estatística para lidar com consumidores irracionais, no qual a racionalidade é controlada pela temperatura do sistema, que define o tamanho dos desvios do estado de máxima utilidade. Mostramos que um consumidor irracional aumenta a atividade econômica ao mesmo tempo que diminui seu próprio bem estar; (ii) uma anáise usando Teoria da Informação de matrizes Input-Output de economias reais, mostrando que os métodos de agregação utilizados para construí-las provavelmente subestima a dependência das cadeias de produção em certos setores cruciais, com consequências importantes para a analíse destes dados; (iii) um modelo em que agentes com uma riqueza inicial distributida como lei de potências trocam aleatoriamente objetos com preços distintos. Mostramos que esta desigualdade inicial gera uma desigualdade ainda maior em dinheiro livre, reduzindo a liquidez total na economia e diminuindo a quantidade de trocas. Discutimos as consequências dos resultados destes três problemas, bem como sua relevância na perspectiva geral em Economia. https://doi.org/10.11606/T.43.2017.tde-03012017-104524info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessengreponame:Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da USPinstname:Universidade de São Paulo (USP)instacron:USP2023-12-21T18:06:35Zoai:teses.usp.br:tde-03012017-104524Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertaçõeshttp://www.teses.usp.br/PUBhttp://www.teses.usp.br/cgi-bin/mtd2br.plvirginia@if.usp.br|| atendimento@aguia.usp.br||virginia@if.usp.bropendoar:27212023-12-22T12:02:09.955766Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da USP - Universidade de São Paulo (USP)false
dc.title.en.fl_str_mv Statistical Mechanics of Economic Systems
dc.title.alternative.pt.fl_str_mv Mecânica estatística de sistemas econômicos
title Statistical Mechanics of Economic Systems
spellingShingle Statistical Mechanics of Economic Systems
João Pedro Jericó de Andrade
title_short Statistical Mechanics of Economic Systems
title_full Statistical Mechanics of Economic Systems
title_fullStr Statistical Mechanics of Economic Systems
title_full_unstemmed Statistical Mechanics of Economic Systems
title_sort Statistical Mechanics of Economic Systems
author João Pedro Jericó de Andrade
author_facet João Pedro Jericó de Andrade
author_role author
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv Renato Vicente
dc.contributor.referee1.fl_str_mv Nestor Felipe Caticha Alfonso
dc.contributor.referee2.fl_str_mv Fernando Tadeu Caldeira Brandt
dc.contributor.referee3.fl_str_mv Masayuki Oka Hase
dc.contributor.referee4.fl_str_mv Andre Cavalcanti Rocha Martins
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv João Pedro Jericó de Andrade
contributor_str_mv Renato Vicente
Nestor Felipe Caticha Alfonso
Fernando Tadeu Caldeira Brandt
Masayuki Oka Hase
Andre Cavalcanti Rocha Martins
description In this thesis, we explore the potential of employing Statistical Mechanics techniques to study economic systems, showing how such an approach could greatly contribute by allowing the study of very complex systems, exhibiting rich behavior such as phase transitions, criticality and glassy phases, which are not found in the usual economic models. We exemplify this potential via three specific problems: (i) a Statistical Mechanics framework for dealing with irrational consumers, in which the rationality is set by a parameter akin to a temperature which controls deviations from the maximum of his utility function. We show that an irrational consumer increases the economic activity while decreasing his own utility; (ii) an analysis using Information Theory of real world Input-Output matrices, showing that the aggregation methods used to build them most likely underestimated the dependency of the production chain on a few crucial sectors, having important consequences for the analysis of these data; (iii) a zero intelligence model in which agents with a power law distributed initial wealth randomly trade goods of different prices. We show that this initial inequality generates a higher inequality in free cash, reducing the overall liquidity in the economy and slowing down the number of trades. We discuss the insights obtained with these three problems, along with their relevance for the larger picture in Economics.
publishDate 2016
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2016-11-25
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesis
format doctoralThesis
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://doi.org/10.11606/T.43.2017.tde-03012017-104524
url https://doi.org/10.11606/T.43.2017.tde-03012017-104524
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade de São Paulo
dc.publisher.program.fl_str_mv Física
dc.publisher.initials.fl_str_mv USP
dc.publisher.country.fl_str_mv BR
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade de São Paulo
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da USP
instname:Universidade de São Paulo (USP)
instacron:USP
instname_str Universidade de São Paulo (USP)
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institution USP
reponame_str Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da USP
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repository.name.fl_str_mv Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da USP - Universidade de São Paulo (USP)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv virginia@if.usp.br|| atendimento@aguia.usp.br||virginia@if.usp.br
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