Effects of climate and land use changes on water ecosystem services: understanding the mitigating effect of green land use scenarios

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Anjinho, Phelipe da Silva
Data de Publicação: 2024
Tipo de documento: Tese
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da USP
Texto Completo: https://www.teses.usp.br/teses/disponiveis/18/18139/tde-25042024-151658/
Resumo: Water ecosystem services (WES) are crucial for preserving environmental quality and human well-being. Their degradation is primarily associated with climate and land use changes. This study aimed to understand how these factors affect WES in the Jacaré-Guaçu river basin, located in São Paulo, Brazil. Regional climate and biophysical models were used to investigate the effects of different climate and land use scenarios on erosion control, water supply, and purification services. Indicators such as sediment export and retention (erosion control), total nitrogen and total phosphorus export and retention (water purification), and quickflow and baseflow (water provision) were used to quantify these services. The research hypothesis involved testing whether green land use scenarios, based on increasing native vegetation, could enhance provision and mitigate adverse effects of climate change on WES. The research was structured into six chapters, with the first chapter presenting the general introduction, objectives, and research hypothesis. The second chapter involved a literature review on WES, aiming to identify potentials, limitations, and gaps in applying this approach to water resources planning and management. The third chapter assessed the performance of InVEST biophysical models in predicting observed values of WES, discussing important issues such as sensitivity, calibration of biophysical parameters, and validation of simulations. The fourth chapter investigated the effects of past land use changes on WES, proposing environmental zoning to identify priority areas for conservation and restoration of native vegetation, and evaluating the impacts of a planned land use scenario on WES. The fifth chapter assessed the individual and combined effects of four climate scenarios (RCP 4.5 2040-2069, RCP 4.5 2070-2099, RCP 8.5 2040-2069, RCP 8.5 2070-2099) and three land use scenarios (economic, trend, and green) on WES. Additionally, in the fifth chapter, the overall hypothesis of the research was tested. The results of all studies allowed understanding the individual and combined effects of climate and land use changes on WES, highlighting the positive effects of green land use scenarios on the provisioning of WES and mitigation of climate change impacts. The contributions and insights of this research are important for researchers and public managers interested in integrated planning and management of water resources.
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spelling Effects of climate and land use changes on water ecosystem services: understanding the mitigating effect of green land use scenariosEfeitos das mudanças climáticas e de uso do solo nos serviços ecossistêmicos hídricos: compreendendo o efeito mitigador de cenários verdes de uso do solobiophysical modelingclimate changeecosystem servicesInVEST modelsInVEST modelsland use changesmodelagem biofísicamudanças climáticasmudanças de uso do soloserviços ecossistêmicosWater ecosystem services (WES) are crucial for preserving environmental quality and human well-being. Their degradation is primarily associated with climate and land use changes. This study aimed to understand how these factors affect WES in the Jacaré-Guaçu river basin, located in São Paulo, Brazil. Regional climate and biophysical models were used to investigate the effects of different climate and land use scenarios on erosion control, water supply, and purification services. Indicators such as sediment export and retention (erosion control), total nitrogen and total phosphorus export and retention (water purification), and quickflow and baseflow (water provision) were used to quantify these services. The research hypothesis involved testing whether green land use scenarios, based on increasing native vegetation, could enhance provision and mitigate adverse effects of climate change on WES. The research was structured into six chapters, with the first chapter presenting the general introduction, objectives, and research hypothesis. The second chapter involved a literature review on WES, aiming to identify potentials, limitations, and gaps in applying this approach to water resources planning and management. The third chapter assessed the performance of InVEST biophysical models in predicting observed values of WES, discussing important issues such as sensitivity, calibration of biophysical parameters, and validation of simulations. The fourth chapter investigated the effects of past land use changes on WES, proposing environmental zoning to identify priority areas for conservation and restoration of native vegetation, and evaluating the impacts of a planned land use scenario on WES. The fifth chapter assessed the individual and combined effects of four climate scenarios (RCP 4.5 2040-2069, RCP 4.5 2070-2099, RCP 8.5 2040-2069, RCP 8.5 2070-2099) and three land use scenarios (economic, trend, and green) on WES. Additionally, in the fifth chapter, the overall hypothesis of the research was tested. The results of all studies allowed understanding the individual and combined effects of climate and land use changes on WES, highlighting the positive effects of green land use scenarios on the provisioning of WES and mitigation of climate change impacts. The contributions and insights of this research are important for researchers and public managers interested in integrated planning and management of water resources.Os serviços ecossistêmicos hídricos (SEH) são fundamentais para preservar a qualidade ambiental e o bem-estar humano. Sua degradação está associada principalmente às mudanças climáticas e de uso do solo. Este estudo buscou compreender como esses fatores afetam os SEH da bacia hidrográfica do rio Jacaré-Guaçu, localizada no interior do São Paulo, Brasil. Modelos climáticos regionais e biofísicos foram utilizados para investigar os efeitos de diferentes cenários climáticos e de uso do solo nos serviços de controle de erosão, provisão e purificação da água. Os indicadores exportação e retenção de sedimentos (controle de erosão), exportação e retenção de nitrogênio total e fósforo total (purificação da água) e quickflow e baseflow (provisão de água) foram utilizados para quantificar esses serviços. A hipótese da pesquisa envolveu testar se cenários verdes de uso do solo, baseado no incremento de vegetação nativa, podem ampliar a provisão e mitigar os efeitos adversos das mudanças climáticas nos SEH. A pesquisa foi estruturada em seis capítulos, o primeiro capítulo apresentou a introdução geral, objetivos e hipótese da pesquisa. O segundo capítulo consistiu em uma revisão da literatura sobre serviços ecossistêmicos hídricos, buscando identificar potencialidades, limitações e lacunas na aplicação dessa abordagem ao planejamento e gerenciamento dos recursos hídricos. O terceiro capítulo avaliou a performance dos modelos biofísicos do InVEST em prever os valores observados dos SEH, discutindo questões importantes como sensibilidade e calibração dos parâmetros biofísicos e validação das simulações. O quarto capítulo investigou os efeitos das mudanças pretéritas de uso do solo nos SEH, propondo um zoneamento ambiental para identificar áreas prioritárias à conservação e restauração da vegetação nativa, além de avaliar os impactos de um cenário planejado de uso do solo nos SEH. O quinto capítulo avaliou os efeitos individuais e combinados de quatro cenários climáticos (RCP 4.5 2040-2069, RCP 4.5 2070-2099, RCP 8.5 2040-2069, RCP 8.5 2070-2099) e três de uso do solo (econômico, tendencial e verde) nos SEH. Além disso, no quinto capítulo foi testada a hipótese geral dessa pesquisa. Os resultados de todos os estudos possibilitaram compreender os efeitos individuais e combinados das mudanças climáticas e de uso solo nos SEH da bacia hidrográfica estudada, destacando os efeitos positivos de cenários verdes de uso do solo no provisionamento de SEH e mitigação dos impactos das mudanças climáticas. As contribuições e insights desta pesquisa são importantes para pesquisadores e gestores públicos interessados no planejamento e gerenciamento integrado dos recursos hídricos.Biblioteca Digitais de Teses e Dissertações da USPMauad, Frederico FabioAnjinho, Phelipe da Silva2024-03-19info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesisapplication/pdfhttps://www.teses.usp.br/teses/disponiveis/18/18139/tde-25042024-151658/reponame:Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da USPinstname:Universidade de São Paulo (USP)instacron:USPLiberar o conteúdo para acesso público.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesseng2024-04-29T12:54:02Zoai:teses.usp.br:tde-25042024-151658Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertaçõeshttp://www.teses.usp.br/PUBhttp://www.teses.usp.br/cgi-bin/mtd2br.plvirginia@if.usp.br|| atendimento@aguia.usp.br||virginia@if.usp.bropendoar:27212024-04-29T12:54:02Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da USP - Universidade de São Paulo (USP)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Effects of climate and land use changes on water ecosystem services: understanding the mitigating effect of green land use scenarios
Efeitos das mudanças climáticas e de uso do solo nos serviços ecossistêmicos hídricos: compreendendo o efeito mitigador de cenários verdes de uso do solo
title Effects of climate and land use changes on water ecosystem services: understanding the mitigating effect of green land use scenarios
spellingShingle Effects of climate and land use changes on water ecosystem services: understanding the mitigating effect of green land use scenarios
Anjinho, Phelipe da Silva
biophysical modeling
climate change
ecosystem services
InVEST models
InVEST models
land use changes
modelagem biofísica
mudanças climáticas
mudanças de uso do solo
serviços ecossistêmicos
title_short Effects of climate and land use changes on water ecosystem services: understanding the mitigating effect of green land use scenarios
title_full Effects of climate and land use changes on water ecosystem services: understanding the mitigating effect of green land use scenarios
title_fullStr Effects of climate and land use changes on water ecosystem services: understanding the mitigating effect of green land use scenarios
title_full_unstemmed Effects of climate and land use changes on water ecosystem services: understanding the mitigating effect of green land use scenarios
title_sort Effects of climate and land use changes on water ecosystem services: understanding the mitigating effect of green land use scenarios
author Anjinho, Phelipe da Silva
author_facet Anjinho, Phelipe da Silva
author_role author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Mauad, Frederico Fabio
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Anjinho, Phelipe da Silva
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv biophysical modeling
climate change
ecosystem services
InVEST models
InVEST models
land use changes
modelagem biofísica
mudanças climáticas
mudanças de uso do solo
serviços ecossistêmicos
topic biophysical modeling
climate change
ecosystem services
InVEST models
InVEST models
land use changes
modelagem biofísica
mudanças climáticas
mudanças de uso do solo
serviços ecossistêmicos
description Water ecosystem services (WES) are crucial for preserving environmental quality and human well-being. Their degradation is primarily associated with climate and land use changes. This study aimed to understand how these factors affect WES in the Jacaré-Guaçu river basin, located in São Paulo, Brazil. Regional climate and biophysical models were used to investigate the effects of different climate and land use scenarios on erosion control, water supply, and purification services. Indicators such as sediment export and retention (erosion control), total nitrogen and total phosphorus export and retention (water purification), and quickflow and baseflow (water provision) were used to quantify these services. The research hypothesis involved testing whether green land use scenarios, based on increasing native vegetation, could enhance provision and mitigate adverse effects of climate change on WES. The research was structured into six chapters, with the first chapter presenting the general introduction, objectives, and research hypothesis. The second chapter involved a literature review on WES, aiming to identify potentials, limitations, and gaps in applying this approach to water resources planning and management. The third chapter assessed the performance of InVEST biophysical models in predicting observed values of WES, discussing important issues such as sensitivity, calibration of biophysical parameters, and validation of simulations. The fourth chapter investigated the effects of past land use changes on WES, proposing environmental zoning to identify priority areas for conservation and restoration of native vegetation, and evaluating the impacts of a planned land use scenario on WES. The fifth chapter assessed the individual and combined effects of four climate scenarios (RCP 4.5 2040-2069, RCP 4.5 2070-2099, RCP 8.5 2040-2069, RCP 8.5 2070-2099) and three land use scenarios (economic, trend, and green) on WES. Additionally, in the fifth chapter, the overall hypothesis of the research was tested. The results of all studies allowed understanding the individual and combined effects of climate and land use changes on WES, highlighting the positive effects of green land use scenarios on the provisioning of WES and mitigation of climate change impacts. The contributions and insights of this research are important for researchers and public managers interested in integrated planning and management of water resources.
publishDate 2024
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2024-03-19
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesis
format doctoralThesis
status_str publishedVersion
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dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
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dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv Liberar o conteúdo para acesso público.
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Liberar o conteúdo para acesso público.
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
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dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Biblioteca Digitais de Teses e Dissertações da USP
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Biblioteca Digitais de Teses e Dissertações da USP
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv
reponame:Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da USP
instname:Universidade de São Paulo (USP)
instacron:USP
instname_str Universidade de São Paulo (USP)
instacron_str USP
institution USP
reponame_str Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da USP
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repository.name.fl_str_mv Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da USP - Universidade de São Paulo (USP)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv virginia@if.usp.br|| atendimento@aguia.usp.br||virginia@if.usp.br
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