Analysis of climate factors and dengue incidence in the metropolitan region of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Xavier, Leandro Layter
Data de Publicação: 2021
Outros Autores: Honário, Nildimar Alves, Pessanha, José Francisco Moreira, Peiter, Paulo César
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
Texto Completo: https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/48989
Resumo: Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Oswaldo Cruz. Laboratório de Doenças Parasitárias. Programa de Medicina Tropical. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.
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spelling Xavier, Leandro LayterHonário, Nildimar AlvesPessanha, José Francisco MoreiraPeiter, Paulo César2021-09-05T14:50:46Z2021-09-05T14:50:46Z2021XAVIER, Leandro Layter et al. Analysis of climate factors and dengue incidence in the metropolitan region of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Plos One, v. 16, n. 5, May 2021.1932-6203https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/4898910.1371/journal.pone.0251403engPublic Library of ScienceIncidência de DengueFatores climáticosÁrea metroplitanaEstado do Rio de JaneiroBrasilDengue incidenceClimate factorsMetropolitan areaRio de Janeiro StateBrazilAnalysis of climate factors and dengue incidence in the metropolitan region of Rio de Janeiro, Brazilinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleFundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Oswaldo Cruz. Laboratório de Doenças Parasitárias. Programa de Medicina Tropical. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Oswaldo Cruz. Programa de Medicina Tropical. Mosquito Transmissor de Hematozoários. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro. Instituto de Matemática e Estatística. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Oswaldo Cruz. Laboratório de Doenças Parasitárias. Programa de Medicina Tropical. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.Dengue is a re-emerging disease, currently considered the most important mosquito-borne arbovirus infection affecting humankind, taking into account both its morbidity and mortality. Brazil is considered an endemic country for dengue, such that more than 1,544,987 con firmed cases were notified in 2019, which means an incidence rate of 735 for every 100 thousand inhabitants. Climate is an important factor in the temporal and spatial distribution of vector-borne diseases, such as dengue. Thus, rainfall and temperature are considered macro-factors determinants for dengue, since they directly influence the population density of Aedes aegypti, which is subject to seasonal fluctuations, mainly due to these variables. This study examined the incidence of dengue fever related to the climate influence by using temperature and rainfall variables data obtained from remote sensing via artificial satellites in the metropolitan region of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. The mathematical model that best fits the data is based on an auto-regressive moving average with exogenous inputs (ARMAX). It reproduced the values of incidence rates in the study period and managed to predict with good precision in a one-year horizon. The approach described in present work may be repli cated in cities around the world by the public health managers, to build auxiliary operational tools for control and prevention tasks of dengue, as well of other arbovirus diseases.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)instname:Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)instacron:FIOCRUZLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-82991https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/48989/1/license.txt5a560609d32a3863062d77ff32785d58MD51ORIGINALNildimarHOnorio_LeandroXavier_etal_IOC_2021.pdfNildimarHOnorio_LeandroXavier_etal_IOC_2021.pdfapplication/pdf1009952https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/bitstream/icict/48989/2/NildimarHOnorio_LeandroXavier_etal_IOC_2021.pdf5636315764d2f2f3fa55d21bcb5b325bMD52TEXTNildimarHOnorio_LeandroXavier_etal_IOC_2021.pdf.txtNildimarHOnorio_LeandroXavier_etal_IOC_2021.pdf.txtExtracted 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dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Analysis of climate factors and dengue incidence in the metropolitan region of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
title Analysis of climate factors and dengue incidence in the metropolitan region of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
spellingShingle Analysis of climate factors and dengue incidence in the metropolitan region of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Xavier, Leandro Layter
Incidência de Dengue
Fatores climáticos
Área metroplitana
Estado do Rio de Janeiro
Brasil
Dengue incidence
Climate factors
Metropolitan area
Rio de Janeiro State
Brazil
title_short Analysis of climate factors and dengue incidence in the metropolitan region of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
title_full Analysis of climate factors and dengue incidence in the metropolitan region of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
title_fullStr Analysis of climate factors and dengue incidence in the metropolitan region of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of climate factors and dengue incidence in the metropolitan region of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
title_sort Analysis of climate factors and dengue incidence in the metropolitan region of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
author Xavier, Leandro Layter
author_facet Xavier, Leandro Layter
Honário, Nildimar Alves
Pessanha, José Francisco Moreira
Peiter, Paulo César
author_role author
author2 Honário, Nildimar Alves
Pessanha, José Francisco Moreira
Peiter, Paulo César
author2_role author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Xavier, Leandro Layter
Honário, Nildimar Alves
Pessanha, José Francisco Moreira
Peiter, Paulo César
dc.subject.other.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Incidência de Dengue
Fatores climáticos
Área metroplitana
Estado do Rio de Janeiro
Brasil
topic Incidência de Dengue
Fatores climáticos
Área metroplitana
Estado do Rio de Janeiro
Brasil
Dengue incidence
Climate factors
Metropolitan area
Rio de Janeiro State
Brazil
dc.subject.en.pt_BR.fl_str_mv Dengue incidence
Climate factors
Metropolitan area
Rio de Janeiro State
Brazil
description Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Instituto Oswaldo Cruz. Laboratório de Doenças Parasitárias. Programa de Medicina Tropical. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.
publishDate 2021
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2021-09-05T14:50:46Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2021-09-05T14:50:46Z
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2021
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv XAVIER, Leandro Layter et al. Analysis of climate factors and dengue incidence in the metropolitan region of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Plos One, v. 16, n. 5, May 2021.
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/48989
dc.identifier.issn.pt_BR.fl_str_mv 1932-6203
dc.identifier.doi.none.fl_str_mv 10.1371/journal.pone.0251403
identifier_str_mv XAVIER, Leandro Layter et al. Analysis of climate factors and dengue incidence in the metropolitan region of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Plos One, v. 16, n. 5, May 2021.
1932-6203
10.1371/journal.pone.0251403
url https://www.arca.fiocruz.br/handle/icict/48989
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Public Library of Science
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Public Library of Science
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
instname:Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)
instacron:FIOCRUZ
instname_str Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (FIOCRUZ)
instacron_str FIOCRUZ
institution FIOCRUZ
reponame_str Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
collection Repositório Institucional da FIOCRUZ (ARCA)
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