Municipal financial (in)sustainability: the fragile methodology proposed by the Federative Pact PEC

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Oliveira, Débora Tazinasso de
Data de Publicação: 2023
Outros Autores: Oliveira, Antonio Gonçalves de
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: por
eng
Título da fonte: Revista de Administração Pública
Texto Completo: https://periodicos.fgv.br/rap/article/view/90257
Resumo: From the Constitution of the Federative Republic of Brazil of 1988, municipalities were promoted to the condition of Brazilian federative entities. Currently, Brazil has 1,307 small municipalities with a maximum population of 5,000 inhabitants. In 2019, the Proposal for Amendment to the Constitution nº 188 (PEC 188) entered the political and legislative scene, with one of its propositions being the extinction/incorporation of small municipalities considered unsustainable. Thus, this study aims to highlight existing weaknesses/vulnerabilities in the methodology proposed by PEC 188/2019 for measuring the Financial Sustainability of small Brazilian municipalities. The methodology proposed by the PEC was analyzed and applied to all 5,570 Brazilian municipalities, using the periods from 2015 to 2020 as a basis. The study is based on bibliographical and documentary research with descriptive and quantitative approaches. For data treatment and analysis, descriptive statistics and measures of central tendency techniques were used. The results show that, when the PEC-188 methodology is applied, Brazilian municipalities' national average of “sustainability” is 5%, reducing to less than 3% when only small municipalities with up to 5,000 inhabitants are analyzed. Furthermore, more than 85% of Brazilian municipalities, on average, are classified as “unsustainable” based on the PEC methodology, increasing this condition to 98% if only the stratum of small municipalities is analyzed. The methodology proposed by PEC 188 has weaknesses that, if not resolved prior to a possible enactment, could lead to the extinction of approximately 1,224 small Brazilian municipalities.
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spelling Municipal financial (in)sustainability: the fragile methodology proposed by the Federative Pact PEC(In)sostenibilidad financiera municipal: la metodología frágil propuesta por la PEC del Pacto Federativo(In)sustentabilidade financeira municipal: a frágil metodologia proposta pela PEC do Pacto Federativopequenos municípiossustentabilidade financeiraPEC 188incorporação de municípiospequeños municipiossostenibilidad financieraPEC 188incorporación de municipiossmall municipalitiesfinancial sustainabilityPEC 188incorporation of municipalitiesFrom the Constitution of the Federative Republic of Brazil of 1988, municipalities were promoted to the condition of Brazilian federative entities. Currently, Brazil has 1,307 small municipalities with a maximum population of 5,000 inhabitants. In 2019, the Proposal for Amendment to the Constitution nº 188 (PEC 188) entered the political and legislative scene, with one of its propositions being the extinction/incorporation of small municipalities considered unsustainable. Thus, this study aims to highlight existing weaknesses/vulnerabilities in the methodology proposed by PEC 188/2019 for measuring the Financial Sustainability of small Brazilian municipalities. The methodology proposed by the PEC was analyzed and applied to all 5,570 Brazilian municipalities, using the periods from 2015 to 2020 as a basis. The study is based on bibliographical and documentary research with descriptive and quantitative approaches. For data treatment and analysis, descriptive statistics and measures of central tendency techniques were used. The results show that, when the PEC-188 methodology is applied, Brazilian municipalities' national average of “sustainability” is 5%, reducing to less than 3% when only small municipalities with up to 5,000 inhabitants are analyzed. Furthermore, more than 85% of Brazilian municipalities, on average, are classified as “unsustainable” based on the PEC methodology, increasing this condition to 98% if only the stratum of small municipalities is analyzed. The methodology proposed by PEC 188 has weaknesses that, if not resolved prior to a possible enactment, could lead to the extinction of approximately 1,224 small Brazilian municipalities.A partir de la Constitución de la República Federativa del Brasil de 1988, los municipios fueron promovidos a la condición de entidades federativas brasileñas. Actualmente, Brasil tiene 1.307 pequeños municipios con una población máxima de 5.000 habitantes. En 2019, entró en el escenario político y legislativo la Propuesta de Reforma a la Constitución nº 188 (PEC 188) que, entre otras, propone la extinción/incorporación de pequeños municipios considerados insostenibles. Por lo tanto, el presente estudio tiene como objetivo resaltar las debilidades/vulnerabilidades existentes en la metodología propuesta por la PEC 188/2019 para medir la sostenibilidad financiera de los pequeños municipios brasileños. Para alcanzar el objetivo, la metodología propuesta por la PEC fue analizada y aplicada en los 5.570 municipios brasileños, tomando como base los períodos de 2015 a 2020. El estudio se basa en una investigación bibliográfica y documental, con enfoques descriptivos y cuantitativos. Para el tratamiento y análisis de los datos se utilizaron técnicas de estadística descriptiva y medidas de tendencia central. Los resultados muestran que, cuando se aplica la metodología PEC-188, el promedio nacional de sostenibilidad de los municipios brasileños es del 5%, reduciéndose a menos del 3% cuando se analizan solo municipios pequeños con hasta 5.000 habitantes. Asimismo, más del 85% de los municipios brasileños, en promedio, están clasificados como insostenibles con base en la metodología PEC, y dicha condición asciende al 98% al analizar solamente los municipios pequeños. La metodología propuesta por la PEC 188 tiene debilidades que, de no ser resueltas antes de una posible promulgación, podrían llevar a la extinción de aproximadamente 1.224 pequeños municipios brasileños.A partir da Constituição da República Federativa do Brasil de 1988, os municípios foram promovidos à condição de entes federativos brasileiros. Atualmente, o Brasil conta com 1.307 pequenos municípios, com população de no máximo 5 mil habitantes. Em 2019, entrou no cenário político e legislativo a Proposta de Emenda à Constituição n° 188 (PEC 188), tendo como uma de suas proposições a extinção/incorporação de pequenos municípios considerados insustentáveis. O presente estudo tem por objetivo evidenciar fragilidades/vulnerabilidades na metodologia proposta pela PEC 188/2019 para a mensuração da sustentabilidade financeira dos pequenos municípios brasileiros. Para o alcance do objetivo, tal modelo foi analisado e aplicado a todos os 5.570 municípios brasileiros, utilizando como base os períodos de 2015 a 2020. O estudo se fundamenta em pesquisa bibliográfica e documental, com abordagens descritiva e quantitativa. Para o tratamento e a análise dos dados, foram empregadas técnicas de estatísticas descritivas e medidas de tendência central. Os resultados evidenciam que, aplicada a metodologia da PEC 188, a média nacional de sustentabilidade dos municípios brasileiros é de 5%, reduzindo-se para menos de 3% quando analisados apenas os pequenos, com até 5 mil habitantes. Tem-se ainda que mais de 85% dos municípios brasileiros, em média, são classificados como “insustentáveis” com base na metodologia da PEC, elevando para 98% essa condição se analisados apenas os pequenos. A metodologia proposta pela PEC 188 carrega fragilidades que, se não sanadas previamente a uma possível promulgação, poderão ocasionar a extinção de aproximadamente 1.224 pequenos municípios.Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV EBAPE)2023-10-31info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfapplication/pdfhttps://periodicos.fgv.br/rap/article/view/9025710.1590/0034-761220230012Brazilian Journal of Public Administration; Vol. 57 No. 5 (2023); e2023-0012Revista de Administração Pública; Vol. 57 Núm. 5 (2023); e2023-0012Revista de Administração Pública; v. 57 n. 5 (2023); e2023-00121982-31340034-7612reponame:Revista de Administração Públicainstname:Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)instacron:FGVporenghttps://periodicos.fgv.br/rap/article/view/90257/84688https://periodicos.fgv.br/rap/article/view/90257/84689Oliveira, Débora Tazinasso deOliveira, Antonio Gonçalves deinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2023-10-31T18:41:29Zoai:ojs.periodicos.fgv.br:article/90257Revistahttps://ebape.fgv.br/publicacoes/rapONGhttps://old.scielo.br/oai/scielo-oai.php||rap@fgv.br1982-31340034-7612opendoar:2023-10-31T18:41:29Revista de Administração Pública - Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Municipal financial (in)sustainability: the fragile methodology proposed by the Federative Pact PEC
(In)sostenibilidad financiera municipal: la metodología frágil propuesta por la PEC del Pacto Federativo
(In)sustentabilidade financeira municipal: a frágil metodologia proposta pela PEC do Pacto Federativo
title Municipal financial (in)sustainability: the fragile methodology proposed by the Federative Pact PEC
spellingShingle Municipal financial (in)sustainability: the fragile methodology proposed by the Federative Pact PEC
Oliveira, Débora Tazinasso de
pequenos municípios
sustentabilidade financeira
PEC 188
incorporação de municípios
pequeños municipios
sostenibilidad financiera
PEC 188
incorporación de municipios
small municipalities
financial sustainability
PEC 188
incorporation of municipalities
title_short Municipal financial (in)sustainability: the fragile methodology proposed by the Federative Pact PEC
title_full Municipal financial (in)sustainability: the fragile methodology proposed by the Federative Pact PEC
title_fullStr Municipal financial (in)sustainability: the fragile methodology proposed by the Federative Pact PEC
title_full_unstemmed Municipal financial (in)sustainability: the fragile methodology proposed by the Federative Pact PEC
title_sort Municipal financial (in)sustainability: the fragile methodology proposed by the Federative Pact PEC
author Oliveira, Débora Tazinasso de
author_facet Oliveira, Débora Tazinasso de
Oliveira, Antonio Gonçalves de
author_role author
author2 Oliveira, Antonio Gonçalves de
author2_role author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Oliveira, Débora Tazinasso de
Oliveira, Antonio Gonçalves de
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv pequenos municípios
sustentabilidade financeira
PEC 188
incorporação de municípios
pequeños municipios
sostenibilidad financiera
PEC 188
incorporación de municipios
small municipalities
financial sustainability
PEC 188
incorporation of municipalities
topic pequenos municípios
sustentabilidade financeira
PEC 188
incorporação de municípios
pequeños municipios
sostenibilidad financiera
PEC 188
incorporación de municipios
small municipalities
financial sustainability
PEC 188
incorporation of municipalities
description From the Constitution of the Federative Republic of Brazil of 1988, municipalities were promoted to the condition of Brazilian federative entities. Currently, Brazil has 1,307 small municipalities with a maximum population of 5,000 inhabitants. In 2019, the Proposal for Amendment to the Constitution nº 188 (PEC 188) entered the political and legislative scene, with one of its propositions being the extinction/incorporation of small municipalities considered unsustainable. Thus, this study aims to highlight existing weaknesses/vulnerabilities in the methodology proposed by PEC 188/2019 for measuring the Financial Sustainability of small Brazilian municipalities. The methodology proposed by the PEC was analyzed and applied to all 5,570 Brazilian municipalities, using the periods from 2015 to 2020 as a basis. The study is based on bibliographical and documentary research with descriptive and quantitative approaches. For data treatment and analysis, descriptive statistics and measures of central tendency techniques were used. The results show that, when the PEC-188 methodology is applied, Brazilian municipalities' national average of “sustainability” is 5%, reducing to less than 3% when only small municipalities with up to 5,000 inhabitants are analyzed. Furthermore, more than 85% of Brazilian municipalities, on average, are classified as “unsustainable” based on the PEC methodology, increasing this condition to 98% if only the stratum of small municipalities is analyzed. The methodology proposed by PEC 188 has weaknesses that, if not resolved prior to a possible enactment, could lead to the extinction of approximately 1,224 small Brazilian municipalities.
publishDate 2023
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2023-10-31
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://periodicos.fgv.br/rap/article/view/90257
10.1590/0034-761220230012
url https://periodicos.fgv.br/rap/article/view/90257
identifier_str_mv 10.1590/0034-761220230012
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
eng
language por
eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://periodicos.fgv.br/rap/article/view/90257/84688
https://periodicos.fgv.br/rap/article/view/90257/84689
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV EBAPE)
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV EBAPE)
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Brazilian Journal of Public Administration; Vol. 57 No. 5 (2023); e2023-0012
Revista de Administração Pública; Vol. 57 Núm. 5 (2023); e2023-0012
Revista de Administração Pública; v. 57 n. 5 (2023); e2023-0012
1982-3134
0034-7612
reponame:Revista de Administração Pública
instname:Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)
instacron:FGV
instname_str Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)
instacron_str FGV
institution FGV
reponame_str Revista de Administração Pública
collection Revista de Administração Pública
repository.name.fl_str_mv Revista de Administração Pública - Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv ||rap@fgv.br
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