Inattention in individual expectations
Autor(a) principal: | |
---|---|
Data de Publicação: | 2016 |
Outros Autores: | , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10438/16521 |
Resumo: | This paper investigates the expectations formation process of economic agents about infl ation rate. Using the Market Expectations System of Central Bank of Brazil, we perceive that agents do not update their forecasts every period and that even agents who update disagree in their predictions. We then focus on the two most popular types of inattention models that have been discussed in the recent literature: sticky-information and noisy-information models. Estimating a hybrid model we fi nd that, although formally fi tting the Brazilian data, it happens at the cost of a much higher degree of information rigidity than observed. |
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Cordeiro, Yara de Almeida CamposGaglianone, Wagner PiazzaIssler, João VictorEscolas::EPGEFGV2016-05-12T18:30:39Z2016-05-12T18:30:39Z20160104-8910http://hdl.handle.net/10438/16521This paper investigates the expectations formation process of economic agents about infl ation rate. Using the Market Expectations System of Central Bank of Brazil, we perceive that agents do not update their forecasts every period and that even agents who update disagree in their predictions. We then focus on the two most popular types of inattention models that have been discussed in the recent literature: sticky-information and noisy-information models. Estimating a hybrid model we fi nd that, although formally fi tting the Brazilian data, it happens at the cost of a much higher degree of information rigidity than observed.engFundação Getulio Vargas. Escola de Pós-graduação em EconomiaEnsaios Econômicos;776ExpectationsImperfect informationInflationRational inattentionEconomiaTeoria dos jogosTeoria da informação em economiaInattention in individual expectationsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlereponame:Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital)instname:Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)instacron:FGVinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-84707https://repositorio.fgv.br/bitstreams/3114edc2-2f63-47c2-833e-6b9300b1a08e/downloaddfb340242cced38a6cca06c627998fa1MD52ORIGINALInattention-in-Individual-Expectations.pdfInattention-in-Individual-Expectations.pdfapplication/pdf551893https://repositorio.fgv.br/bitstreams/0701fac0-d0d7-47fc-a7ea-5e4c44678154/downloade59a4214ad8cd5c05a1f9c375f98f4abMD53TEXTInattention-in-Individual-Expectations.pdf.txtInattention-in-Individual-Expectations.pdf.txtExtracted 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dc.title.eng.fl_str_mv |
Inattention in individual expectations |
title |
Inattention in individual expectations |
spellingShingle |
Inattention in individual expectations Cordeiro, Yara de Almeida Campos Expectations Imperfect information Inflation Rational inattention Economia Teoria dos jogos Teoria da informação em economia |
title_short |
Inattention in individual expectations |
title_full |
Inattention in individual expectations |
title_fullStr |
Inattention in individual expectations |
title_full_unstemmed |
Inattention in individual expectations |
title_sort |
Inattention in individual expectations |
author |
Cordeiro, Yara de Almeida Campos |
author_facet |
Cordeiro, Yara de Almeida Campos Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza Issler, João Victor |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza Issler, João Victor |
author2_role |
author author |
dc.contributor.unidadefgv.por.fl_str_mv |
Escolas::EPGE |
dc.contributor.affiliation.none.fl_str_mv |
FGV |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Cordeiro, Yara de Almeida Campos Gaglianone, Wagner Piazza Issler, João Victor |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Expectations Imperfect information Inflation Rational inattention |
topic |
Expectations Imperfect information Inflation Rational inattention Economia Teoria dos jogos Teoria da informação em economia |
dc.subject.area.por.fl_str_mv |
Economia |
dc.subject.bibliodata.por.fl_str_mv |
Teoria dos jogos Teoria da informação em economia |
description |
This paper investigates the expectations formation process of economic agents about infl ation rate. Using the Market Expectations System of Central Bank of Brazil, we perceive that agents do not update their forecasts every period and that even agents who update disagree in their predictions. We then focus on the two most popular types of inattention models that have been discussed in the recent literature: sticky-information and noisy-information models. Estimating a hybrid model we fi nd that, although formally fi tting the Brazilian data, it happens at the cost of a much higher degree of information rigidity than observed. |
publishDate |
2016 |
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv |
2016-05-12T18:30:39Z |
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv |
2016-05-12T18:30:39Z |
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv |
2016 |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10438/16521 |
dc.identifier.issn.none.fl_str_mv |
0104-8910 |
identifier_str_mv |
0104-8910 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10438/16521 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.ispartofseries.por.fl_str_mv |
Ensaios Econômicos;776 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Fundação Getulio Vargas. Escola de Pós-graduação em Economia |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Fundação Getulio Vargas. Escola de Pós-graduação em Economia |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital) instname:Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV) instacron:FGV |
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Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital) |
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