The determination of the exchange rate: a new-developmental approach
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2022 |
Outros Autores: | , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital) |
Texto Completo: | https://hdl.handle.net/10438/32425 |
Resumo: | This paper discusses the long-term determination of the exchange rate, given that it may remain depreciated or overvalued for some time. It defines the equilibrium exchange rate and the competitive exchange rate; the latter makes investment projects competitive internationally. Instead of starting from the PPP theory, it starts from the concept of the value of foreign money or the exchange rate around which the price, the exchange rate, revolves according to the supply and demand of foreign money. This, in turn, is influenced by three factors: the terms of trade, the current-account balance as a determinant of the net capital flows or inflows, and the interest rate differential. This paper criticizes the “fundamental equilibrium” concept and develops two econometric tests. The first checks whether the four determinant variables used in the model are relevant. The second verifies whether this model is a good predictor of the exchange rate throughout time. |
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Bresser-Pereira, Luiz CarlosFeijó, CarmemAraújo, Eliane Cristina deEscolas::EESP2022-08-31T13:17:03Z2022-08-31T13:17:03ZTD 558https://hdl.handle.net/10438/32425This paper discusses the long-term determination of the exchange rate, given that it may remain depreciated or overvalued for some time. It defines the equilibrium exchange rate and the competitive exchange rate; the latter makes investment projects competitive internationally. Instead of starting from the PPP theory, it starts from the concept of the value of foreign money or the exchange rate around which the price, the exchange rate, revolves according to the supply and demand of foreign money. This, in turn, is influenced by three factors: the terms of trade, the current-account balance as a determinant of the net capital flows or inflows, and the interest rate differential. This paper criticizes the “fundamental equilibrium” concept and develops two econometric tests. The first checks whether the four determinant variables used in the model are relevant. The second verifies whether this model is a good predictor of the exchange rate throughout time.engTextos para Discussão / Working Paper Series;TD 558Terms of tradeExchange rateCapital flowsCurrent accountInterest rateEconomiaTaxas de câmbioFluxo de capitaisTaxas de jurosThe determination of the exchange rate: a new-developmental approachinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital)instname:Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)instacron:FGVORIGINALTD 558 - Bresser Pereira.pdfTD 558 - Bresser Pereira.pdfPDFapplication/pdf1354335https://repositorio.fgv.br/bitstreams/a835aa0e-4e3d-4f64-99fe-466c37451a96/downloadca4652dc23eecf25acdf3f950f040590MD51LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-84707https://repositorio.fgv.br/bitstreams/7771a174-348c-4cd8-8a2c-fedbc9700da8/downloaddfb340242cced38a6cca06c627998fa1MD52TEXTTD 558 - Bresser Pereira.pdf.txtTD 558 - Bresser 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dc.title.eng.fl_str_mv |
The determination of the exchange rate: a new-developmental approach |
title |
The determination of the exchange rate: a new-developmental approach |
spellingShingle |
The determination of the exchange rate: a new-developmental approach Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos Terms of trade Exchange rate Capital flows Current account Interest rate Economia Taxas de câmbio Fluxo de capitais Taxas de juros |
title_short |
The determination of the exchange rate: a new-developmental approach |
title_full |
The determination of the exchange rate: a new-developmental approach |
title_fullStr |
The determination of the exchange rate: a new-developmental approach |
title_full_unstemmed |
The determination of the exchange rate: a new-developmental approach |
title_sort |
The determination of the exchange rate: a new-developmental approach |
author |
Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos |
author_facet |
Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos Feijó, Carmem Araújo, Eliane Cristina de |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Feijó, Carmem Araújo, Eliane Cristina de |
author2_role |
author author |
dc.contributor.unidadefgv.por.fl_str_mv |
Escolas::EESP |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos Feijó, Carmem Araújo, Eliane Cristina de |
dc.subject.eng.fl_str_mv |
Terms of trade Exchange rate Capital flows Current account Interest rate |
topic |
Terms of trade Exchange rate Capital flows Current account Interest rate Economia Taxas de câmbio Fluxo de capitais Taxas de juros |
dc.subject.area.por.fl_str_mv |
Economia |
dc.subject.bibliodata.por.fl_str_mv |
Taxas de câmbio Fluxo de capitais Taxas de juros |
description |
This paper discusses the long-term determination of the exchange rate, given that it may remain depreciated or overvalued for some time. It defines the equilibrium exchange rate and the competitive exchange rate; the latter makes investment projects competitive internationally. Instead of starting from the PPP theory, it starts from the concept of the value of foreign money or the exchange rate around which the price, the exchange rate, revolves according to the supply and demand of foreign money. This, in turn, is influenced by three factors: the terms of trade, the current-account balance as a determinant of the net capital flows or inflows, and the interest rate differential. This paper criticizes the “fundamental equilibrium” concept and develops two econometric tests. The first checks whether the four determinant variables used in the model are relevant. The second verifies whether this model is a good predictor of the exchange rate throughout time. |
publishDate |
2022 |
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv |
2022-08-31T13:17:03Z |
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv |
2022-08-31T13:17:03Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
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dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
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publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://hdl.handle.net/10438/32425 |
dc.identifier.sici.none.fl_str_mv |
TD 558 |
identifier_str_mv |
TD 558 |
url |
https://hdl.handle.net/10438/32425 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.ispartofseries.none.fl_str_mv |
Textos para Discussão / Working Paper Series;TD 558 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
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FGV |
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