The determination of the exchange rate: a new-developmental approach

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos
Data de Publicação: 2022
Outros Autores: Feijó, Carmem, Araújo, Eliane Cristina de
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital)
Texto Completo: https://hdl.handle.net/10438/32425
Resumo: This paper discusses the long-term determination of the exchange rate, given that it may remain depreciated or overvalued for some time. It defines the equilibrium exchange rate and the competitive exchange rate; the latter makes investment projects competitive internationally. Instead of starting from the PPP theory, it starts from the concept of the value of foreign money or the exchange rate around which the price, the exchange rate, revolves according to the supply and demand of foreign money. This, in turn, is influenced by three factors: the terms of trade, the current-account balance as a determinant of the net capital flows or inflows, and the interest rate differential. This paper criticizes the “fundamental equilibrium” concept and develops two econometric tests. The first checks whether the four determinant variables used in the model are relevant. The second verifies whether this model is a good predictor of the exchange rate throughout time.
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spelling Bresser-Pereira, Luiz CarlosFeijó, CarmemAraújo, Eliane Cristina deEscolas::EESP2022-08-31T13:17:03Z2022-08-31T13:17:03ZTD 558https://hdl.handle.net/10438/32425This paper discusses the long-term determination of the exchange rate, given that it may remain depreciated or overvalued for some time. It defines the equilibrium exchange rate and the competitive exchange rate; the latter makes investment projects competitive internationally. Instead of starting from the PPP theory, it starts from the concept of the value of foreign money or the exchange rate around which the price, the exchange rate, revolves according to the supply and demand of foreign money. This, in turn, is influenced by three factors: the terms of trade, the current-account balance as a determinant of the net capital flows or inflows, and the interest rate differential. This paper criticizes the “fundamental equilibrium” concept and develops two econometric tests. The first checks whether the four determinant variables used in the model are relevant. The second verifies whether this model is a good predictor of the exchange rate throughout time.engTextos para Discussão / Working Paper Series;TD 558Terms of tradeExchange rateCapital flowsCurrent accountInterest rateEconomiaTaxas de câmbioFluxo de capitaisTaxas de jurosThe determination of the exchange rate: a new-developmental approachinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional do FGV (FGV Repositório Digital)instname:Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV)instacron:FGVORIGINALTD 558 - Bresser Pereira.pdfTD 558 - Bresser Pereira.pdfPDFapplication/pdf1354335https://repositorio.fgv.br/bitstreams/a835aa0e-4e3d-4f64-99fe-466c37451a96/downloadca4652dc23eecf25acdf3f950f040590MD51LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-84707https://repositorio.fgv.br/bitstreams/7771a174-348c-4cd8-8a2c-fedbc9700da8/downloaddfb340242cced38a6cca06c627998fa1MD52TEXTTD 558 - Bresser Pereira.pdf.txtTD 558 - Bresser 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dc.title.eng.fl_str_mv The determination of the exchange rate: a new-developmental approach
title The determination of the exchange rate: a new-developmental approach
spellingShingle The determination of the exchange rate: a new-developmental approach
Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos
Terms of trade
Exchange rate
Capital flows
Current account
Interest rate
Economia
Taxas de câmbio
Fluxo de capitais
Taxas de juros
title_short The determination of the exchange rate: a new-developmental approach
title_full The determination of the exchange rate: a new-developmental approach
title_fullStr The determination of the exchange rate: a new-developmental approach
title_full_unstemmed The determination of the exchange rate: a new-developmental approach
title_sort The determination of the exchange rate: a new-developmental approach
author Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos
author_facet Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos
Feijó, Carmem
Araújo, Eliane Cristina de
author_role author
author2 Feijó, Carmem
Araújo, Eliane Cristina de
author2_role author
author
dc.contributor.unidadefgv.por.fl_str_mv Escolas::EESP
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Bresser-Pereira, Luiz Carlos
Feijó, Carmem
Araújo, Eliane Cristina de
dc.subject.eng.fl_str_mv Terms of trade
Exchange rate
Capital flows
Current account
Interest rate
topic Terms of trade
Exchange rate
Capital flows
Current account
Interest rate
Economia
Taxas de câmbio
Fluxo de capitais
Taxas de juros
dc.subject.area.por.fl_str_mv Economia
dc.subject.bibliodata.por.fl_str_mv Taxas de câmbio
Fluxo de capitais
Taxas de juros
description This paper discusses the long-term determination of the exchange rate, given that it may remain depreciated or overvalued for some time. It defines the equilibrium exchange rate and the competitive exchange rate; the latter makes investment projects competitive internationally. Instead of starting from the PPP theory, it starts from the concept of the value of foreign money or the exchange rate around which the price, the exchange rate, revolves according to the supply and demand of foreign money. This, in turn, is influenced by three factors: the terms of trade, the current-account balance as a determinant of the net capital flows or inflows, and the interest rate differential. This paper criticizes the “fundamental equilibrium” concept and develops two econometric tests. The first checks whether the four determinant variables used in the model are relevant. The second verifies whether this model is a good predictor of the exchange rate throughout time.
publishDate 2022
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2022-08-31T13:17:03Z
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dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
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