Smart strategies for economic diversification and inclusive growth in Mozambique

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Timbe, Geraldo Adriano
Data de Publicação: 2022
Tipo de documento: Dissertação
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
Texto Completo: http://hdl.handle.net/10362/143396
Resumo: Dissertation presented as the partial requirement for obtaining a Master's degree in Data Science and Advanced Analytics, specialization in Data Science
id RCAP_4399ece7c6af066d442d42a9adb6e3d8
oai_identifier_str oai:run.unl.pt:10362/143396
network_acronym_str RCAP
network_name_str Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
repository_id_str 7160
spelling Smart strategies for economic diversification and inclusive growth in MozambiqueIndustrial policiesDiversification opportunitiesEconomic complexityInclusive growthSustainable developmentMozambiqueSDG 1 - no povertySDG 8 - Decent work and economic growthSDG 9 - Industry, innovation and infrastructureDissertation presented as the partial requirement for obtaining a Master's degree in Data Science and Advanced Analytics, specialization in Data ScienceA growing literature has shown that effective industrial policies are essential for economic transformation. However, often these efforts have failed to achieve the desired goals. This dissertation uses international trade data and methods from Economic Complexity — a framework that combines methods from machine learning and network science to explain, understand, and predict countries' economic development trajectories — to benchmark Mozambique’s past Industrial Policies (IP) and Foreign-Direct Investment (FDI) driven development, but also to identify opportunities for smart diversification and inclusive growth. The results show that Mozambique's growth in GDP was not matched by an improvement in the country’s export diversification and sophistication. Although the export volume increased significantly, it was concentrated on a few simple products (e.g., agricultural and extractive sectors) and in a reduced number of partner countries. Past IPs perform rather poorly, prioritising related (e.g., agriculture and foodstuff) and high-income (e.g., natural resources) products while failing to enter on highly complex and sophisticated activities. Furthermore, historically FDI tended to target simple products in the mining and quarrying sectors. Moreover, we test four possible strategies: two focus on development feasibility criteria, which mainly target products from the vegetable and foodstuff sector, thus trapping the country in producing relatively simple products; and two strategies propose shifting to more sophisticated and inclusive industries such as manufacturing and machinery. Therefore, they are challenging to implement but crucial for structural transformation. Although close to simple products, Mozambique has potential for diversification in these challenging and highly beneficial sectors since it already has achieved minimal comparative advantage and relatedness value. The study shows that economic complexity and network science methods provide a valuable framework to reveal structural constraints and opportunities for smart diversification and inclusive growth. Therefore, contributing to formulating and implementing policies aiming to transform countries’ productive structure.Pinheiro, Flávio Luís PortasRUNTimbe, Geraldo Adriano2022-08-31T09:44:25Z2022-07-292022-07-29T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10362/143396TID:203056140enginfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2024-03-11T05:21:44Zoai:run.unl.pt:10362/143396Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-20T03:50:55.550539Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Smart strategies for economic diversification and inclusive growth in Mozambique
title Smart strategies for economic diversification and inclusive growth in Mozambique
spellingShingle Smart strategies for economic diversification and inclusive growth in Mozambique
Timbe, Geraldo Adriano
Industrial policies
Diversification opportunities
Economic complexity
Inclusive growth
Sustainable development
Mozambique
SDG 1 - no poverty
SDG 8 - Decent work and economic growth
SDG 9 - Industry, innovation and infrastructure
title_short Smart strategies for economic diversification and inclusive growth in Mozambique
title_full Smart strategies for economic diversification and inclusive growth in Mozambique
title_fullStr Smart strategies for economic diversification and inclusive growth in Mozambique
title_full_unstemmed Smart strategies for economic diversification and inclusive growth in Mozambique
title_sort Smart strategies for economic diversification and inclusive growth in Mozambique
author Timbe, Geraldo Adriano
author_facet Timbe, Geraldo Adriano
author_role author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Pinheiro, Flávio Luís Portas
RUN
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Timbe, Geraldo Adriano
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Industrial policies
Diversification opportunities
Economic complexity
Inclusive growth
Sustainable development
Mozambique
SDG 1 - no poverty
SDG 8 - Decent work and economic growth
SDG 9 - Industry, innovation and infrastructure
topic Industrial policies
Diversification opportunities
Economic complexity
Inclusive growth
Sustainable development
Mozambique
SDG 1 - no poverty
SDG 8 - Decent work and economic growth
SDG 9 - Industry, innovation and infrastructure
description Dissertation presented as the partial requirement for obtaining a Master's degree in Data Science and Advanced Analytics, specialization in Data Science
publishDate 2022
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2022-08-31T09:44:25Z
2022-07-29
2022-07-29T00:00:00Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
format masterThesis
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10362/143396
TID:203056140
url http://hdl.handle.net/10362/143396
identifier_str_mv TID:203056140
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron:RCAAP
instname_str Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron_str RCAAP
institution RCAAP
reponame_str Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
collection Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
_version_ 1799138104579194880

Registros relacionados