Bioclimatic modeling in the Last Glacial Maximum, Mid-Holocene and facing future climatic changes in the strawberry tree (Arbutus unedo L.)

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Ribeiro, Maria Margarida
Data de Publicação: 2019
Outros Autores: Roque, Natália, Ribeiro, Sílvia, Gavinhos, Catarina, Castanheira, Isabel, Quinta-Nova, Luís, Albuquerque, Teresa, Gerassis, Saki
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
Texto Completo: http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/17315
Resumo: Research Article
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spelling Bioclimatic modeling in the Last Glacial Maximum, Mid-Holocene and facing future climatic changes in the strawberry tree (Arbutus unedo L.)Arbutus unedobioclimatic modelingclimatic changesResearch ArticleIncreasing forest wildfires in Portugal remain a growing concern since forests in the Mediterranean region are vulnerable to recent global warming and reduction of precipitation. Therefore, a long-term negative effect is expected on the vegetation, with increasing drought and areas burnt by fires. The strawberry tree (Arbutus unedo L.) is particularly used in Portugal to produce a spirit by processing its fruits and is the main income for forestry owners. Other applications are possible due to the fruit and leaves’ anti-oxidant properties and bioactive compounds production, with a potential for clinical and food uses. It is a sclerophyllous plant, dry-adapted and fire resistant, enduring the Mediterranean climate, and recently considered as a possibility for afforestation, to intensify forest discontinuity where pines and eucalypts monoculture dominate the region. To improve our knowledge about the species’ spatial distribution we used 318 plots (the centroid of a 1 km2 square grid) measuring the species presence and nine environmental attributes. The seven bioclimatic variables most impacting on the species distribution and two topographic features, slope and altitude, were used. The past, current and future climate data were obtained through WorldClim. Finally, the vulnerability of the strawberry tree to the effects of global climate change was examined in the face of two emission scenarios (RCP 4.5 and 8.5), to predict distribution changes in the years 2050 and 2070, using a species distribution models (MaxEnt). The reduction of suitable habitat for this species is significant in the southern regions, considering the future scenarios of global warming. Central and northern mountainous regions are putative predicted refuges for this species. Forest policy and management should reflect the impact of climate change on the usable areas for forestry, particularly considering species adapted to the Mediterranean regions and wildfires, such as the strawberry tree. The distribution of the species in the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) and Mid-Holocene (MH) agrees with previous genetic and paleontological studies in the region, which support putative refuges for the species. Two in the southern and coastal-central regions, since the LGM, and one in the eastcentral mountainous region, considered as cryptic refugiaBen Bond-Lamberty, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, UNITED STATESRepositório da Universidade de LisboaRibeiro, Maria MargaridaRoque, NatáliaRibeiro, SílviaGavinhos, CatarinaCastanheira, IsabelQuinta-Nova, LuísAlbuquerque, TeresaGerassis, Saki2019-02-05T10:36:46Z2019-012019-01-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/17315engRibeiro MM, Roque N, Ribeiro S, Gavinhos C, Castanheira I, Quinta-Nova L, et al. (2019) Bioclimatic modeling in the Last Glacial Maximum, Mid-Holocene and facing future climatic changes in the strawberry tree (Arbutus unedo L.). PLoS ONE 14(1):e0210062https://doi.org/ 10.1371/journal.pone.0210062info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-03-06T14:46:59Zoai:www.repository.utl.pt:10400.5/17315Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T17:02:32.931891Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Bioclimatic modeling in the Last Glacial Maximum, Mid-Holocene and facing future climatic changes in the strawberry tree (Arbutus unedo L.)
title Bioclimatic modeling in the Last Glacial Maximum, Mid-Holocene and facing future climatic changes in the strawberry tree (Arbutus unedo L.)
spellingShingle Bioclimatic modeling in the Last Glacial Maximum, Mid-Holocene and facing future climatic changes in the strawberry tree (Arbutus unedo L.)
Ribeiro, Maria Margarida
Arbutus unedo
bioclimatic modeling
climatic changes
title_short Bioclimatic modeling in the Last Glacial Maximum, Mid-Holocene and facing future climatic changes in the strawberry tree (Arbutus unedo L.)
title_full Bioclimatic modeling in the Last Glacial Maximum, Mid-Holocene and facing future climatic changes in the strawberry tree (Arbutus unedo L.)
title_fullStr Bioclimatic modeling in the Last Glacial Maximum, Mid-Holocene and facing future climatic changes in the strawberry tree (Arbutus unedo L.)
title_full_unstemmed Bioclimatic modeling in the Last Glacial Maximum, Mid-Holocene and facing future climatic changes in the strawberry tree (Arbutus unedo L.)
title_sort Bioclimatic modeling in the Last Glacial Maximum, Mid-Holocene and facing future climatic changes in the strawberry tree (Arbutus unedo L.)
author Ribeiro, Maria Margarida
author_facet Ribeiro, Maria Margarida
Roque, Natália
Ribeiro, Sílvia
Gavinhos, Catarina
Castanheira, Isabel
Quinta-Nova, Luís
Albuquerque, Teresa
Gerassis, Saki
author_role author
author2 Roque, Natália
Ribeiro, Sílvia
Gavinhos, Catarina
Castanheira, Isabel
Quinta-Nova, Luís
Albuquerque, Teresa
Gerassis, Saki
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author
author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Ribeiro, Maria Margarida
Roque, Natália
Ribeiro, Sílvia
Gavinhos, Catarina
Castanheira, Isabel
Quinta-Nova, Luís
Albuquerque, Teresa
Gerassis, Saki
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Arbutus unedo
bioclimatic modeling
climatic changes
topic Arbutus unedo
bioclimatic modeling
climatic changes
description Research Article
publishDate 2019
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2019-02-05T10:36:46Z
2019-01
2019-01-01T00:00:00Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/17315
url http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/17315
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv Ribeiro MM, Roque N, Ribeiro S, Gavinhos C, Castanheira I, Quinta-Nova L, et al. (2019) Bioclimatic modeling in the Last Glacial Maximum, Mid-Holocene and facing future climatic changes in the strawberry tree (Arbutus unedo L.). PLoS ONE 14(1):e0210062
https://doi.org/ 10.1371/journal.pone.0210062
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Ben Bond-Lamberty, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, UNITED STATES
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Ben Bond-Lamberty, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, UNITED STATES
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron:RCAAP
instname_str Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron_str RCAAP
institution RCAAP
reponame_str Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
collection Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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