How long is the long time? : A critical review of historical methods in economic research
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 1997 |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/22706 |
Resumo: | The current paper reviews and discusses some of the constitutive trends in long-wave analysis and namely the methods employed in order to establish or to demonstrate the cyclical pattern or the recurrence of long term fluctuations. The traditional antinomy between trend and cycle, as well as the double decomposition method it implies, are criticised and refuted Some analyses of the frequency domain are also discussed The paper suggest that new avenues for research are opened by the desirable alliance between the complexity approach and historical methods, and that the use of nonparametric statistical and dynamic methods are necessary conditions for the inquiry about evolution and change -and that is what the Long Waves research program is about. |
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How long is the long time? : A critical review of historical methods in economic researchEpistemologyTheoryEconomic HistoryEpistemologiaTeoriaHistória EconómicaEpistemologiaThe current paper reviews and discusses some of the constitutive trends in long-wave analysis and namely the methods employed in order to establish or to demonstrate the cyclical pattern or the recurrence of long term fluctuations. The traditional antinomy between trend and cycle, as well as the double decomposition method it implies, are criticised and refuted Some analyses of the frequency domain are also discussed The paper suggest that new avenues for research are opened by the desirable alliance between the complexity approach and historical methods, and that the use of nonparametric statistical and dynamic methods are necessary conditions for the inquiry about evolution and change -and that is what the Long Waves research program is about.Este artigo discute alguns dos conceitos constitutivos do programa sobre as ondas longas e nomeadamente os métodos utilizados para estabelecer ou demonstrar o padrão cíclico ou a recorrência das flutuações de longo prazo. A antinomia tradicional entre tendência e ciclo, tal como o método de dupla decomposição que implica são criticados e rejeitados. São ainda discutidas algumas análises do domínio das frequências. O artigo sugere que são necessários novos caminhos de investigação, tais como os abertos pela aliança necessária entre a abordagem da complexidade e os métodos históricos, e que o uso de estatísticas não-paramétricas e de métodos dinâmicos são condições necessárias para a investigação acerca da evolução e da mudança - e esse e o objecto do programa de investigação sobre as ondas longas.ISEG - Departamento de EconomiaRepositório da Universidade de LisboaLouçã, Francisco2021-12-13T11:44:55Z19971997-01-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/22706engLouçã, Francisco. 1997. "How long is the long time? : A critical review of historical methods in economic research". Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão - DE Working papers nº 1-1997/DEinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-03-06T14:52:15Zoai:www.repository.utl.pt:10400.5/22706Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T17:07:03.951149Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
How long is the long time? : A critical review of historical methods in economic research |
title |
How long is the long time? : A critical review of historical methods in economic research |
spellingShingle |
How long is the long time? : A critical review of historical methods in economic research Louçã, Francisco Epistemology Theory Economic History Epistemologia Teoria História Económica Epistemologia |
title_short |
How long is the long time? : A critical review of historical methods in economic research |
title_full |
How long is the long time? : A critical review of historical methods in economic research |
title_fullStr |
How long is the long time? : A critical review of historical methods in economic research |
title_full_unstemmed |
How long is the long time? : A critical review of historical methods in economic research |
title_sort |
How long is the long time? : A critical review of historical methods in economic research |
author |
Louçã, Francisco |
author_facet |
Louçã, Francisco |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Louçã, Francisco |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Epistemology Theory Economic History Epistemologia Teoria História Económica Epistemologia |
topic |
Epistemology Theory Economic History Epistemologia Teoria História Económica Epistemologia |
description |
The current paper reviews and discusses some of the constitutive trends in long-wave analysis and namely the methods employed in order to establish or to demonstrate the cyclical pattern or the recurrence of long term fluctuations. The traditional antinomy between trend and cycle, as well as the double decomposition method it implies, are criticised and refuted Some analyses of the frequency domain are also discussed The paper suggest that new avenues for research are opened by the desirable alliance between the complexity approach and historical methods, and that the use of nonparametric statistical and dynamic methods are necessary conditions for the inquiry about evolution and change -and that is what the Long Waves research program is about. |
publishDate |
1997 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
1997 1997-01-01T00:00:00Z 2021-12-13T11:44:55Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/22706 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/22706 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
Louçã, Francisco. 1997. "How long is the long time? : A critical review of historical methods in economic research". Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão - DE Working papers nº 1-1997/DE |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
ISEG - Departamento de Economia |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
ISEG - Departamento de Economia |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação instacron:RCAAP |
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Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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RCAAP |
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RCAAP |
reponame_str |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
collection |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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1799131163818721280 |