Long-term impact of climate change on mortality : a study for Portugal

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Lopes, Mariana Frazão
Data de Publicação: 2023
Tipo de documento: Dissertação
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
Texto Completo: http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/30189
Resumo: Mestrado Bolonha em Actuarial Science
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spelling Long-term impact of climate change on mortality : a study for Portugalclimate changelife tableslife insurancemortality risksclimate projectionsmortality ratestemperature and air pollution mortality shockMestrado Bolonha em Actuarial ScienceThis work aims to study the long-term impact of climate change on mortality rates in Portugal, having in mind the specific setting of life insurance business in the country. Life insurance requires, among other factors, accurate mortality forecasts, reason why considering the effects of climate change on mortality in the long-term is essential for correct pricing and reserving of life insurance products. After a review of the (still scarce) existing literature, it was possible to conclude that only temperature and air pollution will pose a material risk to the population mortality, and consequently to life insurance. Applying models and data already available, the effects of both risk factors were assessed at a regional level, due to the exposure differences among the Portuguese regions, and considering years 2030 and 2050. The option for 2030 and 2050 was made precisely in order to determine the population-weighted mortality shock, resulting from temperature and air pollution variations, in the long-run. The overall results indicate that the effects of temperature change will vary depending on age (younger population and older population, for instance) and the year (2030 or 2050). For air pollution, and because climate projections suggest the decrease in greenhouse gas emissions, the concentration of the main pollutants affecting health will consequently decrease. This results in the cause related mortality to decrease over time, throughout all ages.Instituto Superior de Economia e GestãoSimões, Onofre AlvesHernández Domínguez, Efrén ManuelRepositório da Universidade de LisboaLopes, Mariana Frazão2024-02-23T11:27:57Z2023-102023-10-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/30189engLopes, Mariana Frazão (2023). “Long-term impact of climate change on mortality : a study for Portugal”. Dissertação de Mestrado. Universidade de Lisboa. Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestãoinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2024-02-25T01:35:59Zoai:www.repository.utl.pt:10400.5/30189Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-20T03:11:26.411295Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Long-term impact of climate change on mortality : a study for Portugal
title Long-term impact of climate change on mortality : a study for Portugal
spellingShingle Long-term impact of climate change on mortality : a study for Portugal
Lopes, Mariana Frazão
climate change
life tables
life insurance
mortality risks
climate projections
mortality rates
temperature and air pollution mortality shock
title_short Long-term impact of climate change on mortality : a study for Portugal
title_full Long-term impact of climate change on mortality : a study for Portugal
title_fullStr Long-term impact of climate change on mortality : a study for Portugal
title_full_unstemmed Long-term impact of climate change on mortality : a study for Portugal
title_sort Long-term impact of climate change on mortality : a study for Portugal
author Lopes, Mariana Frazão
author_facet Lopes, Mariana Frazão
author_role author
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Simões, Onofre Alves
Hernández Domínguez, Efrén Manuel
Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Lopes, Mariana Frazão
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv climate change
life tables
life insurance
mortality risks
climate projections
mortality rates
temperature and air pollution mortality shock
topic climate change
life tables
life insurance
mortality risks
climate projections
mortality rates
temperature and air pollution mortality shock
description Mestrado Bolonha em Actuarial Science
publishDate 2023
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2023-10
2023-10-01T00:00:00Z
2024-02-23T11:27:57Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
format masterThesis
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/30189
url http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/30189
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv Lopes, Mariana Frazão (2023). “Long-term impact of climate change on mortality : a study for Portugal”. Dissertação de Mestrado. Universidade de Lisboa. Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron:RCAAP
instname_str Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
instacron_str RCAAP
institution RCAAP
reponame_str Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
collection Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação
repository.mail.fl_str_mv
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