The impact of climate change on life insurance premiums: a panel data analysis of EU countries’s
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2023 |
Tipo de documento: | Dissertação |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/29761 |
Resumo: | Mestrado Bolonha em Actuarial Science |
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The impact of climate change on life insurance premiums: a panel data analysis of EU countries’sClimate ChangeLife Insurance PremiumsGreenhouse Gas EmissionsPanel DataPooling ModelFixed Effects ModelMestrado Bolonha em Actuarial ScienceThis work examines the relationship between the life insurance market and climate change using four distinct regression models with data from the 27 countries of the European Union (EU), including the United Kingdom (UK), for the period from 2011 until 2019. Two of the models uniquely study the impact of greenhouse gas emissions on life insurance premiums, resorting to distinct panel data models: the pooling model, and the fixed effects model. The other two models feature other climate change-related variables, including the number of fatalities, the deviation of temperature with respect to a baseline climatology, corresponding to the period 1951–1980, and the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), also using the pooling and the fixed effect models. As the name suggests, the pooling model implies the use of a panel data set of all 28 countries together, whereas the fixed effects model requires some type of aggregation. Therefore, for the second panel data set, the countries are grouped into three clusters accounting for historical trends and future climate change projections used in the Assessment Reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The goal is to analyse whether the use of the fixed effects model provides a better tool to understand the variation of life insurance premiums provoked by climate change when compared to the pooling model. The results of the first two models have shown that an increase of one thousand tonnes in greenhouse gas emissions is estimated to increase the total life insurance premiums by, respectively, 0.2099 and 0.2243 million US dollars. However, when the other variables are included in the first two models, these values change to −0.2681 and −0.2660 million US dollars, respectively. Meanwhile, the explicative power of the life insurance premiums variance increases significantly from the first two to the other two models, which may be a positive indicator.Instituto Superior de Economia e GestãoMoura, AlexandraSimões, OnofreRepositório da Universidade de LisboaGodinho, Mariana Irinéo2024-01-10T15:52:05Z2023-102023-10-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/29761engGodinho, Mariana Irinéo (2023). "The impact of climate change on life insurance premiums: a panel data analysis of EU countries’s". Dissertação de Mestrado. Universidade de Lisboa. Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2024-01-14T01:32:14Zoai:www.repository.utl.pt:10400.5/29761Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-20T01:40:27.674643Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
The impact of climate change on life insurance premiums: a panel data analysis of EU countries’s |
title |
The impact of climate change on life insurance premiums: a panel data analysis of EU countries’s |
spellingShingle |
The impact of climate change on life insurance premiums: a panel data analysis of EU countries’s Godinho, Mariana Irinéo Climate Change Life Insurance Premiums Greenhouse Gas Emissions Panel Data Pooling Model Fixed Effects Model |
title_short |
The impact of climate change on life insurance premiums: a panel data analysis of EU countries’s |
title_full |
The impact of climate change on life insurance premiums: a panel data analysis of EU countries’s |
title_fullStr |
The impact of climate change on life insurance premiums: a panel data analysis of EU countries’s |
title_full_unstemmed |
The impact of climate change on life insurance premiums: a panel data analysis of EU countries’s |
title_sort |
The impact of climate change on life insurance premiums: a panel data analysis of EU countries’s |
author |
Godinho, Mariana Irinéo |
author_facet |
Godinho, Mariana Irinéo |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Moura, Alexandra Simões, Onofre Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Godinho, Mariana Irinéo |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Climate Change Life Insurance Premiums Greenhouse Gas Emissions Panel Data Pooling Model Fixed Effects Model |
topic |
Climate Change Life Insurance Premiums Greenhouse Gas Emissions Panel Data Pooling Model Fixed Effects Model |
description |
Mestrado Bolonha em Actuarial Science |
publishDate |
2023 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2023-10 2023-10-01T00:00:00Z 2024-01-10T15:52:05Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis |
format |
masterThesis |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/29761 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/29761 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
Godinho, Mariana Irinéo (2023). "The impact of climate change on life insurance premiums: a panel data analysis of EU countries’s". Dissertação de Mestrado. Universidade de Lisboa. Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão. |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
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Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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RCAAP |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
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Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
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