Hedging no modelo com processo de Poisson composto
Autor(a) principal: | |
---|---|
Data de Publicação: | 2015 |
Tipo de documento: | Dissertação |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional da UFSCAR |
Texto Completo: | https://repositorio.ufscar.br/handle/ufscar/7092 |
Resumo: | The investor, that negotiate assets, is subject to economic risks of any negotiation because there is no certainty regarding the appreciation or depreciation of an asset. Here comes the futures market, where contracts can be negotiated in order to protect (hedge) the risk of excessive losses or gains, making the purchase or sale assets, fair for both sides. The goal of this work consist in study Lévy pure-jump process with finite activity, also known as compound Poisson process, and its applications. Discovered by the French mathematician Paul Pierre Lévy, the Lévy processes admits jumps in paths, which is often observed in financial markets. We will define a hedging strategy for a market model with compound Poisson process using mean-variance hedging and dynamic programming. |
id |
SCAR_15d42552fed2105128fa4d76534ed0df |
---|---|
oai_identifier_str |
oai:repositorio.ufscar.br:ufscar/7092 |
network_acronym_str |
SCAR |
network_name_str |
Repositório Institucional da UFSCAR |
repository_id_str |
4322 |
spelling |
Sae Hon Sung, VictorPinto Júnior, Dorival Leãohttp://lattes.cnpq.br/9633241446303620http://lattes.cnpq.br/3423938001020704ca379416-929c-4770-8091-60a250f376f52016-09-13T14:05:56Z2016-09-13T14:05:56Z2015-12-07SAE HON SUNG, Victor. Hedging no modelo com processo de Poisson composto. 2015. Dissertação (Mestrado em Estatística) – Universidade Federal de São Carlos, São Carlos, 2015. Disponível em: https://repositorio.ufscar.br/handle/ufscar/7092.https://repositorio.ufscar.br/handle/ufscar/7092The investor, that negotiate assets, is subject to economic risks of any negotiation because there is no certainty regarding the appreciation or depreciation of an asset. Here comes the futures market, where contracts can be negotiated in order to protect (hedge) the risk of excessive losses or gains, making the purchase or sale assets, fair for both sides. The goal of this work consist in study Lévy pure-jump process with finite activity, also known as compound Poisson process, and its applications. Discovered by the French mathematician Paul Pierre Lévy, the Lévy processes admits jumps in paths, which is often observed in financial markets. We will define a hedging strategy for a market model with compound Poisson process using mean-variance hedging and dynamic programming.Interessado em fazer com que o seu capital gere lucros, o investidor ao optar por negociar ativos, fica sujeito aos riscos econômicos de qualquer negociação, pois não existe uma certeza quanto a valorização ou desvalorização de um ativo. Eis que surge o mercado futuro, em que é possível negociar contratos a fim de se proteger (hedge) dos riscos de perdas ou ganhos excessivos, fazendo com que a compra ou venda de ativos, seja justa para ambas as partes. O objetivo deste trabalho consiste em estudar os processos de Lévy de puro salto de atividade finita, também conhecido como modelo de Poisson composto, e suas aplicações. Proposto pelo matemático francês Paul Pierre Lévy, os processos de Lévy tem como principal característica admitir saltos em sua trajetória, o que é frequentemente observado no mercado financeiro. Determinaremos uma estratégia de hedging no modelo de mercado com o processo de Poisson composto via o conceito de mean-variance hedging e princípio da programação dinâmica.Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)porUniversidade Federal de São CarlosCâmpus São CarlosPrograma Interinstitucional de Pós-Graduação em Estatística - PIPGEsUFSCarMercado futuroPrincípio da programação dinâmicaModelo com processo de Poisson compostoMean-variance hedgingHedgingProcesso de Poisson compostoFuturesCompound Poisson processDynamic programmingCIENCIAS EXATAS E DA TERRA::PROBABILIDADE E ESTATISTICAHedging no modelo com processo de Poisson compostoHedging in compound Poisson process modelinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesisOnline60060067056606-81af-4706-93bb-b26b722a9f1cinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional da UFSCARinstname:Universidade Federal de São Carlos (UFSCAR)instacron:UFSCARORIGINALDissVSHS.pdfDissVSHS.pdfapplication/pdf882234https://repositorio.ufscar.br/bitstream/ufscar/7092/1/DissVSHS.pdff08aea79440ba666e616318257bbdec9MD51LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-81957https://repositorio.ufscar.br/bitstream/ufscar/7092/2/license.txtae0398b6f8b235e40ad82cba6c50031dMD52TEXTDissVSHS.pdf.txtDissVSHS.pdf.txtExtracted texttext/plain67188https://repositorio.ufscar.br/bitstream/ufscar/7092/3/DissVSHS.pdf.txt7c8cd88c22acd475bfbb8bcb9f2a8947MD53THUMBNAILDissVSHS.pdf.jpgDissVSHS.pdf.jpgIM Thumbnailimage/jpeg4480https://repositorio.ufscar.br/bitstream/ufscar/7092/4/DissVSHS.pdf.jpgd8e9563812e85e782d258091770eb92eMD54ufscar/70922023-09-18 18:31:49.063oai:repositorio.ufscar.br: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Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttps://repositorio.ufscar.br/oai/requestopendoar:43222023-09-18T18:31:49Repositório Institucional da UFSCAR - Universidade Federal de São Carlos (UFSCAR)false |
dc.title.por.fl_str_mv |
Hedging no modelo com processo de Poisson composto |
dc.title.alternative.eng.fl_str_mv |
Hedging in compound Poisson process model |
title |
Hedging no modelo com processo de Poisson composto |
spellingShingle |
Hedging no modelo com processo de Poisson composto Sae Hon Sung, Victor Mercado futuro Princípio da programação dinâmica Modelo com processo de Poisson composto Mean-variance hedging Hedging Processo de Poisson composto Futures Compound Poisson process Dynamic programming CIENCIAS EXATAS E DA TERRA::PROBABILIDADE E ESTATISTICA |
title_short |
Hedging no modelo com processo de Poisson composto |
title_full |
Hedging no modelo com processo de Poisson composto |
title_fullStr |
Hedging no modelo com processo de Poisson composto |
title_full_unstemmed |
Hedging no modelo com processo de Poisson composto |
title_sort |
Hedging no modelo com processo de Poisson composto |
author |
Sae Hon Sung, Victor |
author_facet |
Sae Hon Sung, Victor |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.authorlattes.por.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/3423938001020704 |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Sae Hon Sung, Victor |
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv |
Pinto Júnior, Dorival Leão |
dc.contributor.advisor1Lattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/9633241446303620 |
dc.contributor.authorID.fl_str_mv |
ca379416-929c-4770-8091-60a250f376f5 |
contributor_str_mv |
Pinto Júnior, Dorival Leão |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Mercado futuro Princípio da programação dinâmica Modelo com processo de Poisson composto |
topic |
Mercado futuro Princípio da programação dinâmica Modelo com processo de Poisson composto Mean-variance hedging Hedging Processo de Poisson composto Futures Compound Poisson process Dynamic programming CIENCIAS EXATAS E DA TERRA::PROBABILIDADE E ESTATISTICA |
dc.subject.eng.fl_str_mv |
Mean-variance hedging Hedging Processo de Poisson composto Futures Compound Poisson process Dynamic programming |
dc.subject.cnpq.fl_str_mv |
CIENCIAS EXATAS E DA TERRA::PROBABILIDADE E ESTATISTICA |
description |
The investor, that negotiate assets, is subject to economic risks of any negotiation because there is no certainty regarding the appreciation or depreciation of an asset. Here comes the futures market, where contracts can be negotiated in order to protect (hedge) the risk of excessive losses or gains, making the purchase or sale assets, fair for both sides. The goal of this work consist in study Lévy pure-jump process with finite activity, also known as compound Poisson process, and its applications. Discovered by the French mathematician Paul Pierre Lévy, the Lévy processes admits jumps in paths, which is often observed in financial markets. We will define a hedging strategy for a market model with compound Poisson process using mean-variance hedging and dynamic programming. |
publishDate |
2015 |
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv |
2015-12-07 |
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv |
2016-09-13T14:05:56Z |
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv |
2016-09-13T14:05:56Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis |
format |
masterThesis |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv |
SAE HON SUNG, Victor. Hedging no modelo com processo de Poisson composto. 2015. Dissertação (Mestrado em Estatística) – Universidade Federal de São Carlos, São Carlos, 2015. Disponível em: https://repositorio.ufscar.br/handle/ufscar/7092. |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://repositorio.ufscar.br/handle/ufscar/7092 |
identifier_str_mv |
SAE HON SUNG, Victor. Hedging no modelo com processo de Poisson composto. 2015. Dissertação (Mestrado em Estatística) – Universidade Federal de São Carlos, São Carlos, 2015. Disponível em: https://repositorio.ufscar.br/handle/ufscar/7092. |
url |
https://repositorio.ufscar.br/handle/ufscar/7092 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.relation.confidence.fl_str_mv |
600 600 |
dc.relation.authority.fl_str_mv |
67056606-81af-4706-93bb-b26b722a9f1c |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade Federal de São Carlos Câmpus São Carlos |
dc.publisher.program.fl_str_mv |
Programa Interinstitucional de Pós-Graduação em Estatística - PIPGEs |
dc.publisher.initials.fl_str_mv |
UFSCar |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade Federal de São Carlos Câmpus São Carlos |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositório Institucional da UFSCAR instname:Universidade Federal de São Carlos (UFSCAR) instacron:UFSCAR |
instname_str |
Universidade Federal de São Carlos (UFSCAR) |
instacron_str |
UFSCAR |
institution |
UFSCAR |
reponame_str |
Repositório Institucional da UFSCAR |
collection |
Repositório Institucional da UFSCAR |
bitstream.url.fl_str_mv |
https://repositorio.ufscar.br/bitstream/ufscar/7092/1/DissVSHS.pdf https://repositorio.ufscar.br/bitstream/ufscar/7092/2/license.txt https://repositorio.ufscar.br/bitstream/ufscar/7092/3/DissVSHS.pdf.txt https://repositorio.ufscar.br/bitstream/ufscar/7092/4/DissVSHS.pdf.jpg |
bitstream.checksum.fl_str_mv |
f08aea79440ba666e616318257bbdec9 ae0398b6f8b235e40ad82cba6c50031d 7c8cd88c22acd475bfbb8bcb9f2a8947 d8e9563812e85e782d258091770eb92e |
bitstream.checksumAlgorithm.fl_str_mv |
MD5 MD5 MD5 MD5 |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Institucional da UFSCAR - Universidade Federal de São Carlos (UFSCAR) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
|
_version_ |
1813715556241506304 |