The ACD Model with an application to the brazilian interbank rate futures market

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Assun????o, Ad??o Vone Teixeira de
Data de Publicação: 2016
Tipo de documento: Dissertação
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UCB
Texto Completo: https://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/handle/tede/2008
Resumo: Aplicamos o Modelo Autoregressivo de Dura????o Condicional (ACD) Mercado de Futuros de Taxa Interbanc??ria Brasileira. A amostra foi constru??da com base em contratos M??s antes da expira????o para replicar a curva de obriga????es de um m??s eo per??odo estudado Vai de julho de 2013 a setembro de 2015. Utilizamos M??xima Verossimilhan??a Estimativa baseada nas distribui????es de probabilidade mais populares na literatura ACD: Exponencial, gama e Weibull e verificou-se que a estimativa baseada na A distribui????o exponencial foi a melhor op????o para modelar os dados.
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spelling Carhuajulca, Jaime Jos?? Orrillohttp://lattes.cnpq.br/0227304533127933http://lattes.cnpq.br/3319678468496145Assun????o, Ad??o Vone Teixeira de2017-02-21T18:02:24Z2016-03-31ASSUN????O, Ad??o Vone Teixeira de. The ACD Model with an application to the brazilian interbank rate futures market. 2016. 19f. Disserta????o(Programa Strictu Sensu em Economia de Empresas) - Universidade Cat??lica de Bras??lia, Bras??lia, 2016.https://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/handle/tede/2008Aplicamos o Modelo Autoregressivo de Dura????o Condicional (ACD) Mercado de Futuros de Taxa Interbanc??ria Brasileira. A amostra foi constru??da com base em contratos M??s antes da expira????o para replicar a curva de obriga????es de um m??s eo per??odo estudado Vai de julho de 2013 a setembro de 2015. Utilizamos M??xima Verossimilhan??a Estimativa baseada nas distribui????es de probabilidade mais populares na literatura ACD: Exponencial, gama e Weibull e verificou-se que a estimativa baseada na A distribui????o exponencial foi a melhor op????o para modelar os dados.We applied the basic Autoregressive Conditional Duration Model (ACD) to the Brazilian Interbank Rate Futures Market. The sample was built using contracts in the month prior to expiration to replicate a one month bond curve and the period studied goes from july of 2013 to september of 2015. We used Maximum Likelihood Estimation based on the most popular probability distributions in the ACD literature: exponential, gamma and Weibull and we found that the estimation based on the exponential distributional was the best option to model the data.Submitted by Jadi Castro (jadiana.castro@ucb.br) on 2017-02-21T18:01:09Z No. of bitstreams: 1 AdaoVoneTeixeiradeAssuncaoDissertacao2016.pdf: 1069424 bytes, checksum: 2cec9cf848a40c34902559e8d8f0c95c (MD5)Approved for entry into archive by Kelson Anthony de Menezes (kelson@ucb.br) on 2017-02-21T18:02:23Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 AdaoVoneTeixeiradeAssuncaoDissertacao2016.pdf: 1069424 bytes, checksum: 2cec9cf848a40c34902559e8d8f0c95c (MD5)Made available in DSpace on 2017-02-21T18:02:24Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 AdaoVoneTeixeiradeAssuncaoDissertacao2016.pdf: 1069424 bytes, checksum: 2cec9cf848a40c34902559e8d8f0c95c (MD5) Previous issue date: 2016-03-31application/pdfhttps://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/retrieve/4118/AdaoVoneTeixeiradeAssuncaoDissertacao2016.pdf.jpgengUniversidade Cat??lica de Bras??liaPrograma Strictu Sensu em Economia de EmpresasUCBBrasilEscola de Gest??o e Neg??ciosEconomia de EmpresasHigh Frequency DataMaximum Likelihood EstimationARMA.ACD ModelCIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ECONOMIAThe ACD Model with an application to the brazilian interbank rate futures marketinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis-1139962560771343510500500600-3429419691752109715-2504903392600098822info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da UCBinstname:Universidade Católica de Brasília (UCB)instacron:UCBLICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-82165https://200.214.135.178:8443/jspui/bitstream/tede/2008/1/license.txtbd3efa91386c1718a7f26a329fdcb468MD51ORIGINALAdaoVoneTeixeiradeAssuncaoDissertacao2016.pdfAdaoVoneTeixeiradeAssuncaoDissertacao2016.pdfapplication/pdf1069424https://200.214.135.178:8443/jspui/bitstream/tede/2008/2/AdaoVoneTeixeiradeAssuncaoDissertacao2016.pdf2cec9cf848a40c34902559e8d8f0c95cMD52TEXTAdaoVoneTeixeiradeAssuncaoDissertacao2016.pdf.txtAdaoVoneTeixeiradeAssuncaoDissertacao2016.pdf.txttext/plain54210https://200.214.135.178:8443/jspui/bitstream/tede/2008/3/AdaoVoneTeixeiradeAssuncaoDissertacao2016.pdf.txt1bdfc66e3199eb5298fe825ec98c5eebMD53THUMBNAILAdaoVoneTeixeiradeAssuncaoDissertacao2016.pdf.jpgAdaoVoneTeixeiradeAssuncaoDissertacao2016.pdf.jpgimage/jpeg5085https://200.214.135.178:8443/jspui/bitstream/tede/2008/4/AdaoVoneTeixeiradeAssuncaoDissertacao2016.pdf.jpge7be9396725ff31f427ca412c68e80bfMD54tede/20082017-02-22 01:02:19.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Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertaçõeshttps://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/
dc.title.por.fl_str_mv The ACD Model with an application to the brazilian interbank rate futures market
title The ACD Model with an application to the brazilian interbank rate futures market
spellingShingle The ACD Model with an application to the brazilian interbank rate futures market
Assun????o, Ad??o Vone Teixeira de
Economia de Empresas
High Frequency Data
Maximum Likelihood Estimation
ARMA.
ACD Model
CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ECONOMIA
title_short The ACD Model with an application to the brazilian interbank rate futures market
title_full The ACD Model with an application to the brazilian interbank rate futures market
title_fullStr The ACD Model with an application to the brazilian interbank rate futures market
title_full_unstemmed The ACD Model with an application to the brazilian interbank rate futures market
title_sort The ACD Model with an application to the brazilian interbank rate futures market
author Assun????o, Ad??o Vone Teixeira de
author_facet Assun????o, Ad??o Vone Teixeira de
author_role author
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv Carhuajulca, Jaime Jos?? Orrillo
dc.contributor.advisor1Lattes.fl_str_mv http://lattes.cnpq.br/0227304533127933
dc.contributor.authorLattes.fl_str_mv http://lattes.cnpq.br/3319678468496145
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Assun????o, Ad??o Vone Teixeira de
contributor_str_mv Carhuajulca, Jaime Jos?? Orrillo
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Economia de Empresas
topic Economia de Empresas
High Frequency Data
Maximum Likelihood Estimation
ARMA.
ACD Model
CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ECONOMIA
dc.subject.eng.fl_str_mv High Frequency Data
Maximum Likelihood Estimation
ARMA.
ACD Model
dc.subject.cnpq.fl_str_mv CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ECONOMIA
dc.description.abstract.por.fl_txt_mv Aplicamos o Modelo Autoregressivo de Dura????o Condicional (ACD) Mercado de Futuros de Taxa Interbanc??ria Brasileira. A amostra foi constru??da com base em contratos M??s antes da expira????o para replicar a curva de obriga????es de um m??s eo per??odo estudado Vai de julho de 2013 a setembro de 2015. Utilizamos M??xima Verossimilhan??a Estimativa baseada nas distribui????es de probabilidade mais populares na literatura ACD: Exponencial, gama e Weibull e verificou-se que a estimativa baseada na A distribui????o exponencial foi a melhor op????o para modelar os dados.
We applied the basic Autoregressive Conditional Duration Model (ACD) to the Brazilian Interbank Rate Futures Market. The sample was built using contracts in the month prior to expiration to replicate a one month bond curve and the period studied goes from july of 2013 to september of 2015. We used Maximum Likelihood Estimation based on the most popular probability distributions in the ACD literature: exponential, gamma and Weibull and we found that the estimation based on the exponential distributional was the best option to model the data.
description Aplicamos o Modelo Autoregressivo de Dura????o Condicional (ACD) Mercado de Futuros de Taxa Interbanc??ria Brasileira. A amostra foi constru??da com base em contratos M??s antes da expira????o para replicar a curva de obriga????es de um m??s eo per??odo estudado Vai de julho de 2013 a setembro de 2015. Utilizamos M??xima Verossimilhan??a Estimativa baseada nas distribui????es de probabilidade mais populares na literatura ACD: Exponencial, gama e Weibull e verificou-se que a estimativa baseada na A distribui????o exponencial foi a melhor op????o para modelar os dados.
publishDate 2016
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv 2016-03-31
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv 2017-02-21T18:02:24Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
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dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv ASSUN????O, Ad??o Vone Teixeira de. The ACD Model with an application to the brazilian interbank rate futures market. 2016. 19f. Disserta????o(Programa Strictu Sensu em Economia de Empresas) - Universidade Cat??lica de Bras??lia, Bras??lia, 2016.
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/handle/tede/2008
identifier_str_mv ASSUN????O, Ad??o Vone Teixeira de. The ACD Model with an application to the brazilian interbank rate futures market. 2016. 19f. Disserta????o(Programa Strictu Sensu em Economia de Empresas) - Universidade Cat??lica de Bras??lia, Bras??lia, 2016.
url https://bdtd.ucb.br:8443/jspui/handle/tede/2008
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
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dc.publisher.initials.fl_str_mv UCB
dc.publisher.country.fl_str_mv Brasil
dc.publisher.department.fl_str_mv Escola de Gest??o e Neg??cios
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Cat??lica de Bras??lia
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