DEMOCRACY, RIGHT-WING PARTIES AND “LULA 3”: the 2022 election and its consequences

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Ranulfo Melo, Carlos
Data de Publicação: 2024
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: por
Título da fonte: Caderno CRH
Texto Completo: https://periodicos.ufba.br/index.php/crh/article/view/55270
Resumo: This article deals with the developments of the 2022 election. Initially, it argues that, in a second term, Bolsonaro could increase his power of attraction over the center and right-wing parties in Congress to then advance on the justice bodies, putting Brazilian democracy at risk. It then shows that Lula’s victory did not prevent the right-wing parties from maintaining a growth trajectory, consolidating a majority position in both the Chamber of Deputies and the Federal Senate, and analyzes the reasons for this. Based on this growth of the right and on the changes in the relationship between the Executive and Legislative powers verified in recent years, it is argued that Lula’s task will be more difficult than the one started 20 years ago. The government coalition’s performance in the most important votes held in 2023 is evidence in this regard and signals the limits of “Lula 3”.
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spelling DEMOCRACY, RIGHT-WING PARTIES AND “LULA 3”: the 2022 election and its consequencesDÉMOCRATIE, PARTIS DE DROITE ET “LULA 3”: le scrutin de 2022 et ses conséquencesDEMOCRACIA, DIREITA E “LULA 3”: a eleição de 2022 e seus desdobramentosEleições 2022DemocraciaLulaCoalizão de governoBrasil2022 electionDemocracyLulaGoverning coalitionBrazilElection 2022DémocratieLulaCoalition gouvernementaleBrésilThis article deals with the developments of the 2022 election. Initially, it argues that, in a second term, Bolsonaro could increase his power of attraction over the center and right-wing parties in Congress to then advance on the justice bodies, putting Brazilian democracy at risk. It then shows that Lula’s victory did not prevent the right-wing parties from maintaining a growth trajectory, consolidating a majority position in both the Chamber of Deputies and the Federal Senate, and analyzes the reasons for this. Based on this growth of the right and on the changes in the relationship between the Executive and Legislative powers verified in recent years, it is argued that Lula’s task will be more difficult than the one started 20 years ago. The government coalition’s performance in the most important votes held in 2023 is evidence in this regard and signals the limits of “Lula 3”.Cet article traite des développements de l’élection de 2022. Dans un premier temps, il soutient que, dans un second mandat, Bolsonaro pourrait accroître son pouvoir d’attraction sur les partis du centre et de droite au Congrès pour ensuite avancer sur les instances judiciaires, mettant la démocratie brésilienne à risque risque. Il montre ensuite que la victoire de Lula n’a pas empêché les partis de droite de maintenir une trajectoire de croissance, de consolider une position majoritaire tant à la Chambre des députés qu’au Sénat fédéral, et en analyse les raisons. Sur la base de cette croissance de la droite et des changements dans les relations entre les pouvoirs exécutif et législatif constatés ces dernières années, il est avancé que le défi de Lula sera plus grand qu’il y a 20 ans. La performance de la coalition gouvernementale lors des scrutins les plus importants du 2023 en témoigne et signale les limites de “Lula 3”.Esse artigo trata dos desdobramentos da eleição de 2022. Inicialmente argumenta que, em um segundo mandato, Bolsonaro poderia aumentar seu poder de atração sobre os partidos de centro e de direita no Congresso para então avançar sobre os órgãos de justiça, colocando em risco a democracia brasileira. Na sequência, mostra que a vitória de Lula não impediu que os partidos de direita mantivessem uma trajetória de crescimento, consolidando uma posição majoritária tanto na Câmara como no Senado, e analisa as razões para tanto. Tomando como base esse crescimento da direita e nas mudanças na relação entre os poderes Executivo e Legislativo verificadas nos últimos anos, argumenta-se que a empreitada de Lula será mais difícil do que a iniciada 20 anos atrás. O desempenho da coalizão de governo nas votações mais importantes realizadas em 2023 é uma evidência nesse sentido e sinaliza para os limites de “Lula 3”.Universidade Federal da Bahia2024-05-13info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxArtigo avaliado pelos paresFoi utilizada apenas uma imagem (Gráfico 1) proveniente de texto do autor do artigo. O gráfico 2 e a tabela 1 foram produzidos originalmente para o artigo aqui submetidoapplication/pdfhttps://periodicos.ufba.br/index.php/crh/article/view/5527010.9771/ccrh.v37i0.55270Caderno CRH; v. 37 (2024): Publicação Contínua; e0240021983-82390103-4979reponame:Caderno CRHinstname:Universidade Federal da Bahia (UFBA)instacron:UFBAporhttps://periodicos.ufba.br/index.php/crh/article/view/55270/32607http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessRanulfo Melo, Carlos 2024-05-13T17:55:28Zoai:ojs.periodicos.ufba.br:article/55270Revistahttps://portalseer.ufba.br/index.php/crh/about/editorialPolicies#custom-0PUBhttps://old.scielo.br/oai/scielo-oai.phprevcrh@ufba.br||revcrh@ufba.br1983-82390103-4979opendoar:2024-05-13T17:55:28Caderno CRH - Universidade Federal da Bahia (UFBA)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv DEMOCRACY, RIGHT-WING PARTIES AND “LULA 3”: the 2022 election and its consequences
DÉMOCRATIE, PARTIS DE DROITE ET “LULA 3”: le scrutin de 2022 et ses conséquences
DEMOCRACIA, DIREITA E “LULA 3”: a eleição de 2022 e seus desdobramentos
title DEMOCRACY, RIGHT-WING PARTIES AND “LULA 3”: the 2022 election and its consequences
spellingShingle DEMOCRACY, RIGHT-WING PARTIES AND “LULA 3”: the 2022 election and its consequences
Ranulfo Melo, Carlos
Eleições 2022
Democracia
Lula
Coalizão de governo
Brasil
2022 election
Democracy
Lula
Governing coalition
Brazil
Election 2022
Démocratie
Lula
Coalition gouvernementale
Brésil
title_short DEMOCRACY, RIGHT-WING PARTIES AND “LULA 3”: the 2022 election and its consequences
title_full DEMOCRACY, RIGHT-WING PARTIES AND “LULA 3”: the 2022 election and its consequences
title_fullStr DEMOCRACY, RIGHT-WING PARTIES AND “LULA 3”: the 2022 election and its consequences
title_full_unstemmed DEMOCRACY, RIGHT-WING PARTIES AND “LULA 3”: the 2022 election and its consequences
title_sort DEMOCRACY, RIGHT-WING PARTIES AND “LULA 3”: the 2022 election and its consequences
author Ranulfo Melo, Carlos
author_facet Ranulfo Melo, Carlos
author_role author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Ranulfo Melo, Carlos
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Eleições 2022
Democracia
Lula
Coalizão de governo
Brasil
2022 election
Democracy
Lula
Governing coalition
Brazil
Election 2022
Démocratie
Lula
Coalition gouvernementale
Brésil
topic Eleições 2022
Democracia
Lula
Coalizão de governo
Brasil
2022 election
Democracy
Lula
Governing coalition
Brazil
Election 2022
Démocratie
Lula
Coalition gouvernementale
Brésil
description This article deals with the developments of the 2022 election. Initially, it argues that, in a second term, Bolsonaro could increase his power of attraction over the center and right-wing parties in Congress to then advance on the justice bodies, putting Brazilian democracy at risk. It then shows that Lula’s victory did not prevent the right-wing parties from maintaining a growth trajectory, consolidating a majority position in both the Chamber of Deputies and the Federal Senate, and analyzes the reasons for this. Based on this growth of the right and on the changes in the relationship between the Executive and Legislative powers verified in recent years, it is argued that Lula’s task will be more difficult than the one started 20 years ago. The government coalition’s performance in the most important votes held in 2023 is evidence in this regard and signals the limits of “Lula 3”.
publishDate 2024
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2024-05-13
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
xxxxx
xxxxx
xxxxx
Artigo avaliado pelos pares
Foi utilizada apenas uma imagem (Gráfico 1) proveniente de texto do autor do artigo. O gráfico 2 e a tabela 1 foram produzidos originalmente para o artigo aqui submetido
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://periodicos.ufba.br/index.php/crh/article/view/55270
10.9771/ccrh.v37i0.55270
url https://periodicos.ufba.br/index.php/crh/article/view/55270
identifier_str_mv 10.9771/ccrh.v37i0.55270
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv por
language por
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://periodicos.ufba.br/index.php/crh/article/view/55270/32607
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Federal da Bahia
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Federal da Bahia
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Caderno CRH; v. 37 (2024): Publicação Contínua; e024002
1983-8239
0103-4979
reponame:Caderno CRH
instname:Universidade Federal da Bahia (UFBA)
instacron:UFBA
instname_str Universidade Federal da Bahia (UFBA)
instacron_str UFBA
institution UFBA
reponame_str Caderno CRH
collection Caderno CRH
repository.name.fl_str_mv Caderno CRH - Universidade Federal da Bahia (UFBA)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv revcrh@ufba.br||revcrh@ufba.br
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