DEMOCRACY, RIGHT-WING PARTIES AND “LULA 3”: the 2022 election and its consequences
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2024 |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Caderno CRH |
Texto Completo: | https://periodicos.ufba.br/index.php/crh/article/view/55270 |
Resumo: | This article deals with the developments of the 2022 election. Initially, it argues that, in a second term, Bolsonaro could increase his power of attraction over the center and right-wing parties in Congress to then advance on the justice bodies, putting Brazilian democracy at risk. It then shows that Lula’s victory did not prevent the right-wing parties from maintaining a growth trajectory, consolidating a majority position in both the Chamber of Deputies and the Federal Senate, and analyzes the reasons for this. Based on this growth of the right and on the changes in the relationship between the Executive and Legislative powers verified in recent years, it is argued that Lula’s task will be more difficult than the one started 20 years ago. The government coalition’s performance in the most important votes held in 2023 is evidence in this regard and signals the limits of “Lula 3”. |
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DEMOCRACY, RIGHT-WING PARTIES AND “LULA 3”: the 2022 election and its consequencesDÉMOCRATIE, PARTIS DE DROITE ET “LULA 3”: le scrutin de 2022 et ses conséquencesDEMOCRACIA, DIREITA E “LULA 3”: a eleição de 2022 e seus desdobramentosEleições 2022DemocraciaLulaCoalizão de governoBrasil2022 electionDemocracyLulaGoverning coalitionBrazilElection 2022DémocratieLulaCoalition gouvernementaleBrésilThis article deals with the developments of the 2022 election. Initially, it argues that, in a second term, Bolsonaro could increase his power of attraction over the center and right-wing parties in Congress to then advance on the justice bodies, putting Brazilian democracy at risk. It then shows that Lula’s victory did not prevent the right-wing parties from maintaining a growth trajectory, consolidating a majority position in both the Chamber of Deputies and the Federal Senate, and analyzes the reasons for this. Based on this growth of the right and on the changes in the relationship between the Executive and Legislative powers verified in recent years, it is argued that Lula’s task will be more difficult than the one started 20 years ago. The government coalition’s performance in the most important votes held in 2023 is evidence in this regard and signals the limits of “Lula 3”.Cet article traite des développements de l’élection de 2022. Dans un premier temps, il soutient que, dans un second mandat, Bolsonaro pourrait accroître son pouvoir d’attraction sur les partis du centre et de droite au Congrès pour ensuite avancer sur les instances judiciaires, mettant la démocratie brésilienne à risque risque. Il montre ensuite que la victoire de Lula n’a pas empêché les partis de droite de maintenir une trajectoire de croissance, de consolider une position majoritaire tant à la Chambre des députés qu’au Sénat fédéral, et en analyse les raisons. Sur la base de cette croissance de la droite et des changements dans les relations entre les pouvoirs exécutif et législatif constatés ces dernières années, il est avancé que le défi de Lula sera plus grand qu’il y a 20 ans. La performance de la coalition gouvernementale lors des scrutins les plus importants du 2023 en témoigne et signale les limites de “Lula 3”.Esse artigo trata dos desdobramentos da eleição de 2022. Inicialmente argumenta que, em um segundo mandato, Bolsonaro poderia aumentar seu poder de atração sobre os partidos de centro e de direita no Congresso para então avançar sobre os órgãos de justiça, colocando em risco a democracia brasileira. Na sequência, mostra que a vitória de Lula não impediu que os partidos de direita mantivessem uma trajetória de crescimento, consolidando uma posição majoritária tanto na Câmara como no Senado, e analisa as razões para tanto. Tomando como base esse crescimento da direita e nas mudanças na relação entre os poderes Executivo e Legislativo verificadas nos últimos anos, argumenta-se que a empreitada de Lula será mais difícil do que a iniciada 20 anos atrás. O desempenho da coalizão de governo nas votações mais importantes realizadas em 2023 é uma evidência nesse sentido e sinaliza para os limites de “Lula 3”.Universidade Federal da Bahia2024-05-13info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxArtigo avaliado pelos paresFoi utilizada apenas uma imagem (Gráfico 1) proveniente de texto do autor do artigo. O gráfico 2 e a tabela 1 foram produzidos originalmente para o artigo aqui submetidoapplication/pdfhttps://periodicos.ufba.br/index.php/crh/article/view/5527010.9771/ccrh.v37i0.55270Caderno CRH; v. 37 (2024): Publicação Contínua; e0240021983-82390103-4979reponame:Caderno CRHinstname:Universidade Federal da Bahia (UFBA)instacron:UFBAporhttps://periodicos.ufba.br/index.php/crh/article/view/55270/32607http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessRanulfo Melo, Carlos 2024-05-13T17:55:28Zoai:ojs.periodicos.ufba.br:article/55270Revistahttps://portalseer.ufba.br/index.php/crh/about/editorialPolicies#custom-0PUBhttps://old.scielo.br/oai/scielo-oai.phprevcrh@ufba.br||revcrh@ufba.br1983-82390103-4979opendoar:2024-05-13T17:55:28Caderno CRH - Universidade Federal da Bahia (UFBA)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
DEMOCRACY, RIGHT-WING PARTIES AND “LULA 3”: the 2022 election and its consequences DÉMOCRATIE, PARTIS DE DROITE ET “LULA 3”: le scrutin de 2022 et ses conséquences DEMOCRACIA, DIREITA E “LULA 3”: a eleição de 2022 e seus desdobramentos |
title |
DEMOCRACY, RIGHT-WING PARTIES AND “LULA 3”: the 2022 election and its consequences |
spellingShingle |
DEMOCRACY, RIGHT-WING PARTIES AND “LULA 3”: the 2022 election and its consequences Ranulfo Melo, Carlos Eleições 2022 Democracia Lula Coalizão de governo Brasil 2022 election Democracy Lula Governing coalition Brazil Election 2022 Démocratie Lula Coalition gouvernementale Brésil |
title_short |
DEMOCRACY, RIGHT-WING PARTIES AND “LULA 3”: the 2022 election and its consequences |
title_full |
DEMOCRACY, RIGHT-WING PARTIES AND “LULA 3”: the 2022 election and its consequences |
title_fullStr |
DEMOCRACY, RIGHT-WING PARTIES AND “LULA 3”: the 2022 election and its consequences |
title_full_unstemmed |
DEMOCRACY, RIGHT-WING PARTIES AND “LULA 3”: the 2022 election and its consequences |
title_sort |
DEMOCRACY, RIGHT-WING PARTIES AND “LULA 3”: the 2022 election and its consequences |
author |
Ranulfo Melo, Carlos |
author_facet |
Ranulfo Melo, Carlos |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Ranulfo Melo, Carlos |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Eleições 2022 Democracia Lula Coalizão de governo Brasil 2022 election Democracy Lula Governing coalition Brazil Election 2022 Démocratie Lula Coalition gouvernementale Brésil |
topic |
Eleições 2022 Democracia Lula Coalizão de governo Brasil 2022 election Democracy Lula Governing coalition Brazil Election 2022 Démocratie Lula Coalition gouvernementale Brésil |
description |
This article deals with the developments of the 2022 election. Initially, it argues that, in a second term, Bolsonaro could increase his power of attraction over the center and right-wing parties in Congress to then advance on the justice bodies, putting Brazilian democracy at risk. It then shows that Lula’s victory did not prevent the right-wing parties from maintaining a growth trajectory, consolidating a majority position in both the Chamber of Deputies and the Federal Senate, and analyzes the reasons for this. Based on this growth of the right and on the changes in the relationship between the Executive and Legislative powers verified in recent years, it is argued that Lula’s task will be more difficult than the one started 20 years ago. The government coalition’s performance in the most important votes held in 2023 is evidence in this regard and signals the limits of “Lula 3”. |
publishDate |
2024 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2024-05-13 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion xxxxx xxxxx xxxxx Artigo avaliado pelos pares Foi utilizada apenas uma imagem (Gráfico 1) proveniente de texto do autor do artigo. O gráfico 2 e a tabela 1 foram produzidos originalmente para o artigo aqui submetido |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://periodicos.ufba.br/index.php/crh/article/view/55270 10.9771/ccrh.v37i0.55270 |
url |
https://periodicos.ufba.br/index.php/crh/article/view/55270 |
identifier_str_mv |
10.9771/ccrh.v37i0.55270 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
por |
language |
por |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
https://periodicos.ufba.br/index.php/crh/article/view/55270/32607 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade Federal da Bahia |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade Federal da Bahia |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Caderno CRH; v. 37 (2024): Publicação Contínua; e024002 1983-8239 0103-4979 reponame:Caderno CRH instname:Universidade Federal da Bahia (UFBA) instacron:UFBA |
instname_str |
Universidade Federal da Bahia (UFBA) |
instacron_str |
UFBA |
institution |
UFBA |
reponame_str |
Caderno CRH |
collection |
Caderno CRH |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Caderno CRH - Universidade Federal da Bahia (UFBA) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
revcrh@ufba.br||revcrh@ufba.br |
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1799699056892575744 |