Análise de modelos de geração de viagens em equipamentos de saúde: estudo de caso do Hospital Universitário Walter Cantídio

• Autor(a) principal: Barroso, Lara Maria de Sousa
• Data de Publicação: 2017
• Tipo de documento: Trabalho de conclusão de curso
• Idioma: por
• Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da Universidade Federal do Ceará (UFC)
• Texto Completo: http://www.repositorio.ufc.br/handle/riufc/46699
• topic: Geração de viagens; Polos geradores de viagens; Equipamentos de saúde

Trip-Generating Poles (TGPs) are large enterprises that produce a large number of trips, generating impacts on the circulation of their immediate surroundings and modifying the accessibility of the region in which they are installed, and may be of various natures, such as Universities, Shopping Centers and Hospitals. TGPs related to the provision of health services have, in general, very different characteristics from other types of enterprises, since the hospital demand is differentiated from the demands of other equipment because of its emergency character, while the volume and the nature of its trip-attraction are changeable and not always predictable. In order to try and predict travel rates attracted by TGPs several mathematical models have been developed over the years, although few of these are related to health establishments. In this context, this work has the objective of analyzing the generation of trips attracted to the central block of Walter Cantídio University Hospital (HUWC), evaluating the applicability of existing hospital-related models. The methodology used involved the characterization of the equipment under study in accordance with the relevant aspects for trip-generation forecast, the quantification and characterization of the trips attracted, through field research, and the verification of the adherence of the chosen trip generation models. Throughout the analysis, the comparison of the number of trips estimated by each model with the number of trips attracted at the peak hour observed in the field was observed, evaluating the percentage difference between them, in addition to evaluating the correlation between the coefficient of determination (R²) of the equations and the obtained differences. The models created by ITE (2008), whose independent variables are the 'constructed area' and the 'number of beds', were the ones that best represented the dynamics of the HUWC trips during the studied period. Even CET - SP models, although developed for Brazilian soil use, showed a low relation with the trip behavior seen in the field. As for the models developed by Gontijo and Raia Jr., they presented a very poor relation with the travel dynamics of the HUWC.