Potential and future geographical distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a tree threatened by climate change

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: Carvalho, Monica Canaan
Data de Publicação: 2019
Outros Autores: Gomide, Lucas Rezende, Acerbi Júnior, Fausto Weimar, Tng, David
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da UFLA
Texto Completo: http://repositorio.ufla.br/jspui/handle/1/40678
Resumo: Eremanthus erythropappus is a commercially-important tree which has a long history of exploitation in the Brazilian State of Minas Gerais. The knowledge on the potential geographical distribution of E. erythropappus is therefore critical for the species sustainability. Thus, the aim of this study was to estimate and map current and future ecological niche for E. erythropappus in Minas Gerais. We used the Random Forests algorithm to model the ecological niche for current and future climates scenarios. Our predictions indicate Espinhaço, Mantiqueira, and Canastra mountain ranges as core areas of distribution and forecast drastic reductions in potential areas under all climate scenarios. Based on our results, we highlight that the continual harvesting of naturally-occurring E. erythropappus populations will not be sufficient to supply the market demand. Silviculture practices would likely serve as an economically viable and ecological sustainable alternative to harvesting natural populations.
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spelling Potential and future geographical distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a tree threatened by climate changeCandeia treesRandom forestsHabitat suitabilityFlorestas aleatóriasAdequabilidade de habitatMudanças climáticasEremanthus erythropappus is a commercially-important tree which has a long history of exploitation in the Brazilian State of Minas Gerais. The knowledge on the potential geographical distribution of E. erythropappus is therefore critical for the species sustainability. Thus, the aim of this study was to estimate and map current and future ecological niche for E. erythropappus in Minas Gerais. We used the Random Forests algorithm to model the ecological niche for current and future climates scenarios. Our predictions indicate Espinhaço, Mantiqueira, and Canastra mountain ranges as core areas of distribution and forecast drastic reductions in potential areas under all climate scenarios. Based on our results, we highlight that the continual harvesting of naturally-occurring E. erythropappus populations will not be sufficient to supply the market demand. Silviculture practices would likely serve as an economically viable and ecological sustainable alternative to harvesting natural populations.Universidade Federal Rural do Rio de Janeiro2020-05-07T18:09:47Z2020-05-07T18:09:47Z2019info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfCARVALHO, M. C. et al. Potential and future geographical distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a tree threatened by climate change. Floresta e Ambiente, Seropédica, v. 26, n. 3, 2019. Não paginado.http://repositorio.ufla.br/jspui/handle/1/40678FLORAM - Revista Floresta e Ambientereponame:Repositório Institucional da UFLAinstname:Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)instacron:UFLAhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessCarvalho, Monica CanaanGomide, Lucas RezendeAcerbi Júnior, Fausto WeimarTng, Davideng2023-05-30T17:41:42Zoai:localhost:1/40678Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttp://repositorio.ufla.br/oai/requestnivaldo@ufla.br || repositorio.biblioteca@ufla.bropendoar:2023-05-30T17:41:42Repositório Institucional da UFLA - Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Potential and future geographical distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a tree threatened by climate change
title Potential and future geographical distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a tree threatened by climate change
spellingShingle Potential and future geographical distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a tree threatened by climate change
Carvalho, Monica Canaan
Candeia trees
Random forests
Habitat suitability
Florestas aleatórias
Adequabilidade de habitat
Mudanças climáticas
title_short Potential and future geographical distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a tree threatened by climate change
title_full Potential and future geographical distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a tree threatened by climate change
title_fullStr Potential and future geographical distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a tree threatened by climate change
title_full_unstemmed Potential and future geographical distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a tree threatened by climate change
title_sort Potential and future geographical distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a tree threatened by climate change
author Carvalho, Monica Canaan
author_facet Carvalho, Monica Canaan
Gomide, Lucas Rezende
Acerbi Júnior, Fausto Weimar
Tng, David
author_role author
author2 Gomide, Lucas Rezende
Acerbi Júnior, Fausto Weimar
Tng, David
author2_role author
author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv Carvalho, Monica Canaan
Gomide, Lucas Rezende
Acerbi Júnior, Fausto Weimar
Tng, David
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Candeia trees
Random forests
Habitat suitability
Florestas aleatórias
Adequabilidade de habitat
Mudanças climáticas
topic Candeia trees
Random forests
Habitat suitability
Florestas aleatórias
Adequabilidade de habitat
Mudanças climáticas
description Eremanthus erythropappus is a commercially-important tree which has a long history of exploitation in the Brazilian State of Minas Gerais. The knowledge on the potential geographical distribution of E. erythropappus is therefore critical for the species sustainability. Thus, the aim of this study was to estimate and map current and future ecological niche for E. erythropappus in Minas Gerais. We used the Random Forests algorithm to model the ecological niche for current and future climates scenarios. Our predictions indicate Espinhaço, Mantiqueira, and Canastra mountain ranges as core areas of distribution and forecast drastic reductions in potential areas under all climate scenarios. Based on our results, we highlight that the continual harvesting of naturally-occurring E. erythropappus populations will not be sufficient to supply the market demand. Silviculture practices would likely serve as an economically viable and ecological sustainable alternative to harvesting natural populations.
publishDate 2019
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2019
2020-05-07T18:09:47Z
2020-05-07T18:09:47Z
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv CARVALHO, M. C. et al. Potential and future geographical distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a tree threatened by climate change. Floresta e Ambiente, Seropédica, v. 26, n. 3, 2019. Não paginado.
http://repositorio.ufla.br/jspui/handle/1/40678
identifier_str_mv CARVALHO, M. C. et al. Potential and future geographical distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a tree threatened by climate change. Floresta e Ambiente, Seropédica, v. 26, n. 3, 2019. Não paginado.
url http://repositorio.ufla.br/jspui/handle/1/40678
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Federal Rural do Rio de Janeiro
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidade Federal Rural do Rio de Janeiro
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv FLORAM - Revista Floresta e Ambiente
reponame:Repositório Institucional da UFLA
instname:Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)
instacron:UFLA
instname_str Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)
instacron_str UFLA
institution UFLA
reponame_str Repositório Institucional da UFLA
collection Repositório Institucional da UFLA
repository.name.fl_str_mv Repositório Institucional da UFLA - Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv nivaldo@ufla.br || repositorio.biblioteca@ufla.br
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