Potential and future geographical distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a tree threatened by climate change
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2019 |
Outros Autores: | , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional da UFLA |
Texto Completo: | http://repositorio.ufla.br/jspui/handle/1/40678 |
Resumo: | Eremanthus erythropappus is a commercially-important tree which has a long history of exploitation in the Brazilian State of Minas Gerais. The knowledge on the potential geographical distribution of E. erythropappus is therefore critical for the species sustainability. Thus, the aim of this study was to estimate and map current and future ecological niche for E. erythropappus in Minas Gerais. We used the Random Forests algorithm to model the ecological niche for current and future climates scenarios. Our predictions indicate Espinhaço, Mantiqueira, and Canastra mountain ranges as core areas of distribution and forecast drastic reductions in potential areas under all climate scenarios. Based on our results, we highlight that the continual harvesting of naturally-occurring E. erythropappus populations will not be sufficient to supply the market demand. Silviculture practices would likely serve as an economically viable and ecological sustainable alternative to harvesting natural populations. |
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Potential and future geographical distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a tree threatened by climate changeCandeia treesRandom forestsHabitat suitabilityFlorestas aleatóriasAdequabilidade de habitatMudanças climáticasEremanthus erythropappus is a commercially-important tree which has a long history of exploitation in the Brazilian State of Minas Gerais. The knowledge on the potential geographical distribution of E. erythropappus is therefore critical for the species sustainability. Thus, the aim of this study was to estimate and map current and future ecological niche for E. erythropappus in Minas Gerais. We used the Random Forests algorithm to model the ecological niche for current and future climates scenarios. Our predictions indicate Espinhaço, Mantiqueira, and Canastra mountain ranges as core areas of distribution and forecast drastic reductions in potential areas under all climate scenarios. Based on our results, we highlight that the continual harvesting of naturally-occurring E. erythropappus populations will not be sufficient to supply the market demand. Silviculture practices would likely serve as an economically viable and ecological sustainable alternative to harvesting natural populations.Universidade Federal Rural do Rio de Janeiro2020-05-07T18:09:47Z2020-05-07T18:09:47Z2019info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfCARVALHO, M. C. et al. Potential and future geographical distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a tree threatened by climate change. Floresta e Ambiente, Seropédica, v. 26, n. 3, 2019. Não paginado.http://repositorio.ufla.br/jspui/handle/1/40678FLORAM - Revista Floresta e Ambientereponame:Repositório Institucional da UFLAinstname:Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)instacron:UFLAhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessCarvalho, Monica CanaanGomide, Lucas RezendeAcerbi Júnior, Fausto WeimarTng, Davideng2023-05-30T17:41:42Zoai:localhost:1/40678Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttp://repositorio.ufla.br/oai/requestnivaldo@ufla.br || repositorio.biblioteca@ufla.bropendoar:2023-05-30T17:41:42Repositório Institucional da UFLA - Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Potential and future geographical distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a tree threatened by climate change |
title |
Potential and future geographical distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a tree threatened by climate change |
spellingShingle |
Potential and future geographical distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a tree threatened by climate change Carvalho, Monica Canaan Candeia trees Random forests Habitat suitability Florestas aleatórias Adequabilidade de habitat Mudanças climáticas |
title_short |
Potential and future geographical distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a tree threatened by climate change |
title_full |
Potential and future geographical distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a tree threatened by climate change |
title_fullStr |
Potential and future geographical distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a tree threatened by climate change |
title_full_unstemmed |
Potential and future geographical distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a tree threatened by climate change |
title_sort |
Potential and future geographical distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a tree threatened by climate change |
author |
Carvalho, Monica Canaan |
author_facet |
Carvalho, Monica Canaan Gomide, Lucas Rezende Acerbi Júnior, Fausto Weimar Tng, David |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Gomide, Lucas Rezende Acerbi Júnior, Fausto Weimar Tng, David |
author2_role |
author author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Carvalho, Monica Canaan Gomide, Lucas Rezende Acerbi Júnior, Fausto Weimar Tng, David |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Candeia trees Random forests Habitat suitability Florestas aleatórias Adequabilidade de habitat Mudanças climáticas |
topic |
Candeia trees Random forests Habitat suitability Florestas aleatórias Adequabilidade de habitat Mudanças climáticas |
description |
Eremanthus erythropappus is a commercially-important tree which has a long history of exploitation in the Brazilian State of Minas Gerais. The knowledge on the potential geographical distribution of E. erythropappus is therefore critical for the species sustainability. Thus, the aim of this study was to estimate and map current and future ecological niche for E. erythropappus in Minas Gerais. We used the Random Forests algorithm to model the ecological niche for current and future climates scenarios. Our predictions indicate Espinhaço, Mantiqueira, and Canastra mountain ranges as core areas of distribution and forecast drastic reductions in potential areas under all climate scenarios. Based on our results, we highlight that the continual harvesting of naturally-occurring E. erythropappus populations will not be sufficient to supply the market demand. Silviculture practices would likely serve as an economically viable and ecological sustainable alternative to harvesting natural populations. |
publishDate |
2019 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2019 2020-05-07T18:09:47Z 2020-05-07T18:09:47Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
CARVALHO, M. C. et al. Potential and future geographical distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a tree threatened by climate change. Floresta e Ambiente, Seropédica, v. 26, n. 3, 2019. Não paginado. http://repositorio.ufla.br/jspui/handle/1/40678 |
identifier_str_mv |
CARVALHO, M. C. et al. Potential and future geographical distribution of Eremanthus erythropappus (DC.) MacLeish: a tree threatened by climate change. Floresta e Ambiente, Seropédica, v. 26, n. 3, 2019. Não paginado. |
url |
http://repositorio.ufla.br/jspui/handle/1/40678 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade Federal Rural do Rio de Janeiro |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade Federal Rural do Rio de Janeiro |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
FLORAM - Revista Floresta e Ambiente reponame:Repositório Institucional da UFLA instname:Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA) instacron:UFLA |
instname_str |
Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA) |
instacron_str |
UFLA |
institution |
UFLA |
reponame_str |
Repositório Institucional da UFLA |
collection |
Repositório Institucional da UFLA |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Institucional da UFLA - Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
nivaldo@ufla.br || repositorio.biblioteca@ufla.br |
_version_ |
1784550210636087296 |