Tourist risk perception and objective risk: an analysis of countries during the COVID-19 pandemic
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2022 |
Outros Autores: | , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Marketing & Tourism Review |
Texto Completo: | https://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/mtr/article/view/7466 |
Resumo: | Perceptions of risk are not always in line with objective risk measures. According to the decision-making literature, this is due to affective evaluations laypeople do over hazards instead of a more deliberative judgement. Against this backdrop, this study investigates tourists’ perceptions of risk in relation to the most affected countries by COVID-19, and compare it to their objective risk measures. Our findings suggest that people think in accordance with the denominator neglect effect while assessing risk of contamination, that is, they consider the total number of infected people and disregard its proportion in relation to the population. Also, news media consumption was found to be associated with distinguishing low-risk of contamination countries, but not top risky ones. These results shed light on biases in people’s judgements that need to be taken into account by tourism managers, as the sector begins its recovery. |
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Marketing & Tourism Review |
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Tourist risk perception and objective risk: an analysis of countries during the COVID-19 pandemicRisk perceptionCOVID-19 pandemicTourist behaviorPerceptions of risk are not always in line with objective risk measures. According to the decision-making literature, this is due to affective evaluations laypeople do over hazards instead of a more deliberative judgement. Against this backdrop, this study investigates tourists’ perceptions of risk in relation to the most affected countries by COVID-19, and compare it to their objective risk measures. Our findings suggest that people think in accordance with the denominator neglect effect while assessing risk of contamination, that is, they consider the total number of infected people and disregard its proportion in relation to the population. Also, news media consumption was found to be associated with distinguishing low-risk of contamination countries, but not top risky ones. These results shed light on biases in people’s judgements that need to be taken into account by tourism managers, as the sector begins its recovery.Percepções de risco nem sempre estão alinhadas com medidas objetivas de risco. De acordo com a literatura de tomada de decisão, isto se deve a avaliações afetivas que pessoas leigas fazem de perigos, ao invés de um julgamento mais deliberado. Sob este pano de fundo, o presente estudo investiga a percepção de risco de turistas em relação aos países mais afetados pela COVID-19, e a compara com suas medidas de risco objetivo. Nossos resultados sugerem que as pessoas pensam em conformidade com o efeito “denominator neglect”, ou seja, levam em consideração apenas o número de casos totais da doença e desconsideram sua proporção na população, quando avaliam riscos de contágio. Além disto, descobriu-se que o consumo de mídias está associado à distinção entre países de risco baixo, mas não os de risco alto de contágio. Tais resultados evidenciam vieses nos julgamentos das pessoas que devem ser levados em conta por gestores no turismo, na medida em que o setor inicia sua recuperação.Federal University of Minas Gerais2022-06-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/mtr/article/view/7466Marketing & Tourism Review; v. 7 n. 1 (2022): vol.7, n. 1, 2022Marketing & Tourism Review; Vol. 7 No. 1 (2022): vol.7, n. 1, 20222525-81762525-817610.29149/mtr.v7i1reponame:Marketing & Tourism Reviewinstname:Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)instacron:UFMGenghttps://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/mtr/article/view/7466/3694Copyright (c) 2022 Marcelo de Oliveira Nunes, Verônica Feder Mayer, Luís Antônio da Rocha Dibhttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessde Oliveira Nunes, MarceloFeder Mayer, Verônicada Rocha Dib, Luís Antônio2022-06-01T22:12:24Zoai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/7466Revistahttps://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/mtrPUBhttps://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/mtr/oaimkt.tourism.review@gmail.com||mg.ufmg@gmail.com2525-81762525-8176opendoar:2022-06-01T22:12:24Marketing & Tourism Review - Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Tourist risk perception and objective risk: an analysis of countries during the COVID-19 pandemic |
title |
Tourist risk perception and objective risk: an analysis of countries during the COVID-19 pandemic |
spellingShingle |
Tourist risk perception and objective risk: an analysis of countries during the COVID-19 pandemic de Oliveira Nunes, Marcelo Risk perception COVID-19 pandemic Tourist behavior |
title_short |
Tourist risk perception and objective risk: an analysis of countries during the COVID-19 pandemic |
title_full |
Tourist risk perception and objective risk: an analysis of countries during the COVID-19 pandemic |
title_fullStr |
Tourist risk perception and objective risk: an analysis of countries during the COVID-19 pandemic |
title_full_unstemmed |
Tourist risk perception and objective risk: an analysis of countries during the COVID-19 pandemic |
title_sort |
Tourist risk perception and objective risk: an analysis of countries during the COVID-19 pandemic |
author |
de Oliveira Nunes, Marcelo |
author_facet |
de Oliveira Nunes, Marcelo Feder Mayer, Verônica da Rocha Dib, Luís Antônio |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Feder Mayer, Verônica da Rocha Dib, Luís Antônio |
author2_role |
author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
de Oliveira Nunes, Marcelo Feder Mayer, Verônica da Rocha Dib, Luís Antônio |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Risk perception COVID-19 pandemic Tourist behavior |
topic |
Risk perception COVID-19 pandemic Tourist behavior |
description |
Perceptions of risk are not always in line with objective risk measures. According to the decision-making literature, this is due to affective evaluations laypeople do over hazards instead of a more deliberative judgement. Against this backdrop, this study investigates tourists’ perceptions of risk in relation to the most affected countries by COVID-19, and compare it to their objective risk measures. Our findings suggest that people think in accordance with the denominator neglect effect while assessing risk of contamination, that is, they consider the total number of infected people and disregard its proportion in relation to the population. Also, news media consumption was found to be associated with distinguishing low-risk of contamination countries, but not top risky ones. These results shed light on biases in people’s judgements that need to be taken into account by tourism managers, as the sector begins its recovery. |
publishDate |
2022 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2022-06-01 |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
https://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/mtr/article/view/7466 |
url |
https://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/mtr/article/view/7466 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
https://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/mtr/article/view/7466/3694 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2022 Marcelo de Oliveira Nunes, Verônica Feder Mayer, Luís Antônio da Rocha Dib https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
rights_invalid_str_mv |
Copyright (c) 2022 Marcelo de Oliveira Nunes, Verônica Feder Mayer, Luís Antônio da Rocha Dib https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Federal University of Minas Gerais |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
Federal University of Minas Gerais |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Marketing & Tourism Review; v. 7 n. 1 (2022): vol.7, n. 1, 2022 Marketing & Tourism Review; Vol. 7 No. 1 (2022): vol.7, n. 1, 2022 2525-8176 2525-8176 10.29149/mtr.v7i1 reponame:Marketing & Tourism Review instname:Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG) instacron:UFMG |
instname_str |
Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG) |
instacron_str |
UFMG |
institution |
UFMG |
reponame_str |
Marketing & Tourism Review |
collection |
Marketing & Tourism Review |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Marketing & Tourism Review - Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
mkt.tourism.review@gmail.com||mg.ufmg@gmail.com |
_version_ |
1798321034159456256 |