Tourist risk perception and objective risk: an analysis of countries during the COVID-19 pandemic

Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor(a) principal: de Oliveira Nunes, Marcelo
Data de Publicação: 2022
Outros Autores: Feder Mayer, Verônica, da Rocha Dib, Luís Antônio
Tipo de documento: Artigo
Idioma: eng
Título da fonte: Marketing & Tourism Review
Texto Completo: https://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/mtr/article/view/7466
Resumo: Perceptions of risk are not always in line with objective risk measures. According to the decision-making literature, this is due to affective evaluations laypeople do over hazards instead of a more deliberative judgement. Against this backdrop, this study investigates tourists’ perceptions of risk in relation to the most affected countries by COVID-19, and compare it to their objective risk measures. Our findings suggest that people think in accordance with the denominator neglect effect while assessing risk of contamination, that is, they consider the total number of infected people and disregard its proportion in relation to the population. Also, news media consumption was found to be associated with distinguishing low-risk of contamination countries, but not top risky ones. These results shed light on biases in people’s judgements that need to be taken into account by tourism managers, as the sector begins its recovery.
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spelling Tourist risk perception and objective risk: an analysis of countries during the COVID-19 pandemicRisk perceptionCOVID-19 pandemicTourist behaviorPerceptions of risk are not always in line with objective risk measures. According to the decision-making literature, this is due to affective evaluations laypeople do over hazards instead of a more deliberative judgement. Against this backdrop, this study investigates tourists’ perceptions of risk in relation to the most affected countries by COVID-19, and compare it to their objective risk measures. Our findings suggest that people think in accordance with the denominator neglect effect while assessing risk of contamination, that is, they consider the total number of infected people and disregard its proportion in relation to the population. Also, news media consumption was found to be associated with distinguishing low-risk of contamination countries, but not top risky ones. These results shed light on biases in people’s judgements that need to be taken into account by tourism managers, as the sector begins its recovery.Percepções de risco nem sempre estão alinhadas com medidas objetivas de risco. De acordo com a literatura de tomada de decisão, isto se deve a avaliações afetivas que pessoas leigas fazem de perigos, ao invés de um julgamento mais deliberado. Sob este pano de fundo, o presente estudo investiga a percepção de risco de turistas em relação aos países mais afetados pela COVID-19, e a compara com suas medidas de risco objetivo. Nossos resultados sugerem que as pessoas pensam em conformidade com o efeito “denominator neglect”, ou seja, levam em consideração apenas o número de casos totais da doença e desconsideram sua proporção na população, quando avaliam riscos de contágio. Além disto, descobriu-se que o consumo de mídias está associado à distinção entre países de risco baixo, mas não os de risco alto de contágio. Tais resultados evidenciam vieses nos julgamentos das pessoas que devem ser levados em conta por gestores no turismo, na medida em que o setor inicia sua recuperação.Federal University of Minas Gerais2022-06-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articleinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionapplication/pdfhttps://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/mtr/article/view/7466Marketing & Tourism Review; v. 7 n. 1 (2022): vol.7, n. 1, 2022Marketing & Tourism Review; Vol. 7 No. 1 (2022): vol.7, n. 1, 20222525-81762525-817610.29149/mtr.v7i1reponame:Marketing & Tourism Reviewinstname:Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)instacron:UFMGenghttps://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/mtr/article/view/7466/3694Copyright (c) 2022 Marcelo de Oliveira Nunes, Verônica Feder Mayer, Luís Antônio da Rocha Dibhttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessde Oliveira Nunes, MarceloFeder Mayer, Verônicada Rocha Dib, Luís Antônio2022-06-01T22:12:24Zoai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/7466Revistahttps://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/mtrPUBhttps://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/mtr/oaimkt.tourism.review@gmail.com||mg.ufmg@gmail.com2525-81762525-8176opendoar:2022-06-01T22:12:24Marketing & Tourism Review - Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)false
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv Tourist risk perception and objective risk: an analysis of countries during the COVID-19 pandemic
title Tourist risk perception and objective risk: an analysis of countries during the COVID-19 pandemic
spellingShingle Tourist risk perception and objective risk: an analysis of countries during the COVID-19 pandemic
de Oliveira Nunes, Marcelo
Risk perception
COVID-19 pandemic
Tourist behavior
title_short Tourist risk perception and objective risk: an analysis of countries during the COVID-19 pandemic
title_full Tourist risk perception and objective risk: an analysis of countries during the COVID-19 pandemic
title_fullStr Tourist risk perception and objective risk: an analysis of countries during the COVID-19 pandemic
title_full_unstemmed Tourist risk perception and objective risk: an analysis of countries during the COVID-19 pandemic
title_sort Tourist risk perception and objective risk: an analysis of countries during the COVID-19 pandemic
author de Oliveira Nunes, Marcelo
author_facet de Oliveira Nunes, Marcelo
Feder Mayer, Verônica
da Rocha Dib, Luís Antônio
author_role author
author2 Feder Mayer, Verônica
da Rocha Dib, Luís Antônio
author2_role author
author
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv de Oliveira Nunes, Marcelo
Feder Mayer, Verônica
da Rocha Dib, Luís Antônio
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv Risk perception
COVID-19 pandemic
Tourist behavior
topic Risk perception
COVID-19 pandemic
Tourist behavior
description Perceptions of risk are not always in line with objective risk measures. According to the decision-making literature, this is due to affective evaluations laypeople do over hazards instead of a more deliberative judgement. Against this backdrop, this study investigates tourists’ perceptions of risk in relation to the most affected countries by COVID-19, and compare it to their objective risk measures. Our findings suggest that people think in accordance with the denominator neglect effect while assessing risk of contamination, that is, they consider the total number of infected people and disregard its proportion in relation to the population. Also, news media consumption was found to be associated with distinguishing low-risk of contamination countries, but not top risky ones. These results shed light on biases in people’s judgements that need to be taken into account by tourism managers, as the sector begins its recovery.
publishDate 2022
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv 2022-06-01
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
format article
status_str publishedVersion
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv https://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/mtr/article/view/7466
url https://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/mtr/article/view/7466
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv eng
language eng
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv https://revistas.face.ufmg.br/index.php/mtr/article/view/7466/3694
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv Copyright (c) 2022 Marcelo de Oliveira Nunes, Verônica Feder Mayer, Luís Antônio da Rocha Dib
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
rights_invalid_str_mv Copyright (c) 2022 Marcelo de Oliveira Nunes, Verônica Feder Mayer, Luís Antônio da Rocha Dib
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Federal University of Minas Gerais
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Federal University of Minas Gerais
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Marketing & Tourism Review; v. 7 n. 1 (2022): vol.7, n. 1, 2022
Marketing & Tourism Review; Vol. 7 No. 1 (2022): vol.7, n. 1, 2022
2525-8176
2525-8176
10.29149/mtr.v7i1
reponame:Marketing & Tourism Review
instname:Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)
instacron:UFMG
instname_str Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)
instacron_str UFMG
institution UFMG
reponame_str Marketing & Tourism Review
collection Marketing & Tourism Review
repository.name.fl_str_mv Marketing & Tourism Review - Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)
repository.mail.fl_str_mv mkt.tourism.review@gmail.com||mg.ufmg@gmail.com
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