Fiscal policy and regional inequality in brazil
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2022 |
Outros Autores: | , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional da UFMG |
Texto Completo: | https://doi.org/10.1590/1980-53575224dklg http://hdl.handle.net/1843/59879 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0702-8992 https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5504-8552 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6306-2044 https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6374-3811 |
Resumo: | This paper aims to estimate the long-term impacts of an austerity policy in the Brazilian regions. Our main contribution is to measure those effects using a dynamic interregional general equilibrium model, capturing the indirect impacts in sectors and regions, in addition to the direct effects of the expenditure cuts. The main results show that the fiscal adjustment would attenuate growth in most of the Brazilian states by 2037. Municipalities located in the poorest regions would be relatively more affected. Furthermore, the adjustment would have a negative impact on regional inequalities in all scenarios, both at the state and municipal levels. |
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2023-10-23T21:22:07Z2023-10-23T21:22:07Z2022522373396https://doi.org/10.1590/1980-53575224dklg1980-5357http://hdl.handle.net/1843/59879https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0702-8992https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5504-8552https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6306-2044https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6374-3811This paper aims to estimate the long-term impacts of an austerity policy in the Brazilian regions. Our main contribution is to measure those effects using a dynamic interregional general equilibrium model, capturing the indirect impacts in sectors and regions, in addition to the direct effects of the expenditure cuts. The main results show that the fiscal adjustment would attenuate growth in most of the Brazilian states by 2037. Municipalities located in the poorest regions would be relatively more affected. Furthermore, the adjustment would have a negative impact on regional inequalities in all scenarios, both at the state and municipal levels.Este artigo estima o impacto de longo prazo de uma política de austeridade sobre as regiões brasileiras. A principal contribuição é medir esses efeitos a partir de um modelo dinâmico e inter-regional de equilíbrio geral computável, capturando os impactos indiretos em setores e regiões, somado aos efeitos diretos do corte dos gastos. Os principais resultados mostram que o ajuste fiscal atenuaria o crescimento na maioria dos estados brasileiros em 2037. Municípios localizados nas regiões mais pobres seriam relativamente mais afetados. Além disso, o ajuste teria um impacto negativo na desigualdade regional em todos os cenários, tanto a nível estadual quanto municipal.CNPq - Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e TecnológicoporUniversidade Federal de Minas GeraisUFMGBrasilFCE - DEPARTAMENTO DE CIÊNCIAS ECONÔMICASEstudos EconômicosPolítica fiscalDisparidades econômicas regionaisEconomia regionalFiscal policyRegional inequalityCGE modelBrazilFiscal policy and regional inequality in brazilPolítica fiscal e desigualdade regional no Brasilinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttps://www.scielo.br/j/ee/a/G3W7CPNnCB8rSy4tRjQKXjx/?lang=enGuilherme CardosoDébora Freire CardosoKênia Barreiro de SouzaLuiz Carlos Santana Ribeiroapplication/pdfinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Institucional da UFMGinstname:Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)instacron:UFMGLICENSELicense.txtLicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-82042https://repositorio.ufmg.br/bitstream/1843/59879/1/License.txtfa505098d172de0bc8864fc1287ffe22MD51ORIGINALFiscal policy and regional inequality in Brazil.pdfFiscal policy and regional inequality in Brazil.pdfapplication/pdf1172014https://repositorio.ufmg.br/bitstream/1843/59879/2/Fiscal%20policy%20and%20regional%20inequality%20in%20Brazil.pdf791a12e7d2ae1f8679eee644334b0422MD521843/598792023-10-23 18:22:07.882oai:repositorio.ufmg.br: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Repositório de PublicaçõesPUBhttps://repositorio.ufmg.br/oaiopendoar:2023-10-23T21:22:07Repositório Institucional da UFMG - Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG)false |
dc.title.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
Fiscal policy and regional inequality in brazil |
dc.title.alternative.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
Política fiscal e desigualdade regional no Brasil |
title |
Fiscal policy and regional inequality in brazil |
spellingShingle |
Fiscal policy and regional inequality in brazil Guilherme Cardoso Fiscal policy Regional inequality CGE model Brazil Política fiscal Disparidades econômicas regionais Economia regional |
title_short |
Fiscal policy and regional inequality in brazil |
title_full |
Fiscal policy and regional inequality in brazil |
title_fullStr |
Fiscal policy and regional inequality in brazil |
title_full_unstemmed |
Fiscal policy and regional inequality in brazil |
title_sort |
Fiscal policy and regional inequality in brazil |
author |
Guilherme Cardoso |
author_facet |
Guilherme Cardoso Débora Freire Cardoso Kênia Barreiro de Souza Luiz Carlos Santana Ribeiro |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Débora Freire Cardoso Kênia Barreiro de Souza Luiz Carlos Santana Ribeiro |
author2_role |
author author author |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Guilherme Cardoso Débora Freire Cardoso Kênia Barreiro de Souza Luiz Carlos Santana Ribeiro |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Fiscal policy Regional inequality CGE model Brazil |
topic |
Fiscal policy Regional inequality CGE model Brazil Política fiscal Disparidades econômicas regionais Economia regional |
dc.subject.other.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
Política fiscal Disparidades econômicas regionais Economia regional |
description |
This paper aims to estimate the long-term impacts of an austerity policy in the Brazilian regions. Our main contribution is to measure those effects using a dynamic interregional general equilibrium model, capturing the indirect impacts in sectors and regions, in addition to the direct effects of the expenditure cuts. The main results show that the fiscal adjustment would attenuate growth in most of the Brazilian states by 2037. Municipalities located in the poorest regions would be relatively more affected. Furthermore, the adjustment would have a negative impact on regional inequalities in all scenarios, both at the state and municipal levels. |
publishDate |
2022 |
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv |
2022 |
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv |
2023-10-23T21:22:07Z |
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv |
2023-10-23T21:22:07Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/1843/59879 |
dc.identifier.doi.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
https://doi.org/10.1590/1980-53575224dklg |
dc.identifier.issn.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
1980-5357 |
dc.identifier.orcid.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0702-8992 https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5504-8552 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6306-2044 https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6374-3811 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1590/1980-53575224dklg http://hdl.handle.net/1843/59879 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0702-8992 https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5504-8552 https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6306-2044 https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6374-3811 |
identifier_str_mv |
1980-5357 |
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por |
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por |
dc.relation.ispartof.pt_BR.fl_str_mv |
Estudos Econômicos |
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info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
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openAccess |
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application/pdf |
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Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais |
dc.publisher.initials.fl_str_mv |
UFMG |
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Brasil |
dc.publisher.department.fl_str_mv |
FCE - DEPARTAMENTO DE CIÊNCIAS ECONÔMICAS |
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Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais |
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reponame:Repositório Institucional da UFMG instname:Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG) instacron:UFMG |
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Repositório Institucional da UFMG |
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