A new formulation of multinodal short-term load forecasting based on adaptive resonance theory with reverse training
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2020 |
Outros Autores: | , , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Institucional da UNESP |
Texto Completo: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.epsr.2019.106096 http://hdl.handle.net/11449/198136 |
Resumo: | A multinodal intelligent predictive method for electrical power systems has been developed. Knowing the electrical load accurately and in advance is essential for conducting studies in regard to the system operations, and to create strategies that improve the quality of the energy-supply for commercial, industrial, and residential consumers. The proposed method employs a supervised Fuzzy-ARTMAP neural network, using the new concept of reverse training, to forecast the global demand and load of several nodes of an electric network (multinodal load forecasting) up to 24 h ahead. To evaluate and test the proposed system, an application is presented that considers real historical data from a company in the electric sector. Results show that the reverse training reduces the error of the neural network, making the forecast more accurate, reliable, and very fast. |
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Repositório Institucional da UNESP |
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A new formulation of multinodal short-term load forecasting based on adaptive resonance theory with reverse trainingAdaptive resonance theoryArtificial neural networksElectrical power systemsMultinodal load forecastingA multinodal intelligent predictive method for electrical power systems has been developed. Knowing the electrical load accurately and in advance is essential for conducting studies in regard to the system operations, and to create strategies that improve the quality of the energy-supply for commercial, industrial, and residential consumers. The proposed method employs a supervised Fuzzy-ARTMAP neural network, using the new concept of reverse training, to forecast the global demand and load of several nodes of an electric network (multinodal load forecasting) up to 24 h ahead. To evaluate and test the proposed system, an application is presented that considers real historical data from a company in the electric sector. Results show that the reverse training reduces the error of the neural network, making the forecast more accurate, reliable, and very fast.Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)Electrical Engineering Department UNESP – São Paulo State University, Av. Brasil 56, PO Box 31Electrical Engineering Department UNESP – São Paulo State University, Av. Brasil 56, PO Box 31Universidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp)Amorim, Aline J. [UNESP]Abreu, Thays A. [UNESP]Tonelli-Neto, Mauro S. [UNESP]Minussi, Carlos R. [UNESP]2020-12-12T01:00:10Z2020-12-12T01:00:10Z2020-02-01info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlehttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.epsr.2019.106096Electric Power Systems Research, v. 179.0378-7796http://hdl.handle.net/11449/19813610.1016/j.epsr.2019.1060962-s2.0-85074928091Scopusreponame:Repositório Institucional da UNESPinstname:Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)instacron:UNESPengElectric Power Systems Researchinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess2021-10-23T09:05:58Zoai:repositorio.unesp.br:11449/198136Repositório InstitucionalPUBhttp://repositorio.unesp.br/oai/requestopendoar:29462024-08-05T23:58:04.959143Repositório Institucional da UNESP - Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP)false |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
A new formulation of multinodal short-term load forecasting based on adaptive resonance theory with reverse training |
title |
A new formulation of multinodal short-term load forecasting based on adaptive resonance theory with reverse training |
spellingShingle |
A new formulation of multinodal short-term load forecasting based on adaptive resonance theory with reverse training Amorim, Aline J. [UNESP] Adaptive resonance theory Artificial neural networks Electrical power systems Multinodal load forecasting |
title_short |
A new formulation of multinodal short-term load forecasting based on adaptive resonance theory with reverse training |
title_full |
A new formulation of multinodal short-term load forecasting based on adaptive resonance theory with reverse training |
title_fullStr |
A new formulation of multinodal short-term load forecasting based on adaptive resonance theory with reverse training |
title_full_unstemmed |
A new formulation of multinodal short-term load forecasting based on adaptive resonance theory with reverse training |
title_sort |
A new formulation of multinodal short-term load forecasting based on adaptive resonance theory with reverse training |
author |
Amorim, Aline J. [UNESP] |
author_facet |
Amorim, Aline J. [UNESP] Abreu, Thays A. [UNESP] Tonelli-Neto, Mauro S. [UNESP] Minussi, Carlos R. [UNESP] |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Abreu, Thays A. [UNESP] Tonelli-Neto, Mauro S. [UNESP] Minussi, Carlos R. [UNESP] |
author2_role |
author author author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Universidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp) |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Amorim, Aline J. [UNESP] Abreu, Thays A. [UNESP] Tonelli-Neto, Mauro S. [UNESP] Minussi, Carlos R. [UNESP] |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
Adaptive resonance theory Artificial neural networks Electrical power systems Multinodal load forecasting |
topic |
Adaptive resonance theory Artificial neural networks Electrical power systems Multinodal load forecasting |
description |
A multinodal intelligent predictive method for electrical power systems has been developed. Knowing the electrical load accurately and in advance is essential for conducting studies in regard to the system operations, and to create strategies that improve the quality of the energy-supply for commercial, industrial, and residential consumers. The proposed method employs a supervised Fuzzy-ARTMAP neural network, using the new concept of reverse training, to forecast the global demand and load of several nodes of an electric network (multinodal load forecasting) up to 24 h ahead. To evaluate and test the proposed system, an application is presented that considers real historical data from a company in the electric sector. Results show that the reverse training reduces the error of the neural network, making the forecast more accurate, reliable, and very fast. |
publishDate |
2020 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2020-12-12T01:00:10Z 2020-12-12T01:00:10Z 2020-02-01 |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.epsr.2019.106096 Electric Power Systems Research, v. 179. 0378-7796 http://hdl.handle.net/11449/198136 10.1016/j.epsr.2019.106096 2-s2.0-85074928091 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.epsr.2019.106096 http://hdl.handle.net/11449/198136 |
identifier_str_mv |
Electric Power Systems Research, v. 179. 0378-7796 10.1016/j.epsr.2019.106096 2-s2.0-85074928091 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
Electric Power Systems Research |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
Scopus reponame:Repositório Institucional da UNESP instname:Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) instacron:UNESP |
instname_str |
Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) |
instacron_str |
UNESP |
institution |
UNESP |
reponame_str |
Repositório Institucional da UNESP |
collection |
Repositório Institucional da UNESP |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Institucional da UNESP - Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
|
_version_ |
1808129567907381248 |