A tomada de decis??o em projetos: um estudo explorat??rio sobre o processo de identifica????o de riscos
Autor(a) principal: | |
---|---|
Data de Publicação: | 2014 |
Tipo de documento: | Dissertação |
Idioma: | por |
Título da fonte: | Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da Uninove |
Texto Completo: | http://bibliotecatede.uninove.br/handle/tede/1377 |
Resumo: | The decisions are central space within organizations and become more complex under conditions of uncertainty. This implies that to meet the demand for the success and quality of decisions should establish a decision-making process that will have as core elements of these decisions the scenarios, the alternatives and their impacts . On the other hand the theory and practice of project management seeks to manage risks through tools and techiniques that enable project managers perform choices on the actions that enable to achieve project objectives. In this sense, there are many studies that suggest the influence of risk management practices in successful projects. Risk management consists of planning, identification, analysis, planning responses and monitoring and control. The importance of the identication process is dependent on the subsequent phases of all their results and the decisions made about them. So when identifying risks decisions that enable their treatment aiming the project's success will be needed. In this context, the present work studied the influence of risk identification in the decisions about the risks in projects. The study was based on a literature review of risk management in projects and the characteristics of decision-making in risky situations , which made it possible to operationalize a construct and respctivas study hypotheses . Thus, it was defined a research tool outlined by a survey type lift, for which valid responses were obtained 35. Results were analyzed using statistical techniques, confirmed that two of the three hypotheses. The main findings were that, at least for the sample studied, the practices of the risk identification process project risk influence decisions on projects, which may be based on basic elements of decision theory. In this sense it was also found that these same practices positively influence the effectiveness of decisions at least in the way they are perceived by the respondents of the questionnaire. The data analysis it was observed that there is a tendency to frequent use of elements of project planning and timelines and cost estimates, but the same was not observed in the use of specific tools and techniques of risk management. With respect to decisions we observed that there is a tendency to consider the cost impacts more frequently than the impacts in time, scope or quality. Are recommended further work on the issue of the relationship between risk management practices and decisions of project managers in the bibliography since there have been few studies on the subject. |
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Rabechini Junior, Roquehttp://lattes.cnpq.br/1996533325699482Rabechini Junior, Roquehttp://lattes.cnpq.br/1996533325699482Freitas, Franciane Silveirahttp://lattes.cnpq.br/2841051412997153Jugend, Danielhttp://lattes.cnpq.br/2068042414626399http://lattes.cnpq.br/0433818215929535Napolitano, Domingos M??rcio Rodrigues2016-06-02T15:13:03Z2014-03-20Napolitano, Domingos M??rcio Rodrigues. A tomada de decis??o em projetos: um estudo explorat??rio sobre o processo de identifica????o de riscos. 2014. 94 f. Disserta????o( Programa de Mestrado Profissional em Administra????o - Gest??o de Projetos) - Universidade Nove de Julho, S??o Paulo.http://bibliotecatede.uninove.br/handle/tede/1377The decisions are central space within organizations and become more complex under conditions of uncertainty. This implies that to meet the demand for the success and quality of decisions should establish a decision-making process that will have as core elements of these decisions the scenarios, the alternatives and their impacts . On the other hand the theory and practice of project management seeks to manage risks through tools and techiniques that enable project managers perform choices on the actions that enable to achieve project objectives. In this sense, there are many studies that suggest the influence of risk management practices in successful projects. Risk management consists of planning, identification, analysis, planning responses and monitoring and control. The importance of the identication process is dependent on the subsequent phases of all their results and the decisions made about them. So when identifying risks decisions that enable their treatment aiming the project's success will be needed. In this context, the present work studied the influence of risk identification in the decisions about the risks in projects. The study was based on a literature review of risk management in projects and the characteristics of decision-making in risky situations , which made it possible to operationalize a construct and respctivas study hypotheses . Thus, it was defined a research tool outlined by a survey type lift, for which valid responses were obtained 35. Results were analyzed using statistical techniques, confirmed that two of the three hypotheses. The main findings were that, at least for the sample studied, the practices of the risk identification process project risk influence decisions on projects, which may be based on basic elements of decision theory. In this sense it was also found that these same practices positively influence the effectiveness of decisions at least in the way they are perceived by the respondents of the questionnaire. The data analysis it was observed that there is a tendency to frequent use of elements of project planning and timelines and cost estimates, but the same was not observed in the use of specific tools and techniques of risk management. With respect to decisions we observed that there is a tendency to consider the cost impacts more frequently than the impacts in time, scope or quality. Are recommended further work on the issue of the relationship between risk management practices and decisions of project managers in the bibliography since there have been few studies on the subject.As decis??es ocupam um espa??o central nas organiza????es e tornam-se mais complexas em condi????es de incerteza. Isto que implica que para atender a demanda pelo sucesso e qualidade das decis??es deve-se estabelecer um processo decis??rio que ter?? como elementos centrais os cen??rios destas decis??es, as alternativas e seus impactos. Por outro lado a teoria e pr??tica de gerenciamento de projetos busca gerenciar riscos por meio de ferramentas que permitam aos gerentes de projetos realizarem escolhas sobre as a????es que possibilitem atingir os objetivos dos projetos. Neste sentido, existem diversos estudos, que evidenciam a influ??ncia das pr??ticas de gest??o de riscos no sucesso dos projetos. A gest??o de riscos ?? composta por processos de planejamento, identifica????o, an??lise, planejamento das respostas e monitoramento e controle. A import??ncia do processo de identica????o reside na depend??ncia das fases subsequentes de todos os seus resultados, bem como das decis??es tomadas sobre os mesmos. Assim ao identificar os riscos ser??o necess??rias decis??es que viabilizem seu tratamento objetivando o sucesso do projeto. Neste contexto o presente trabalho estudou a influ??ncia do processo de identifica????ode riscos nas decis??es sobre os riscos em projetos. O estudo foi baseado numa revis??o bibliogr??fica sobre a gest??o de riscos em projetos e sobre as caracter??sticas da tomada de decis??o em situa????es de risco, que possibilitou operacionalizar um constructo e as respctivas hip??teses do estudo. Deste modo, foi definido um instrumento de pesquisa, delineado por meio de um levantamento tipo survey, para o qual se obtiveram 35 respostas v??lidas. Os resultados forma analisados por meio de t??cnicas estat??sticas, que confirmaram duas das tr??s hip??teses formuladas. As principais conclus??es foram que, ao menos para a amostra pesquisada, as pr??ticas do processo de identifica????o de riscos em projetos influ??nciam nas decis??es de riscos em projetos, que podem ser baseadas em elementos b??sicos da teoria da decis??o. Neste sentido tamb??m se verificou que essas mesmas pr??ticas influ??nciam de modo positivo a efic??cia das decis??es ao menos na forma como s??o percebidas pelos respondentes do question??rio. Da an??lise dos dados obtidos observou-se que h?? uma tend??ncia de uso frequente de elementos do planejamento do projeto como cronogramas e estimativas de custo, mas o mesmo n??o foi observado no uso de ferramentas e t??cnicas espec??ficas da gest??o de riscos. Com rela????o ??s decis??es tomadas observou-se que h?? uma tend??ncia de considerar os impactos nos custos com maior frequ??ncia do que em prazo, escopo ou qualidade. Recomendam-se futuros trabalhos sobre o tema das rela????es entre as pr??ticas de gest??o de riscos e as decis??es dos gerentes de projetos j?? que na bibliogr??fia consultada verificaram-se poucos estudos sobre o assunto.Submitted by Nadir Basilio (nadirsb@uninove.br) on 2016-06-02T15:13:03Z No. of bitstreams: 1 Domingos Marcio Rodrigues Napolitano.pdf: 3017064 bytes, checksum: 4fde25d7639251b1afe36bffbc2db6c6 (MD5)Made available in DSpace on 2016-06-02T15:13:03Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Domingos Marcio Rodrigues Napolitano.pdf: 3017064 bytes, checksum: 4fde25d7639251b1afe36bffbc2db6c6 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2014-03-20application/pdfporUniversidade Nove de JulhoPrograma de P??s-Gradua????o em Gest??o de ProjetosUNINOVEBrasilAdministra????oprocessos decis??riosgest??o de projetosgest??o de riscos em projetosdecision-makingproject managementproject risk managementCIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ADMINISTRACAOA tomada de decis??o em projetos: um estudo explorat??rio sobre o processo de identifica????o de riscosDecision-making in projects: an exploratory study on the risk identification processinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis8024035432632778221600info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da Uninoveinstname:Universidade Nove de Julho (UNINOVE)instacron:UNINOVEORIGINALDomingos Marcio Rodrigues Napolitano.pdfDomingos Marcio Rodrigues Napolitano.pdfapplication/pdf3017064http://localhost:8080/tede/bitstream/tede/1377/2/Domingos+Marcio+Rodrigues+Napolitano.pdf4fde25d7639251b1afe36bffbc2db6c6MD52LICENSElicense.txtlicense.txttext/plain; charset=utf-82165http://localhost:8080/tede/bitstream/tede/1377/1/license.txtbd3efa91386c1718a7f26a329fdcb468MD51tede/13772019-06-19 16:28:51.944oai:localhost:tede/1377Tk9UQTogQ09MT1FVRSBBUVVJIEEgU1VBIFBSPz9QUklBIExJQ0VOPz9BCkVzdGEgbGljZW4/P2EgZGUgZXhlbXBsbyA/PyBmb3JuZWNpZGEgYXBlbmFzIHBhcmEgZmlucyBpbmZvcm1hdGl2b3MuCgpMSUNFTj8/QSBERSBESVNUUklCVUk/Pz8/TyBOPz9PLUVYQ0xVU0lWQQoKQ29tIGEgYXByZXNlbnRhPz8/P28gZGVzdGEgbGljZW4/P2EsIHZvYz8/IChvIGF1dG9yIChlcykgb3UgbyB0aXR1bGFyIGRvcyBkaXJlaXRvcyBkZSBhdXRvcikgY29uY2VkZSA/PyBVbml2ZXJzaWRhZGUgClhYWCAoU2lnbGEgZGEgVW5pdmVyc2lkYWRlKSBvIGRpcmVpdG8gbj8/by1leGNsdXNpdm8gZGUgcmVwcm9kdXppciwgIHRyYWR1emlyIChjb25mb3JtZSBkZWZpbmlkbyBhYmFpeG8pLCBlL291IApkaXN0cmlidWlyIGEgc3VhIHRlc2Ugb3UgZGlzc2VydGE/Pz8/byAoaW5jbHVpbmRvIG8gcmVzdW1vKSBwb3IgdG9kbyBvIG11bmRvIG5vIGZvcm1hdG8gaW1wcmVzc28gZSBlbGV0cj8/bmljbyBlIAplbSBxdWFscXVlciBtZWlvLCBpbmNsdWluZG8gb3MgZm9ybWF0b3MgPz91ZGlvIG91IHY/P2Rlby4KClZvYz8/IGNvbmNvcmRhIHF1ZSBhIFNpZ2xhIGRlIFVuaXZlcnNpZGFkZSBwb2RlLCBzZW0gYWx0ZXJhciBvIGNvbnRlPz9kbywgdHJhbnNwb3IgYSBzdWEgdGVzZSBvdSBkaXNzZXJ0YT8/Pz9vIApwYXJhIHF1YWxxdWVyIG1laW8gb3UgZm9ybWF0byBwYXJhIGZpbnMgZGUgcHJlc2VydmE/Pz8/by4KClZvYz8/IHRhbWI/P20gY29uY29yZGEgcXVlIGEgU2lnbGEgZGUgVW5pdmVyc2lkYWRlIHBvZGUgbWFudGVyIG1haXMgZGUgdW1hIGM/P3BpYSBhIHN1YSB0ZXNlIG91IApkaXNzZXJ0YT8/Pz9vIHBhcmEgZmlucyBkZSBzZWd1cmFuPz9hLCBiYWNrLXVwIGUgcHJlc2VydmE/Pz8/by4KClZvYz8/IGRlY2xhcmEgcXVlIGEgc3VhIHRlc2Ugb3UgZGlzc2VydGE/Pz8/byA/PyBvcmlnaW5hbCBlIHF1ZSB2b2M/PyB0ZW0gbyBwb2RlciBkZSBjb25jZWRlciBvcyBkaXJlaXRvcyBjb250aWRvcyAKbmVzdGEgbGljZW4/P2EuIFZvYz8/IHRhbWI/P20gZGVjbGFyYSBxdWUgbyBkZXA/P3NpdG8gZGEgc3VhIHRlc2Ugb3UgZGlzc2VydGE/Pz8/byBuPz9vLCBxdWUgc2VqYSBkZSBzZXUgCmNvbmhlY2ltZW50bywgaW5mcmluZ2UgZGlyZWl0b3MgYXV0b3JhaXMgZGUgbmluZ3U/P20uCgpDYXNvIGEgc3VhIHRlc2Ugb3UgZGlzc2VydGE/Pz8/byBjb250ZW5oYSBtYXRlcmlhbCBxdWUgdm9jPz8gbj8/byBwb3NzdWkgYSB0aXR1bGFyaWRhZGUgZG9zIGRpcmVpdG9zIGF1dG9yYWlzLCB2b2M/PyAKZGVjbGFyYSBxdWUgb2J0ZXZlIGEgcGVybWlzcz8/byBpcnJlc3RyaXRhIGRvIGRldGVudG9yIGRvcyBkaXJlaXRvcyBhdXRvcmFpcyBwYXJhIGNvbmNlZGVyID8/IFNpZ2xhIGRlIFVuaXZlcnNpZGFkZSAKb3MgZGlyZWl0b3MgYXByZXNlbnRhZG9zIG5lc3RhIGxpY2VuPz9hLCBlIHF1ZSBlc3NlIG1hdGVyaWFsIGRlIHByb3ByaWVkYWRlIGRlIHRlcmNlaXJvcyBlc3Q/PyBjbGFyYW1lbnRlIAppZGVudGlmaWNhZG8gZSByZWNvbmhlY2lkbyBubyB0ZXh0byBvdSBubyBjb250ZT8/ZG8gZGEgdGVzZSBvdSBkaXNzZXJ0YT8/Pz9vIG9yYSBkZXBvc2l0YWRhLgoKQ0FTTyBBIFRFU0UgT1UgRElTU0VSVEE/Pz8/TyBPUkEgREVQT1NJVEFEQSBURU5IQSBTSURPIFJFU1VMVEFETyBERSBVTSBQQVRST0M/P05JTyBPVSAKQVBPSU8gREUgVU1BIEFHPz9OQ0lBIERFIEZPTUVOVE8gT1UgT1VUUk8gT1JHQU5JU01PIFFVRSBOPz9PIFNFSkEgQSBTSUdMQSBERSAKVU5JVkVSU0lEQURFLCBWT0M/PyBERUNMQVJBIFFVRSBSRVNQRUlUT1UgVE9ET1MgRSBRVUFJU1FVRVIgRElSRUlUT1MgREUgUkVWSVM/P08gQ09NTyAKVEFNQj8/TSBBUyBERU1BSVMgT0JSSUdBPz8/P0VTIEVYSUdJREFTIFBPUiBDT05UUkFUTyBPVSBBQ09SRE8uCgpBIFNpZ2xhIGRlIFVuaXZlcnNpZGFkZSBzZSBjb21wcm9tZXRlIGEgaWRlbnRpZmljYXIgY2xhcmFtZW50ZSBvIHNldSBub21lIChzKSBvdSBvKHMpIG5vbWUocykgZG8ocykgCmRldGVudG9yKGVzKSBkb3MgZGlyZWl0b3MgYXV0b3JhaXMgZGEgdGVzZSBvdSBkaXNzZXJ0YT8/Pz9vLCBlIG4/P28gZmFyPz8gcXVhbHF1ZXIgYWx0ZXJhPz8/P28sIGFsPz9tIGRhcXVlbGFzIApjb25jZWRpZGFzIHBvciBlc3RhIGxpY2VuPz9hLgo=Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertaçõeshttp://bibliotecatede.uninove.br/PRIhttp://bibliotecatede.uninove.br/oai/requestbibliotecatede@uninove.br||bibliotecatede@uninove.bropendoar:2019-06-19T19:28:51Biblioteca Digital de Teses e Dissertações da Uninove - Universidade Nove de Julho (UNINOVE)false |
dc.title.por.fl_str_mv |
A tomada de decis??o em projetos: um estudo explorat??rio sobre o processo de identifica????o de riscos |
dc.title.alternative.eng.fl_str_mv |
Decision-making in projects: an exploratory study on the risk identification process |
title |
A tomada de decis??o em projetos: um estudo explorat??rio sobre o processo de identifica????o de riscos |
spellingShingle |
A tomada de decis??o em projetos: um estudo explorat??rio sobre o processo de identifica????o de riscos Napolitano, Domingos M??rcio Rodrigues processos decis??rios gest??o de projetos gest??o de riscos em projetos decision-making project management project risk management CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ADMINISTRACAO |
title_short |
A tomada de decis??o em projetos: um estudo explorat??rio sobre o processo de identifica????o de riscos |
title_full |
A tomada de decis??o em projetos: um estudo explorat??rio sobre o processo de identifica????o de riscos |
title_fullStr |
A tomada de decis??o em projetos: um estudo explorat??rio sobre o processo de identifica????o de riscos |
title_full_unstemmed |
A tomada de decis??o em projetos: um estudo explorat??rio sobre o processo de identifica????o de riscos |
title_sort |
A tomada de decis??o em projetos: um estudo explorat??rio sobre o processo de identifica????o de riscos |
author |
Napolitano, Domingos M??rcio Rodrigues |
author_facet |
Napolitano, Domingos M??rcio Rodrigues |
author_role |
author |
dc.contributor.advisor1.fl_str_mv |
Rabechini Junior, Roque |
dc.contributor.advisor1Lattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/1996533325699482 |
dc.contributor.referee1.fl_str_mv |
Rabechini Junior, Roque |
dc.contributor.referee1Lattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/1996533325699482 |
dc.contributor.referee2.fl_str_mv |
Freitas, Franciane Silveira |
dc.contributor.referee2Lattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/2841051412997153 |
dc.contributor.referee3.fl_str_mv |
Jugend, Daniel |
dc.contributor.referee3Lattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/2068042414626399 |
dc.contributor.authorLattes.fl_str_mv |
http://lattes.cnpq.br/0433818215929535 |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Napolitano, Domingos M??rcio Rodrigues |
contributor_str_mv |
Rabechini Junior, Roque Rabechini Junior, Roque Freitas, Franciane Silveira Jugend, Daniel |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
processos decis??rios gest??o de projetos gest??o de riscos em projetos |
topic |
processos decis??rios gest??o de projetos gest??o de riscos em projetos decision-making project management project risk management CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ADMINISTRACAO |
dc.subject.eng.fl_str_mv |
decision-making project management project risk management |
dc.subject.cnpq.fl_str_mv |
CIENCIAS SOCIAIS APLICADAS::ADMINISTRACAO |
description |
The decisions are central space within organizations and become more complex under conditions of uncertainty. This implies that to meet the demand for the success and quality of decisions should establish a decision-making process that will have as core elements of these decisions the scenarios, the alternatives and their impacts . On the other hand the theory and practice of project management seeks to manage risks through tools and techiniques that enable project managers perform choices on the actions that enable to achieve project objectives. In this sense, there are many studies that suggest the influence of risk management practices in successful projects. Risk management consists of planning, identification, analysis, planning responses and monitoring and control. The importance of the identication process is dependent on the subsequent phases of all their results and the decisions made about them. So when identifying risks decisions that enable their treatment aiming the project's success will be needed. In this context, the present work studied the influence of risk identification in the decisions about the risks in projects. The study was based on a literature review of risk management in projects and the characteristics of decision-making in risky situations , which made it possible to operationalize a construct and respctivas study hypotheses . Thus, it was defined a research tool outlined by a survey type lift, for which valid responses were obtained 35. Results were analyzed using statistical techniques, confirmed that two of the three hypotheses. The main findings were that, at least for the sample studied, the practices of the risk identification process project risk influence decisions on projects, which may be based on basic elements of decision theory. In this sense it was also found that these same practices positively influence the effectiveness of decisions at least in the way they are perceived by the respondents of the questionnaire. The data analysis it was observed that there is a tendency to frequent use of elements of project planning and timelines and cost estimates, but the same was not observed in the use of specific tools and techniques of risk management. With respect to decisions we observed that there is a tendency to consider the cost impacts more frequently than the impacts in time, scope or quality. Are recommended further work on the issue of the relationship between risk management practices and decisions of project managers in the bibliography since there have been few studies on the subject. |
publishDate |
2014 |
dc.date.issued.fl_str_mv |
2014-03-20 |
dc.date.accessioned.fl_str_mv |
2016-06-02T15:13:03Z |
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dc.identifier.citation.fl_str_mv |
Napolitano, Domingos M??rcio Rodrigues. A tomada de decis??o em projetos: um estudo explorat??rio sobre o processo de identifica????o de riscos. 2014. 94 f. Disserta????o( Programa de Mestrado Profissional em Administra????o - Gest??o de Projetos) - Universidade Nove de Julho, S??o Paulo. |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://bibliotecatede.uninove.br/handle/tede/1377 |
identifier_str_mv |
Napolitano, Domingos M??rcio Rodrigues. A tomada de decis??o em projetos: um estudo explorat??rio sobre o processo de identifica????o de riscos. 2014. 94 f. Disserta????o( Programa de Mestrado Profissional em Administra????o - Gest??o de Projetos) - Universidade Nove de Julho, S??o Paulo. |
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http://bibliotecatede.uninove.br/handle/tede/1377 |
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UNINOVE |
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Brasil |
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Universidade Nove de Julho |
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