Trade potential in an enlarged European Union: a recent approach
Autor(a) principal: | |
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Data de Publicação: | 2006 |
Outros Autores: | , |
Tipo de documento: | Artigo |
Idioma: | eng |
Título da fonte: | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
Texto Completo: | http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/2621 |
Resumo: | This paper aims to evaluate the trade potential of manufactured products between countries belonging to the EU in the threshold of its Eastern enlargement. For this purpose we use a Gravity model which is estimated with a Poisson Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood Method. We extend the specification of the gravity model in order to capture bilateral trade specificities between groups of countries of the enlarged EU, allowing to test the statistical significance of these inter-groups' trade potential. In addition, it includes the Commodity Composition of Trade. The estimated coefficients are used to project exports of each country. We conclude that in 2002 the CEEC as a group had exhausted their export potentialities to the enlarged EU, whereas the same does not apply to its imports from the EU members. |
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Trade potential in an enlarged European Union: a recent approachEuropean UnionCEECGravity ModelCommodity Composition of TradePoisson Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood EstimatorTrade PotentialThis paper aims to evaluate the trade potential of manufactured products between countries belonging to the EU in the threshold of its Eastern enlargement. For this purpose we use a Gravity model which is estimated with a Poisson Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood Method. We extend the specification of the gravity model in order to capture bilateral trade specificities between groups of countries of the enlarged EU, allowing to test the statistical significance of these inter-groups' trade potential. In addition, it includes the Commodity Composition of Trade. The estimated coefficients are used to project exports of each country. We conclude that in 2002 the CEEC as a group had exhausted their export potentialities to the enlarged EU, whereas the same does not apply to its imports from the EU members.ISEG – Departamento de EconomiaRepositório da Universidade de LisboaFontoura, Maria PaulaMartínez-Galán, EnriqueProença, Isabel2010-12-07T14:39:13Z20062006-01-01T00:00:00Zinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/articleapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/2621engFontoura, Paula, Enrique Martínez-Galán and Isabel Proença. (2006). "Trade potential in an enlarged European Union: a recent approach". Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão - DE Working papers nº 8-2006/DE/CISEP0874-4548info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessreponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos)instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãoinstacron:RCAAP2023-03-06T14:33:48Zoai:www.repository.utl.pt:10400.5/2621Portal AgregadorONGhttps://www.rcaap.pt/oai/openaireopendoar:71602024-03-19T16:50:35.912954Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informaçãofalse |
dc.title.none.fl_str_mv |
Trade potential in an enlarged European Union: a recent approach |
title |
Trade potential in an enlarged European Union: a recent approach |
spellingShingle |
Trade potential in an enlarged European Union: a recent approach Fontoura, Maria Paula European Union CEEC Gravity Model Commodity Composition of Trade Poisson Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood Estimator Trade Potential |
title_short |
Trade potential in an enlarged European Union: a recent approach |
title_full |
Trade potential in an enlarged European Union: a recent approach |
title_fullStr |
Trade potential in an enlarged European Union: a recent approach |
title_full_unstemmed |
Trade potential in an enlarged European Union: a recent approach |
title_sort |
Trade potential in an enlarged European Union: a recent approach |
author |
Fontoura, Maria Paula |
author_facet |
Fontoura, Maria Paula Martínez-Galán, Enrique Proença, Isabel |
author_role |
author |
author2 |
Martínez-Galán, Enrique Proença, Isabel |
author2_role |
author author |
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv |
Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa |
dc.contributor.author.fl_str_mv |
Fontoura, Maria Paula Martínez-Galán, Enrique Proença, Isabel |
dc.subject.por.fl_str_mv |
European Union CEEC Gravity Model Commodity Composition of Trade Poisson Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood Estimator Trade Potential |
topic |
European Union CEEC Gravity Model Commodity Composition of Trade Poisson Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood Estimator Trade Potential |
description |
This paper aims to evaluate the trade potential of manufactured products between countries belonging to the EU in the threshold of its Eastern enlargement. For this purpose we use a Gravity model which is estimated with a Poisson Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood Method. We extend the specification of the gravity model in order to capture bilateral trade specificities between groups of countries of the enlarged EU, allowing to test the statistical significance of these inter-groups' trade potential. In addition, it includes the Commodity Composition of Trade. The estimated coefficients are used to project exports of each country. We conclude that in 2002 the CEEC as a group had exhausted their export potentialities to the enlarged EU, whereas the same does not apply to its imports from the EU members. |
publishDate |
2006 |
dc.date.none.fl_str_mv |
2006 2006-01-01T00:00:00Z 2010-12-07T14:39:13Z |
dc.type.status.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
dc.type.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article |
format |
article |
status_str |
publishedVersion |
dc.identifier.uri.fl_str_mv |
http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/2621 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/2621 |
dc.language.iso.fl_str_mv |
eng |
language |
eng |
dc.relation.none.fl_str_mv |
Fontoura, Paula, Enrique Martínez-Galán and Isabel Proença. (2006). "Trade potential in an enlarged European Union: a recent approach". Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão - DE Working papers nº 8-2006/DE/CISEP 0874-4548 |
dc.rights.driver.fl_str_mv |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
eu_rights_str_mv |
openAccess |
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv |
application/pdf |
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
ISEG – Departamento de Economia |
publisher.none.fl_str_mv |
ISEG – Departamento de Economia |
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv |
reponame:Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) instname:Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação instacron:RCAAP |
instname_str |
Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
instacron_str |
RCAAP |
institution |
RCAAP |
reponame_str |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
collection |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) |
repository.name.fl_str_mv |
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto de Portugal (Repositórios Cientìficos) - Agência para a Sociedade do Conhecimento (UMIC) - FCT - Sociedade da Informação |
repository.mail.fl_str_mv |
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1799130981315117056 |