Viabilidade agroeconômica da produção de feijões especiais em Goiás

• Autor(a) principal: Lima, Waleska Maria Fernandes
• Data de Publicação: 2019
• Tipo de documento: Dissertação
• Idioma: por
• Título da fonte: Repositório Institucional da UFG
• Texto Completo: http://repositorio.bc.ufg.br/tede/handle/tede/9517
• topic: Feijões especiais; Viabilidade agroeconômica; Análise de portfólio; Special beans; Agroeconomic viability; Portfolio analysis; CIENCIAS AGRARIAS::AGRONOMIA

Common bean (Phaseolus vulgaris) is one of the main crops in Brazil, since it represents an agricultural product of extreme socio-cultural importance, since it is a typical food of the Brazilian diet and an important source of protein. Common bean also has great economic relevance, being among the main crops of Brazil, with production of approximately 3 million tons in 2018, making Brazil the third largest producer in the world. Even though it is the third largest producer in the world, the bean market suffers many irregularities such as seasonal scarcity. As consequence, it is necessary to import black and white grains to meet the demand, since the bean type carioca is produced and consumed exclusively in Brazil, causing oscillations in prices. The cultivation of special bean grains in Brazil is an alternative to help regulate the market, ensuring greater supply availability, local production, and consequent reduction of price fluctuations. Besides inserting Brazil in the international bean market, considering the export potential of these grains, given its preference in several countries. In the present study, the aim was to analyze the feasibility of implementing beans cultivation in Goiás, in the third crop, and which cultivars of these grains can substitute the Rioja beans, presenting the production costs of the cultivars under study to determine if the system of production of the special beans is economically viable. Later, an investment analysis of the bean production systems was carried out, together with a risk analysis with Monte Carlo Simulation, using @RISK software, as well as the sensitivity analysis. Finally, a Portfolio analysis by the Markowitz Theory, to obtain the risk and return of each combination of grains between carioca and special, in order to show which cultivar is better for partial replacement of the carioca bean. The cultivars BRS Embaixador were economically viable. In the investment analysis the cultivar BRS Embaixador obtained an NPV of R$ 853.49 and IRR of 4%. The cultivar BRS Ártico obtained an NPV of R$ 376.72 and IRR of 2%. The cultivar BRS Executivo obtained negative NPV, showing that the investment was not viable. Portfolio analysis shows the risk and return that each combination produces, and the best combination will depend on the producer's propensity for risk.